That will depend a lot on how many they build in total; They have vastly more total tanks than SK but most of them are older Chonma-Ho. SK currently has over 2,000 more modern K1A1s/K2s and North Korea will probably need at least a decade to catch up with that number.
South Korea has one huge issue tho…
They have the lowest fertility rate in the world
0.88 is horrendous
Every woman needs to have 2 children at least in her lifetime to replace herself and her husband in order for a country to maintain its population. Extra 0.1 fertility rate is also added to compensate for early deaths caused by decease, crime or accidents. In order for a country to maintain its population, it needs fertility rate of at least 2.1. Currently it’s only 0.88…
if this continues at 0.88 for the next 50-60 years, South Korean population will plummet by up to 60%. From 51.7 million to 21 million
In 1985 the average age in S. Korea was 23
Its 2024 now and its already an avg. age of 45
At current trend, S. Korea will go from 51.7 million to 45 million by 2050 with an average age of 57-58
Do you know how detrimental to the economy that would be when the average person is a pensioner and only few born minorities age groups are working and paying tax?
You end up with
- Lack of manpower for jobs and military
- Social welfare collapse including pensions
- Less productive population due to high avg age
- Brain Drain
Then there is the age demographic issue
South Korea with 51.74 million population
~400,000 of 40 year olds
~210,000 of 18 year olds
~210,000 of 19 year olds
~210,000 of 20 year olds
~120,000 of 1 year olds
Halving with each generation…
:::
Now let’s look at Israel
Israel 9.31 million population
~58,000 of 40 year olds
~70,000 of 20 year olds
~72,000 of 19 year olds
~72,000 of 18 year olds
~90,000 of 1 year olds
S. Korea only has 2.9x more 18-20 year olds
S. Korea only has 1.33x more 1 year olds
Than Israel…
Despite the fact that S. Korea has 7x the population of Israel…
Soon an age group will be born in South Korea where there’s less off them than in Israel, despite the 7x population difference.
That’s the crises South Korea faces today.
At this rate, N. Korea will able to just come in and roll them over.