Possible measures by China that I can think of:Personally I think sanctions are most likely.
Holy S she's above 80 already. That's Hu Jintao age.
I posted before that the reserves aren't really big deal because of how they are likely using it as collaterals. But hypothetically, if China wants to spend those reserves quickly, they could do long-term contracts with commodity producers in countries except US and their allies, with upfront payment using those reserves directly. This way the prices will not rise up rapidly, and China can still enjoy a steady stream of commodities and resources to be spent in their manufacturing or selling it back at the market when they can't store anymore.But how? If they’re buying military hardware from Chinese weapons makers, they’re spending yuan. They can buy steel/iron/commodities/chemicals from other countries to build the military hardware, but it would massively drive the up price they pay themselves because this is 2-3 Trillion of materials we’re talking about here. All the world’s iron producers just simply cannot supply China with a trillion dollars of steel or iron ore on a whim.
Tinfoil hat : it's a face saving method to cancel the visit without being called as weak.Maybe a Guan Yu is looking over China. Taiwan trip canceled i guess
But how? If they’re buying military hardware from Chinese weapons makers, they’re spending yuan. They can buy steel/iron/commodities/chemicals from other countries to build the military hardware, but it would massively drive the up price they pay themselves because this is 2-3 Trillion of materials we’re talking about here. All the world’s iron producers just simply cannot supply China with a trillion dollars of steel or iron ore on a whim.
Chinese causality weapon in action???
Whoops, looks like I was late. Maybe a late addition would help?Possible measures by China that I can think of:
1. Impose sanctions against high-ranking US and Taiwanese government officials, as usual;
2. PLAN and PLAAF conduct huge scale joint military exercises just off Taiwan (say, 25-30 nautical miles off Taiwan's coast) by the PLAN and PLAAF throughout the duration of Peloski's visit, preferably in regions closest to the place where Pelosi's summit with Tsai is going to take place (I expect Taipei);
3. PLAAF and PLAGF conduct simultaneous joint flyovers over all outlying islands currently administered by Taiwan (Kinmen, Matsu, Penghu etc), preferably several times throughout Peloski's visit; and
4. PLAAF and PLAGF conduct multiple joint flights which aim towards towards Taiwan using large amounts of fighters, bombers, tankers, AWACS, etc at once, then turn away from Taiwan right before the 12 nautical mile territorial airspace line of Taiwan.
5. Conduct deliberate intrusions around the edges of Taiwanese territorial airspace (like within 9-12 nautical miles of Taiwan's coasts) using drones available in PLA's arsenal, preferably in regions closest to major Taiwanese urban areas (such as Taipei, Tainan, Taichung, Kaoshiung, etc).
These should be enough to send a clear warning to both Taiwan and the USA.