asif iqbal
Lieutenant General
7th and 8th Type 815
5th and 6th Type 071
29th Type 054A
5th and 6th Type 071
29th Type 054A
I struggle to think of an example where this is actually the case in this day and age. Perhaps the Zumwalt? Here we have a ship that was meant to be the successor to the Arleigh Burke (to be built in conjunction with the CG(X) which was to be the Tico replacement), not an addition to the fleet structure. It was canceled because of cost, sure, but also because of changing threat and mission environments, and had it been successful it would have gone on to replace the ABs as they retired from the fleet.
An extreme example of what I'm talking about is the Virginia, which started production in 2000 and will not be replaced by another SSN design until the mid 2040s. That's 40+ years of a single SSN design, dramatically different from the Cold War years.
But have you asked yourself what is the need for ships of these tonnages? For example a 6,000t "frigate" is meant to do what that a (presumably lighter) "054B" isn't? If you only bifurcate roles in the blue water portion of a navy (i.e. excluding corvettes), you will be assigning the smaller of the duo to ASW and medium range air defense, and the larger of the duo to command, long range air defense, and possibly ballistic missile defense. Why do you need a 6,000t frigate to perform the role of ASW and local air defense? A 32-cell UVLS with quad-packing MRSAMs would give you a useful load of 32 MRSAMs, 8 ASW missiles, and 8 ASCMs, with 8 cells left over to play with.
Similarly for the corvette class, why a 2,500t ship that is meant for coastal patrol? What additional duties do you envision for your 2,500t vessel that the 1,500t 056A does not currently fulfill and why does it need to take on these extra duties in first place? A hangar, maybe? Sure, but a hangar can demonstrably be had for a few hundred extra tons of steel, the 1,800t P18 being the perfect example.
Possibly, but just because it's new or different doesn't mean it's better. Evolution has its dead ends, as does naval ship design. Ships like Moskva, Kiev, and Zumwalt (and perhaps even LCS) certainly fit into these dead end designs. The Moskva and Kiev are failures IMO because they attempted to combine cruiser and carrier and failed at both because they were good at neither.
Certainly funding has a lot to do with less ships and less classes overall, but I don't know what you mean by "lack of clear role". Regardless, the trend towards more ships in less classes is abundantly clear, especially for the mature navies of the world, a club into which the PLAN has assuredly entered at this point.It is difficult to point to any specific project as proof, but I think it would be untenable to claim that the end of the Cold War and the combination of funding cuts and a lack of clear role has played no role in the consolidation of warship designs over the past generation.
To put it another way, I think it is a mistake to attribute recent naval trends to inexorable laws of technology and refinement/optimisation when then there a clear political/economic context in which those developments have occurred -- a context in which budgets were cut, the threat was unclear, and so, correspondingly, were the requirements.
LOL I see an obvious sign of an obvious trend and you want to infer something suspicious. I guess we'll just have to disagree. I could point to more projects, like the 054A, 056, 052D, almost certainly 055, Arleigh Burke, Type 45, Virginia, Columbia, etc., but which projects can you point to to help your case out? If you have to say none, then you are admitting you have no support for your claims at all.See, and I think that's rather suspicious. It makes me think less that the US has arrived at the ultimate platform to meet its requirements, and designed the perfect program more than a generation ahead to fulfil them, and more that we are looking at a kind of institutional complacency and employment protection program.
It sounds like you are trying to impose a Western European "frigate" concept onto an actual PLAN frigate design. Western European frigates are more like destroyers, designed to act like small (or not so small) destroyers because that class is the upper tier of their surface combatants. Meanwhile a frigate is certainly not the upper tier of PLAN surface combatants. Also, you have still failed to show what a 6,000t PLAN would accomplish that a 054B frigate would not. Your theoretical vessel lacking any AESA would actually not at all be able to operate "independently", not to mention there is no PLAN requirement to operate in the Mediterranean or the Atlantic, not to mention any unique missions that would require such remote theaters could be accomplished out of Djibouti. Incidentally an F125 at 7,200t is about the same size as a 052D and larger than a 052C, so yeah, it would be kind of stupid to build a ship that would not even be considered a "pocket" destroyer, would actually be a destroyer, and then ridiculously call it a frigate while making it do destroyer things. So no, the PLAN isn't going to be building any F-125-sized ships and calling them "frigates". What it will actually do is build F-125-sized ships and call them "052Es".Distinct from my previous conception whereby a 6000-ton frigate replaced the 054-series in production, I think a 6000-ton frigate could have a role in a future PLAN as a multirole vessel designed to operate independently on long range or extended deployments -- think the Med or Atlantic. Such a vessel would lack the APARs of the 052 series while offering significantly better aviation facilities and endurance. In comparison to the 054 series it would have better aviation facilities, endurance, land attack capabilities and special operations support. One could almost think of it as a non-stupid F125.
Nothing you mentioned here necessitates a ship of 2,500t, not to mention that a corvette being tasked to "asymmetrically counter" US SSNs and Japanese SSKs doesn't have to involve anything more than sending a helicopter armed with a sonobuoy and a pair of torpedoes, something the 056A is ALREADY being tasked with. And let's not forget the slant-launched ASW missiles 056As are certain to carry. Anything more than that and you have 30 054As to choose from.A 2500-ton corvette would be designed primarily as an affordable, first-rate ASW combatant to asymmetrically counter the most formidable undersea force in existence (US SSNs + Japanese SSKs) where they pose the greatest threat, i.e. within the first island-chain. The 056 has several limitations holding it back from assuming this role:
- no hanger
- low speed
- limited munitions
- no Type 87 or next-generation equivalent for short-range target prosecution or anti-torpedo defense.
Certainly funding has a lot to do with less ships and less classes overall, but I don't know what you mean by "lack of clear role". Regardless, the trend towards more ships in less classes is abundantly clear, especially for the mature navies of the world, a club into which the PLAN has assuredly entered at this point.
LOL I see an obvious sign of an obvious trend and you want to infer something suspicious. I guess we'll just have to disagree.
Anything more than that and you have 30 054As to choose from.
I watched this some time ago and thought there was at least one major issue. At 22:00, there's a slide titled PLA Navy Focus on "Far Seas" Operations: Are we Sure?, which seems to be the foundation for the subsequent analysis of Chinese naval ambitions and the comparison to the US. It highlights the discrepancy in the number of replenishment ships and nuclear submarines. However, were the comparison to be made for 2030, the situation would look a lot different (at least for nuclear submarines; I don't know how many replenishment ships China will be making), undermining the speaker's argument.Not sure if this has been posted before.
A very informative lecture&analysis of Chinese navy's general strategy by Dr. Christopher Yung.
(Long Video 1:11:33)