Miscellaneous News

Arnies · Dec 19, 2022

infinity_wor;d said:
Iran is facing a huge problem, like us in China. Their education system is the western one, but their religions and their government need students to think and study for the good of Iran. That creates a gap between what we see and what is actually happening in Iran because those students learn English while the majority in Iran do not. So they control the way to tell the story to the English world. This is why nowadays in the west people regard Iran as a bunch of suicide boomer madmen.

What makes this even worse, is that the religion in Iran is reforming itself, trying to be something modern. In this process, just like any reform in history, good and bad things happen at the same time, making it hard for outside watchers to tell what is really going on.

What I can tell is that Iran developed a good military industry (specializing in drones and missiles), useful military doctrine against terrorists and the US, and a theory that combined religions and realistic thoughts to explain why and what they need to do to fight against the west to gain a better life. Iran and its faction are the most powerful military faction in the middle east.

Do not just regard Iran and its ally as a bunch of suicide boomer madmen. They are not. Madmen can not build drones good enough to export to Russia.

Please understand that when US-backing terrorists have been doing nazi things for decades in the middle east, it is reasonable for people in Iran, Iraq, Syria, Palestine, and other places to choose to sacrifice themself for a better future, a future without western interventionists. They just have no other way to fight. That is also the reason why I support Russia. Nazis just need to die. Good for everyone.

Iran is a highly provocative country that has provoked the wrong people. By the way Iran doesn't have the best Military in Western Asia but 5th or 6th. Iranians aren't known warlike people either compared to the some of the other nations in the West Asia.

Iran has politically played a poor game and imho Iran will be invaded before 2030 a hugely large coalition will march into Iran and that will be the end of the Iranian regime as we know it. The war is absolutely necessary and revocable.. Let anyone who dares fight for Iran on the frontline that day.. It is increasingly approaching

Biscuits · Dec 19, 2022

Arnies said:
Iran is a highly provocative country that has provoked the wrong people. By the way Iran doesn't have the best Military in Western Asia but 5th or 6th. Iranians aren't known warlike people either compared to the some of the other nations in the West Asia.

Iran has politically played a poor game and imho Iran will be invaded before 2030 a hugely large coalition will march into Iran and that will be the end of the Iranian regime as we know it. The war is absolutely necessary and revocable.. Let anyone who dares fight for Iran on the frontline that day.. It is increasingly approaching

I don't discount the notion that US along with whatever coalition they can find that still has firepower and money after wasting it in Ukraine might rush into Iran like a bull after seeing red. Especially once America realizes their China invasion plans are impossible to realize.

But doing so will be stepping into a death trap. Beijing will bury Washington's superpower ambitions there.

Iran has a massive population and the country is largely mountainous. They can recieve constant aid and there are no good invasion entry points for America. Due to the size of Iran, some level of conscription will be a must if US wishes to invade.

Straits of Hormuz are a natural choke point where you don't even need good ISR to aim a few "donated" high tech PLA (or even Russian) missiles to bag an American CVN... If America loses just a few carriers and/or a dozen destroyers, even if Iran is conventionally defeated in the end after a massive slog, it will be a morale loss.

The Iran people will pay the price for it by being reduced to anarchy, but in the context of the superpower contest, America will take a major or even ultimate loss.

As I see it, baiting America into a prospective Iran war is one of the least costly and least risky ways for China to end the second cold war.

TK3600 · Dec 19, 2022

Arnies said:
Iran is a highly provocative country that has provoked the wrong people. By the way Iran doesn't have the best Military in Western Asia but 5th or 6th. Iranians aren't known warlike people either compared to the some of the other nations in the West Asia.

Iran has politically played a poor game and imho Iran will be invaded before 2030 a hugely large coalition will march into Iran and that will be the end of the Iranian regime as we know it. The war is absolutely necessary and revocable.. Let anyone who dares fight for Iran on the frontline that day.. It is increasingly approaching

Let me guess:

(In rank of power)
Russia
Turkey
Egypt
Israel
Iran
Saudi Arabia

taxiya · Dec 19, 2022

Arnies said:
Iran is a highly provocative country that has provoked the wrong people. By the way Iran doesn't have the best Military in Western Asia but 5th or 6th. Iranians aren't known warlike people either compared to the some of the other nations in the West Asia.

