how do you know that?. Systems like Patriot and Thaad are refined over long time and deployed in Mideast in addition UAE ordered newest Korean SAMs and GaN AWACS . They wealthy countries and cannot afford this continuous surveillance over much smaller area when things drags out over years.China's counter air complex is the most capable ever built. Unless they're using IRBMs they're gonna need literally thousands of missiles to do operationally significant damage.
you are presuming they not doing SEAD and ignoring that Russia has deployed largest helicopter fleet of modern war.If Russia's aerial operations are so effective then why haven't they conducted any SEAD operations since the beginning of the war? If Russia is able to use its strategic bombers to drop cheap gravity bombs onto uke cities, this war would be over a week.
but one thig is clear that most of Russian missiles were launched from around Caspian Sea this show confidence in manufacturing quality to send to stuff from such a distance. and Ukrainians numbers cannot be taken as reliable. these are all estimates.
In addition, according to Ihnat, the complexity of these calculations is also due to the fact that the Ukrainian Air Force did not have its current capabilities in the first weeks of the war, so it is difficult to establish where and what the Russian army used against Ukraine at that time.