Byd isn't going to have a monopoly. China is too big of a market. I think they are likely to end up with something close to 40% of domestic market like Toyota in Japan. That actually would be a seismic change in global car market.
We are already seeing chery and geely relying on export markets for continued growth. The big problem is facing these legacy automakers in china that have prospered through jvs. If you are china, you want domestic brand to do well. However, the local government in jilin, Beijing and Shanghai aren't going to like seeing their auto industry suffer. So the best outcome is for these large automakers to sell their assets to byd or geely or Huawei as they become less profitable.
We are already seeing chery and geely relying on export markets for continued growth. The big problem is facing these legacy automakers in china that have prospered through jvs. If you are china, you want domestic brand to do well. However, the local government in jilin, Beijing and Shanghai aren't going to like seeing their auto industry suffer. So the best outcome is for these large automakers to sell their assets to byd or geely or Huawei as they become less profitable.