Iran has politically played a poor game and imho Iran will be invaded before 2030 a hugely large coalition will march into Iran and that will be the end of the Iranian regime as we know it. The war is absolutely necessary and revocable.. Let anyone who dares fight for Iran on the frontline that day.. It is increasingly approaching

You will be a coward if you do not stand on the frontline to face your Iranian enemy on that day. Talking is cheap, provoking war without the nerves to shed blood is chicken.

Overbom · Dec 19, 2022

Biscuits said:
I don't discount the notion that US along with whatever coalition they can find that still has firepower and money after wasting it in Ukraine might rush into Iran like a bull after seeing red. Especially once America realizes their China invasion plans are impossible to realize.

But doing so will be stepping into a death trap. Beijing will bury Washington's superpower ambitions there.

Iran has a massive population and the country is largely mountainous. They can recieve constant aid and there are no good invasion entry points for America. Due to the size of Iran, some level of conscription will be a must if US wishes to invade.

Straits of Hormuz are a natural choke point where you don't even need good ISR to aim a few "donated" high tech PLA (or even Russian) missiles to bag an American CVN... If America loses just a few carriers and/or a dozen destroyers, even if Iran is conventionally defeated in the end after a massive slog, it will be a morale loss.

The Iran people will pay the price for it by being reduced to anarchy, but in the context of the superpower contest, America will take a major or even ultimate loss.

Unless it changes course (read: become US vassal) real quick, Serbia is probably next

Biscuits · Dec 19, 2022

Overbom said:
Unless it changes course (read: become US vassal) real quick, Serbia is probably next

Serbia would be an easy target. Its location more or less makes it American internal affairs.

It is good for China when the central government of the west fires in anger on other westerners, but I don't think China can do anything to help Serbia other than thoughts and prayers (and atgms, small arms).

ACuriousPLAFan · Dec 19, 2022

NiuBiDaRen said:
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1604791922911899648

Jesus Christ, would love to see the reactions when those Hong Kongers applied for asylum in Great Britain get shipped out to Rwanda.

Lmao. Freaking out?

All of them should be thankful and be blessed that they are gonna be sent to Rwanda (one of the few African countries that are undergoing the rapid and stable development and growth in economy, lifelihood and quality of life) and not countries like Sudan, Chad, Mali, Burkina Faso etc (with ongoing civil wars and insurgencies, resulting in poor socioeconomic growth, widespread poverty and low quality of life).

In fact, they should take their deportation to Rwanda as a chance to "discipline" themselves so that they would be grateful of what they originally have in Hong Kong that China has been provided them with all these while.

Serves them right.

Arnies · Dec 19, 2022

Arnies said:
Pretty much...

The Americans will expect a Chinese offensive on Taiwan but that is the wrong move to begin with but in any case China should promote Taiwan as the main target and mobilize and last minute genius tactical U-turn towards India and the Americans won't care about the Indians becoming one of the first elements to exit the chessboard.

With Pakistan, IEA alliance alongside China this will be a quick conclusion to the Indian frontline where there will be a pre-determined and pre-agreed demarcation line between the invading parties where India gets splited into 4 parts.. meaning 4 influence zones.

The Americans will be relieved that India gets sacrificed first because in the same time the Americans will be busy taking out Russia and Iran.

Meaning China looks the other way and lets it happen while the Americans look the other way on India.. Once India, Russia and Iran exits the chessboard. China goes east to Taiwan, South Korea and Japan whereas AfPak goes to West Asia.

WW3 will be a 3 rounds saga in my opinion lasting approx 10-15 years.

