Cute Orca on Weibo hinted that the Sino-NGAD concept/technology demonstrator/prototype will be powered by some kind of WS-10 variant.
Well, China isn't stuck with Russian engines from the get-go for their newest warplanes anymore, so that's something.
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The importance of risk reduction remains well and true for the PLA.
Al-31 had been in service for decades by the time that J-10 and then J-20 prototype/tech demo first flew -- with WS-10 still in development at the time of J-10's maiden flight and only in service for a couple of years at the time of J-20's maiden flight.
If J-XD first flies in the next year or so, having a WS-10 variant would at least be an engine that's been in service for over a decade and a half. Meanwhile WS-15 has yet to enter service and accumulate the flight hours that it needs, and we don't even know what the intended engine for J-XD is meant to be or how far it is actually along in development.
So being powered by WS-10 in some form was really the most likely option (unless they wanted to be even more conservative and give J-XDs Al-31s to begin with lol)
IMO, some of the big questions for J-XD's powerplant in coming years to be answered will be:
- what are the characteristics of the WS-10s to be used on J-XD, including internal/output characteristics, but also how it is integrated to the fuselage which may indicate how the subsequent engines (including final intended engine) for it will be configured
- what will be the engine be on J-XD in its initial production runs/service -- i.e.: keeping the same WS-10 variant, or will they be confident enough to roll over to WS-15 or even a WS-15 variant partway through prototyping, and what would the testing for that require
- what will be the final intended engine for J-XD and learning its designation, as well as the timeline and characteristics