In retrospect of the past week, we can expect the following things:
1. A split in Imperium Americana as their European vassals assert greater independence over support for the Ukraine-Russia War. Biden's old school transatlantic alliance is basically an exchange of EU economic, political and social concessions for US military aid. Since Trump doesn't want to give aid anymore, then it is not getting the economic/political/social concessions anymore. Expect more US social media to be banned.
2. I must admit that China played the EU-RU-US game well, and I underestimated their political shrewdness. EU has disdain for China, but absolutely abhors Trump. China did not change, EU changed, but their transatlantic faction was humiliated. They will need to come to China again, with hat in hand. China is the only country that can fulfill all of EU's economic, technological and social development goals. What is Ukraine, compared to the future of all Europe and even humanity?
3. Now the US will be pro climate change, completely against the interests of the entire world. China must educate the entire world, and particularly the EU and ASEAN, on not only the objectively greatest contribution to combating climate change and environmental degradation in the world, but on the great harm that US, Japan, South Korea, Philippines and Taiwan cause to the global environment.
4. US is going to increase taxes on all its East Asian vassals. Japan is the only one with the capability to resist, whether it has the will to do so is a question. Expect an even more hostile South Korea, which is not so bad, since they're also the ones in the weakest position, worse than Taiwan - Taiwan is an island, but South Korea is an island only for them and not an island for China. South Korea may yet become a brief experiment in the history of the Korean nation, a small few-decade interlude between centuries of Chinese influence.
5. Weakening Imperium Americana abroad causes further repression and division at home. Expect many American refugees to flee abroad, starting with those who have the most to lose and most ability to leave: Asian Americans, leftist (not liberal) whites and LGBT whites. This is perhaps ~10% of the US population [~30 million]. Those who do not see themselves as threatened, such as Latinos, or who have little ability to leave, like blacks, will form an axis of instability as Trump's policies inflict harm on them. Liberal whites will turn on their former allies of the 'rainbow coalition' in the end, mark my words. China can offer refuge for the qualified and direct the less qualified to other places that may benefit more from their presence.
5. Rabidly anti China policies that will not change until major humiliation and defeat cause it to shrink back into its corner. We cannot risk a repeat of WW2 where Adolf Hitler's escalations were met with appeasement. Pushback on all forms of aggression is the only way to ensure peace.
