TerraN_EmpirE
Tyrant King
Have proof of that Val? I would love to see a link.
Have proof of that Val? I would love to see a link.
TerraN_EmpirE the improvements of the M1A3 are only improved suspension, new 120mm gun, precision guided weapons, fiber optic lines ,a new track, infrared cameras and a new internal computer system.
I don't understand why China wouldn't spend .... let's say extra $1B spending for extra 400-500 99A2/A3 or 99KM units a year
surely $1B is nothing for China .... I fully understand the focus is now for Navy and AF, and no threat on China land at the moment .... but the history tell us, it could change "overnight" ... and it could (remote) be too late
Also factor in Geography. The PRC is a nation against two barriers. To the east there is the Sea. To the west there is the Hindu Kush. To the north the step to the south the Jungle. The PRC Is the one good tank location in that part of Asia. Outside of the Gobi its all terrible tank country.
Allegiances may change overnight, but no one can magic up thousands of tanks overnight.
With the balance of industrial strength, no one could hope to out-produce China if it came to full on national level industrial mobilisation and re prioritisation for war time emergency production. That means China doesn't need to be proactive. It can afford to let others get a head start in an arms race and still easily out produce them if the threat looks real enough.
Casting your eyes around, which of China's land based neighbours have a land army that can realistically not only defeat, but steamroll the PLA so fast they can capture or destroy China's industrial heartland before Chinese industrial might starts turning the tide?
Anyone trying to reach China's manufacturing heartland overland will pretty much have to fight right across the length and breadth of China to get there. That's months if not years of hard, bloody fighting against just China's existing forces even if you are being wildly optimistic.
China's existing weapons manufacturing capacity is already formidable, but it will be like a mountain stream compared to the flood of arms and equipment China could produce if it retasked its commerical manufacturing capacity to wartime goods, as would happen in the event of such an attempted invasion.
The real threat to China's industrial heart is from the sea, which is why China is devoting the lion share of its resources to its Air Force and navy.
A billion dollars may not seem like much in the grand scheme of things, but the upfront acquisition cost is only part of the total life cycle cost of buying and operating a weapons system, and is usually only a small fraction of the overall total cost. So that billion dollars may be be 3 or 4 or more billion if you count operational costs, maintenance, repairs, training and the like.
That spending is also consumption. While consumption does boost the economy, it doesn't boost it nearly as much as investment. China only has a huge foreign reserve because it invested instead of consumpted in years past, and that has given the PLA a far bigger budget as the Chinese economy grew even as the defence budget as a percentage of GDP remained static or even fell.
Asside from the raw financial and opportunity cost of buying the tanks, there is also the 'dreadnought effect' to consider, and that is related to technological change.
When the British and the Germans were engaged in their arms race before WWI, the Royal Navy completely changed the rules by building the HMS Dreadnaught, which was so revolutionary and powerful, it made the world's existing battleship fleets obsolete virtually overnight.
That spurred a period of rapid growth and advancement whereby each new class was substantially better and more powerful than the last, creating a difficult choice for planners. If they went for tonnage and built a lot of ships of the current design, in a few years time, their opponent will almost certainly roll out new designs that substantially outclass your existing fleet. So if he builds a similar sized fleet then, he would enjoy a substantial advantage. However, if he doesn't have a big, powerful fleet in the meantime, I have the big advantage, so if war started tomorrow, I would win.
That is the classic dilemma of balancing current needs with the advancements of future designs in an arms race.
China is not in an arms race with anyone, well not in tanks. That means it can safely defer bulk procurement of tanks now, since there is no credible threat, until later, when Chinese industry will be able to make far better tanks.
All China needs to do at present is maintains low volume production of its latest tanks to keep the factories open and the skill base alive, as well as ensure its forces don't fall too far behind any neighbours. It can then take that billion you would have spent on tanks, spend 100m on R&D for better tanks, and invest the rest. Which is pretty much exactly what it is doing.
That means that in 5, 10, 20 years down the line when there is a real threat, China will have far more money to build far better tanks as and when the security situation deem it prudent to do so.
not that. This
Here is the Big hole I can shoot into this Valapak. Time.