The risk of sanctions is high so the Russians need to offer more discounts.
Its all part of the risk-benefit calculus
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- Thread starter bd popeye
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Its all part of the risk-benefit calculus
Likely we are gonna see a lot of 'new' companies in China that are gonna exclusive trade with Russia (or maybe also Iran and North Korea lol).
It's a difficult choice to make. On the one hand I think to just let the Russians fight the way they want to, they need to learn from their mistakes. They could have bought squadrons of WL-2 from China and this war would have been over. They had too much pride or didn't trust Chinese platforms and it's costing them.
Xi has done excellent to avoid getting pulled into this new cold war. If it was between the west and Russia with China economically supporting Russia. On the other hand the war dragging on for months would have a high humanitarian cost. What if Russia gets desperate and decides to use nukes?
American threats or sanctions don't mean anything. Western civilisation would collapse without Chinese exports and Russian energy and they would go back to living in caves, hunting, rubbing sticks for fire etc.
Is this a confirmation that America won't defend Taiwan militarily?
I'd take that deal. Conquer Taiwan, demilitarise them, and leave a PLA garrison in place. Have a one country two systems in place, and soon the Americans will stop their sanctions.
Ah, I feel sentimentality watching this political mass gathering. We don't do that anymore in China after the Mao era (and certainly not after the foreign instignated attempt of color revolution in 1989) and have returned to traditional, dull and colorless bureaucrats running the place.
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manqiangrexue
Brigadier
LOL She thinks she was talking tough shit but she just confirmed that America won't fight. "If your son beats up my son at school, you will get SUCH a nasty letter from me," pretty much confirms there's not gonna be a door knock with brass knuckles waiting.
Of course US won't defend Taiwan. US refuses to even sell F-35s to Taiwan, why would US shed any blood for a nation it doesn't trust with it's fancy tech?
I think US will sanction the living shit out Taiwan though (e.g., the Xinjiang cotton ban treatment), even if means Apple needs to use Samsung/Intel technology instead of TSMC (sob, 5nm, sob). I'm pretty sure US sanctions on Taiwan will last forever, as they will try to economically cripple Taiwan so it foments dissent as they tried with Xinjiang.
I suggest China waits until WW3, when shit hits the fan, Koreans duking it out, Iranians vs. Israelis, Russians vs. Europeans, then strike Taiwan. Otherwise, you get ashes/rubble and economically crippled rump state if you attack prematurely. No rush. We can rebuild the world at the same time.
China should be sanctioning the US right now for supporting Taiwan separatists. The motion should be raised in the UN security council, so that the whole world knows Taiwan is not recognized as a country.
I think in WW3, China needs to be prepared for a 2 front war or at least a 1 front + hold. Basically, North Korea doesn't have to win, but they can't lose. A unified Korea under South Korea would be disastrous for China. So activation of the Sino-Korean MDT will be limited to supporting North Korea defensive efforts and safeguarding North Korean sovereignty. This also prevents a North Korean strategic escalation if they feel their existence is threatened.
But, if in the course of the war South Korea or it's allies on South Korean soil starts launching attacks on China and hitting Chinese assets, all bets are off. I'd say that would be the time to push foreign forces and puppets into the ocean.
In either case, Taiwan will likely declare independence at this time, and open up a new front. So there will broadly be an entire ECS front on land, air and water.