Wiki page on the list of ROC personnel who have been convicted for spying for the PRC. Quite an extensive list.
The last public case was in 2020, involving 4 retired high ranking officers, including a major general.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
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The last public case was in 2020, involving 4 retired high ranking officers, including a major general.
And these are the ones getting caught, we got no idea about how many that aren't caught.
It's not low level grunts either. A lot of the people caught are Majors and above.
Given the history of the ROCA, it's no surprise that they still think of themselves as 'Chinese' as opposed to 'Taiwanese'. Must be hard to fight and bleed for your political masters when they promote a complete separate and alien identity.
This is probably one of the decisive advantages we have. No matter what kind of identity they think they have built over the 70 odd years, you just can't wash away the history, especially when you are still using the language and have access to all the history books of previous dynasties. Granted there will be plenty of traitors, there are also plenty of hot blooded people who view themselves as Chinese, and those are the type of people most likely to join the military. Nationalism is strong in our blood, for a career soldier, who doesn't want to be like a modern day 霍去病。Might be a different story back when the mainland is weak, but given current situation and geopolitics, plenty of lures for these officers to defect, especially with the way Taiwan is being governed right now.
The ROC military started off as a KMT army and the foremost goal of the ROC military is reconquest of mainland China under the ROC banners, or reunification. When you try to make drastic changes to the purpose of the military, so much so that it goes against the roots, it is not good for the morale. Some of the die-hard pan-blue military types are willing to settle for the "next best thing", which is reunification under the PRC banners.
In the early 2000s several high level moles within the ROC military were discovered and tried. Many got off with 10-20 year sentencing but one of them was imprisoned for life. The difference? The ones with lenient sentencing accepted PRC bribes, the other did not.
The PLA boasted they could take the island in a week, are there any indicators the Taiwan side could realistically slow that timetable? Only thing that comes to mind is if DPP fanatics hole up in their cities and fight an insurgency, though that still only delays the inevitable once the PLA secures a beachhead to land more reinforcements and send PAP to secure the urban areas.
Taiwan doesn't have much freshwater and only a few days of fuel reserves that will go up in smoke. During the summer Taiwan is blazing hot. This is unlike Ukraine where you can fight in cool weather and there's rivers everywhere.
Imagine being trapped in the ruins of Taipei fighting an insurgency, when the only water is the leakage from bombed out pipelines, there's no AC, you have to walk everywhere, and the sun is beating on your back, while being shot at and bombed. PLA would be more combat effective solely by having water, AC and rest.
Very much agreed.
It doesn't strike me as CPC modus operandi to place saboteur teams ahead of an operation. Rather I think the United Front Department would redouble its efforts to try and subvert as many ROCA commanders and officers as they can.
The worst case scenario in a TW contingency is a shooting war. The best case scenario (to me) would be a peaceful surrender a la the surrender of Peking in 1949 in the Civil War.
The current Chief of Staff for the ROCA is General Chen Pao Yu, who was born in 1958. He was growing up in an environment where the people in TW were still taught that they are Chinese. Anyone born after 1980 would be a bit suspect as they would be too heavily indoctrinated by the DPP and their efforts at de-sincization.
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(the report in question)
An article about the US CRS report to congress regarding China and it's naval prowess (including mentions about the DF-21).
While the article talks about what we already know, I found it quite interesting that in appendix B there were various interviews of US military personel (high ranking) were they were saying that they had countermeasures or 'aren't worried' about missiles like DF-21.
How much validity is there to it? Or is it just bluffing?
An article about the US CRS report to congress regarding China and it's naval prowess (including mentions about the DF-21).
While the article talks about what we already know, I found it quite interesting that in appendix B there were various interviews of US military personel (high ranking) were they were saying that they had countermeasures or 'aren't worried' about missiles like DF-21.
How much validity is there to it? Or is it just bluffing?
I think they are just overconfident in their ability to shootdown DF-21. Either way, China should continue improving their missile tech to destroy any illusion of being safe from missile strikes.