The US can't collide with China before dealing with Russia and their lackey's in the Western part of Eurasia.. Hence a collision with China is unfeasible in the short term and can only be feasible after these battles are settled and the same with China all tho India is irrelevant it still poses some what of a stepping edge knife that can't be trusted and it can be crucial for the Chinese future and longvity if they were to leave India there for a long duration of time they could end up paying the heavy price ultimately which means they have to go thru India period to realize the longvity of the han.. Politics can change with the wind and India is like a vagina that can shift with whomever pleases it tomorrow... Nobody sane would trust such a person hence they by default are top of the menu...

Biscuits · Dec 19, 2022

Arnies said:
Pretty much...

The Americans will expect a Chinese offensive on Taiwan but that is the wrong move to begin with but in any case China should promote Taiwan as the main target and mobilize and last minute genius tactical U-turn towards India and the Americans won't care about the Indians becoming one of the first elements to exit the chessboard.

With Pakistan, IEA alliance alongside China this will be a quick conclusion to the Indian frontline where there will be a pre-determined and pre-agreed demarcation line between the invading parties where India gets splited into 4 parts.. meaning 4 influence zones.

The Americans will be relieved that India gets sacrificed first because in the same time the Americans will be busy taking out Russia and Iran.

Meaning China looks the other way and lets it happen while the Americans look the other way on India.. Once India, Russia and Iran exits the chessboard. China goes east to Taiwan, South Korea and Japan whereas AfPak goes to West Asia.

WW3 will be a 3 rounds saga in my opinion lasting approaching 10-15 years.

Why would China fight India though?

China unlike America has no strict need to map paint in order to keep themselves relevant. They already acquired economical and industrial advantage without having to invade anyone. They didn't even need to finish the civil war either.

Looting India would require more than just rolling in, India's "wealth" is all in population, unlike Iraq or Syria that has wealth in oil. So China would need to do nation building to see any long term dividends.

In the current status quo, China can easily shield itself from sudden crazy Indian aggression because of natural chokepoints.

The way I see it, China will just continue the 2020s and 2030s by keeping pace in the arms race. They will keep Taiwan out of reach for America like how America kept West Germany out of reach for the USSR.

Local "small" wars such as Ukraine that don't directly involve China but saps at NATO strength are a big benefit for China. More such scenarios will happen, and each time it causes a depletion of NATO, as well as swing states leaving America.

China is not in a hurry to end the civil war. Nobody is dying right now, and as stated above, China's greatest advantage is that it has everything it needs on the mainland. They may as well wait until America experienced its Gorbachev moment first before ending the KMT.

Arnies · Dec 19, 2022

Biscuits said:
Why would China fight India though?

China unlike America has no strict need to map paint in order to keep themselves relevant. They already acquired economical and industrial advantage without having to invade anyone. They didn't even need to finish the civil war either.

Looting India would require more than just rolling in, India's "wealth" is all in population, unlike Iraq or Syria that has wealth in oil. So China would need to do nation building to see any long term dividends.

In the current status quo, China can easily shield itself from sudden crazy Indian aggression because of natural chokepoints.

The way I see it, China will just continue the 2020s and 2030s by keeping pace in the arms race. They will keep Taiwan out of reach for America like how America kept West Germany out of reach for the USSR.

Local "small" wars such as Ukraine that don't directly involve China but saps at NATO strength are a big benefit for China. More such scenarios will happen, and each time it causes a depletion of NATO, as well as swing states leaving America.

China is not in a hurry to end the civil war. Nobody is dying right now, and as stated above, China's greatest advantage is that it has everything it needs on the mainland. They may as well wait until America experienced its Gorbachev moment first before ending the KMT.

China will lose WWIII if it fails to addresse the India situation.. They aren't threat by themselves but they can be used as mercenaries.. It's a country of servitude and live for to serve others hence they will also provide the hand to eventually undo you all tho they themselves don't pose threat but anyone who has ambitions to march into China could make use of them..

This is why China will eventually get defeated by the Americans not because the Americans are strong just smarter geo-politically and empire building.

You can't grow if you don't understand what blocks your path or what can or could be a threat against you

In the words of Malcolm X..

Miscellaneous News

Arnies

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Biscuits

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TK3600

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taxiya

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Overbom

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Biscuits

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ACuriousPLAFan

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Arnies

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Biscuits

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Arnies

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