Miscellaneous News

S

SanWenYu

Major
Registered Member
Temstar said:
What good is Yoon hanging onto power by himself when everyone else is bailing out
Click to expand...
If Yoon steps down now, the opposition will for sure win the follow-up election (in 60 days after the resignation or impeachment). He will then be on his way to jail. If he can hang onto the presidency, how powerlessly he will be, that title will at least give him some immunity so he can count on that there will be new events distracting the attention of the public away from him. Being a lame duck is way better than being dead.

The ruling party also doesn't want to have an election this soon. So both Yoon and the ruling party have common ground to share at this point.
 
I

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
SanWenYu said:
If Yoon steps down now, the opposition will for sure win the follow-up election (in 60 days after the resignation or impeachment). He will then be on his way to jail. If he can hang onto the presidency, how powerlessly he will be, that title will at least give him some immunity so he can count on that there will be new events distracting the attention of the public away from him. Being a lame duck is way better than being dead.

The ruling party also doesn't want to have an election this soon. So both Yoon and the ruling party have common ground to share at this point.
Click to expand...
Statistics suggest he died the moment he won the election
 
J

jiajia99

Senior Member
Registered Member
FairAndUnbiased said:
Many people who forget how power really works in Asian countries: the dragon robe doesn't give power to the emperor, the emperor gives power to the dragon robe. A powerless emperor's robe doesn't mean anything as all the emperors that got puppeted by their ministers and eunuch found out.

Yoon was never the boss. He made the classical mistake of thinking the robe gave him power.
Click to expand...
Honestly wonder how long he will last and if the USA can bail him out like they normally did in Ukraine and Israel as of recently. Then again even their protect in this day and age is rapidly becoming more and more uncertain given how degraded they have become. Hence I reckon his chances of survival isn’t going to all that certain unless he boards a plane right now. He’s like the local version of Johnny Somali only that his crime as even worse and the whole nation is enraged. Being a direct pawn of the USA doesn’t really pay off well, I mean look at Zelensky and possibly sooner or later Netanyahu, all these people will eventually go out as hated people whose end will benefit the nation more
 
I

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
TK3600 said:
No they wont. It is easier to smuggle from third party than make it. So all it does is making military use more expensive than stop it altogether.

If China is serious, like in a war time scenario. They would ban all export of rare earth. Then you will see US actually run out.
Click to expand...
That's the interesting part with the latest sanctions, it extended ban to third parties, which is implicitly a ban on export to all US allied countries. After all how can anyone in Japan or SK prove they won't send the gallium to Americans occupying their country.
 
9dashline

9dashline

Major
Registered Member
plawolf said:
This is actually a somewhat worrying development to me.

Rare earth minerals are not actually all that rare in terms of global distribution. It’s just in found in ultra low concentrations in the soil, so you need really advanced refining and processing tech to make it economical viable.

But the thing is, if you throw economic viability out the window and just spend what it takes to make it, it’s entirely possible to set up an industry to make enough for military needs within a few years.

You will get increasing pressure on US weapons manufacturers for maybe 1-2 years as they run down existing stocks until you reach peak disruption where it might get so bad that they start to struggle to meet normal production demands. But eventually as few rare earth processing facilities start to produce products, that pressure will start to ease, and in 10-20 years time the west will be self sufficient for their rare earth needs.

That means China thinks war is very likely to break out within the next few years that enacting sanctions now will yield maximum damage and disruption to the U.S. MIC in those years before their alternative rare earth production can come on stream.

There are so many other cards China can play, that making this move as its first more looks like war prep to me. And it’s not a subtle message either. So I think this is Beijing sending Trump a not so veiled warning that this time around, China is ready for both a trade war and a hot war.

The biggest question mark is whether Trump and his sycophants are smart enough to get the message.
Click to expand...
Also, China cant afford to let US win the race to AGI first.... so that might also be the bigger reason, even without a hot war.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top