PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
two questions:
1. does America has the capacity to enforce an embargo against China? the DF26 has a range to strike from the west Pacific to the Mediterranean, can the US SSN do it without support from surface ships?
2. if China nukes Australia and Japan, what will happen?
1. does America has the capacity to enforce an embargo against China? the DF26 has a range to strike from the west Pacific to the Mediterranean, can the US SSN do it without support from surface ships?
2. if China nukes Australia and Japan, what will happen?
Armageddon
I don't think so. the most likely outcome is they just got nuked, nothing is going to happen.
The US is a TREATY Ally of the countries you mentioned which means the US is under any and all obligation to nuke back China to oblivion.
Only problem is that the US violates and dishonors treaties all the time, just ask the Native Americans!
I'm a little alarmed at how easily nuclear weapons and using them gets brought up in this thread. And yes, US would send nuke against any country nuking its allies. Let's not get ourselves into hypothetical armageddon kind of scenarios.
Unless China gets significantly more allies in key locations and better nuclear submarines, USN would be able to at minimum cut off ships with Chinese flags headed to the region. Now, it is a good question of how USN, with limited resources, would stop every ship and determine that it is headed to China and not Japan or Korea. I will leave it as that. And as I said earlier, China would be able to also significantly limit the energy and embargo to US if we do get a scenario where they do start attacking civilian trade/energy routes. Life would be suddenly very hard for citizens everywhere. Which is again why I think there will large calls for the two countries to come to a peace agreement once it becomes obvious this is headed into a war of attrition.
Unless China gets significantly more allies in key locations and better nuclear submarines, USN would be able to at minimum cut off ships with Chinese flags headed to the region. Now, it is a good question of how USN, with limited resources, would stop every ship and determine that it is headed to China and not Japan or Korea. I will leave it as that. And as I said earlier, China would be able to also significantly limit the energy and embargo to US if we do get a scenario where they do start attacking civilian trade/energy routes. Life would be suddenly very hard for citizens everywhere. Which is again why I think there will large calls for the two countries to come to a peace agreement once it becomes obvious this is headed into a war of attrition.
The only thing that matters is nuclear weapons !
China needs to build 3000 missile silos and 15,000 tactical nukes and 1000 DF-41 plus 3000 strategic nukes before invading Taiwan !
However, China can now attack and destroy Taiwan's air force plus air defense without having to worry about the war of attrition because China can threaten US with war of attrition in Korea and invasion of Taiwan !
Actually, 200 silos with DF-41s with >3 warheads each, plus 100 mobile launched DF-41s with >3 warheads each, combined with 160 JL-3s with >3 warheads each, for a minimum of 1380, would put China right in line with current US/RF deployed levels and would probably be sufficient to check US interference.
But, yes, at this stage in the game, strategic nuclear weapons are the only things that matter!
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That is another great point.
Remember in WWII Germany and Japan lasted for years, despite being heavily bombed by the Allies and they had almost ZERO domestic natural resources !
China is totally food independent and almost fuel independent and it is also extremely difficult difficult for the US to bomb inland China. Which is why I call this war of attrition BS !!