New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) in China

B.I.B.

Captain
Behind BYD, Changan is probably the most successful Chinese brand in terms of brand recognition. GAC is split between Trumpchi and Aion, while SAIC's MG and Roewe are basically dead in China. Same goes to Geely, GWM, Chery etc.

But the main reason is because Changan is a central govt company, while GAC and SAIC are owned by provincial governments. I'd assume any such consolidation move by Beijing would favour Changan.

Provincial governments will be pissed but they'll have to deal with it. They can try converting factories to parts suppliers, etc. Do whatever they have to do. It's not like GAC and SAIC are doing very well under the current situation anyway, since BYD is destroying the profitability of their joint ventures (Toyota, Honda, VW, GM) while their factories for their own brands are way underutilised.


Yeah, it's a very hard thing but I think it has to happen eventually. The central govt needs to put in more effort even if it pisses off regional actors. So many SOEs in other industries have already been merged to form competitive megacorps while the car industry is still a mess of small uncompetitive (globally) companies.
SAIC's MG is a instantly recognisable brand, that with MG4 selling at a good price point and a very good car initself has made it very popular.
 

tphuang

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I think Seagull production ramp up will happen pretty quickly. This is a clear winner and will just sweep through the A0 class market

update from Denza. Interesting part for me is planned N9 full sized SUV and sedans that target Benz-S class and Porsche Panamera. They are really going after the Germans here. But N7 to N9 seems to me will compete directly with Li Auto. So that will be an interesting battle
 

56860

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BYD Atto 3 & MG ZS EV Take Top Two Positions In New Zealand’s May EV Sales


NZ-May-EV-Sales-Table-1.png
 

mossen

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Sweden achieved a 62% NEV penetration rate last month.

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Here's the top-selling BEV models.

Sweden-Top-BEVs-May-2023.png

Volvo doing really well is expected, but I don't really count them given their long history in Sweden.

MG is the stand-out to me. BYD and others are still missing in action. With Chinese OEMs looking to build factories in Europe and Chinese battery makers building huge plants, I would hope we get more competition soon. Outside of Tesla, US carmakers are completely dead.

Europe remains a big opportunity for Chinese carmakers but so far, they seem a bit cautious. BYD has expanded more aggressively in ASEAN and Israel.
 

sndef888

Captain
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Sweden achieved a 62% NEV penetration rate last month.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Here's the top-selling BEV models.

Sweden-Top-BEVs-May-2023.png

Volvo doing really well is expected (local support), but MG is the stand-out to me. BYD and others are still missing in action. With Chinese OEMs looking to build factories in Europe and Chinese battery makers building huge plants, I would hope we get more competition soon. Outside of Tesla, US carmakers are completely dead.

Europe remains a big opportunity for Chinese carmakers but so far, they seem a bit cautious. BYD has expanded more aggressively in ASEAN and Israel.
At the rate things are going, SAIC's MG may soon become an overseas focused brand.

MG barely sold 6000 units in the entirety of China in April. Meanwhile they're selling 1k units in a tiny country like Sweden.

SAIC's other brands (Roewe, Feifan, IM) are doing even worse.

I can foresee SAIC becoming a company of basically just MG exports + VW/GM joint venture



It also kind of makes me wonder if Chinese car companies should just buy a brand name like Mitsubishi to sell rebadged cars in Japan/US/Europe/India.

Looking at MG reviews, it feels to me like even though europeans know it is a completely Chinese car, they don't nitpick it like they do with other Chinese cars simply because of the logo.
 
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Lethe

Captain
An update from Australia...

April 2023 Sales
MG (SAIC): 3463
GWM: 2216
LDV (SAIC): 1437
BYD: 1118
Chery: 425

April is Chery's first month on sale, so I would assume a fair proportion of those are dealer demonstrators.

Another update from Australia...

May 2023 Sales
MG (SAIC): 4828
GWM: 3241
LDV (SAIC): 2024
BYD: 1448
Chery: 584

MG finished 6th in sales for the month ahead of Mitsubishi, which is a new record, though the latter is still ahead YTD. I've seen one Chery Omoda 5 on the road and heard a radio advertisement.

YTD Rank, Sales, YoY Growth
MG (7th): 20676, +3%
GWM (13th): 13651, +123%
LDV (16th): 8490, +38%
BYD (22nd): 4664 N/A
Chery (34th): 1009 N/A

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CMP

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Chinese auto sector needs to consolidate fast.

This is a once in a lifetime opportunity to take over the global market but China is held back because nobody (other than arguably BYD) is really large enough to build up a global network.

Changan, Wuling, Geely, GAC, Chery, JAC, GWM (+FAW, Dongfeng, SAIC) are all busy getting protectionism subsidies from their state governments and fighting price wars and keyboard wars with each other while selling basically the same cars. Thus keeping each other down.

The central government should stop local protectionism and help Changan absorb all the other companies' market share, especially for family car segment. Changan has strong enough brand name and good-looking enough design that nobody will really miss those companies absorbed. Like, someone who wants a Chery Arrizo 5 will likely be just as happy getting a Changan Eado, or JAC EV3 > Changan Lumin 5 seater version etc etc...
Consolidation does not usually tend to occur when the sector is booming. It tends to occur when the sector is struggling to grow. It comes down to a choice of how best to allocate capital. More for R&D and manufacturing-related capital expenditures? Or more for corporate acquisitions? Right now the cost-benefit equation heavily favors R&D and manufacturing-related capital expenditures. When those become much less of a contributor to growing market cap/valuations/profits, the balance eventually tips in favor of buying up competitors. The exception to this is titans of industry buying up niche startups that give them a new foothold in IP/products/services that are not already in their portfolio.

If I had to take a guess, I would think you'll start to see real consolidation around 2030 (+/- 2.5 years).
 
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