Miscellaneous News

pmc

Major
Registered Member
Yes Germany will suffer from higher fuel prices. But how much more will Russia. If the sanctions stay, which most likely will, Russian GDP is expected to shrink 14% in just 2 years.

If people think Russia tech industry is falling behind, or how it's military lacks funding now, it will be much much worse from here forward.
Russia economy does not contracts when its imports contracts from EU while the value of what it produces skyrocket.
start with Gold production. Gold value goes up. the more Gold is produced.
price of agriculture goes up. More investment is allocated to Agriculture.
this basic hyundai car produced in Russia. it cost $14k in dollar exchange rate but same car produced in Turkey cost $25K. i dont think Turkish cars have all the features of cold weather. when Turkey cannot produce cheaper what hope for other?
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Chinese have automobile factory in Russia and Belarus. i presume they are going to greatly expand it to 3rd shift in 2022. as dealer network is expanding.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
Russia has limited stockpile of PGM. Most pilots have limited experience training with PGM. They were using unencrypted radios bought from taobao for $20. Moral is low as is professionalism. Russia military is not as strong as we thought. Yes if Russian economy contracts by 14%, it will further gut its military. Good luck beefing up your military when you are broke.
And because Russian military has been more or less exposed as not the bogeyman everyone in the west made it to be, the hyenas on the prowl have become emboldened and brazen with their tough talk and actually crossing the rubicon of fighting the bear. Which leads me to my other point which is the military perceived weakness of the Russian military may inevitably have created an even more tantalizing opportunity for America to test the PLA vis-a-vis Taiwan since much of the PLA military hardwares were an essential copies of the Russians that aren't exactly making a great impression on her enemies. Not to mention that the PLA as a fighting force have yet to see any type of kinetic action at it's current modernization format. The U.S. has tons of experience that they can draw upon institutionaly from the bazillion wars they have waged all throughout the succeeding decades. I hope my perception on this is totally bunked and puerile because I would really really hate for a war to happen again in Asia, especially with China against Taiwan at the U.S. behest.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
And because Russian military has been more or less exposed as not the bogeyman everyone in the west made it to be, the hyenas on the prowl have become emboldened and brazen with their tough talk and actually crossing the rubicon of fighting the bear. Which leads me to my other point which is the military perceived weakness of the Russian military may inevitably have created an even more tantalizing opportunity for America to test the PLA vis-a-vis Taiwan since much of the PLA military hardwares were an essential copies of the Russians that aren't exactly making a great impression on her enemies. Not to mention that the PLA as a fighting force have yet to see any type of kinetic action at it's current modernization format. The U.S. has tons of experience that they can draw upon institutionaly from the bazillion wars they have waged all throughout the succeeding decades. I hope my perception on this is totally bunked and puerile because I would really really hate for a war to happen again in Asia, especially with China against Taiwan at the U.S. behest.
But if war is to happen because every legal and diplomatic avenue have been exhausted, then all I can say is fight without mercy: Bellum Romanum.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Actually I expected to see way more Russian tank losses due to enemy fire.
Especially given that NATO has funneled thousands of ATGMs into Ukraine.
The Russians also do not seem to have lost any aircraft in air to air combat which is better than what I expected.
The Russians do seem to be losing a lot of lightly armored vehicles and supply columns. But US also lost lots of supply columns in Iraq.
I am kind of surprised I have not seen that many BTR-80As or BMP-3s.
 

emblem21

Major
Registered Member
Yes Germany will suffer from higher fuel prices. But how much more will Russia. If the sanctions stay, which most likely will, Russian GDP is expected to shrink 14% in just 2 years.

If people think Russia tech industry is falling behind, or how it's military lacks funding now, it will be much much worse from here forward.
Better to have an economy that shrinks for a few years but can eventually rebound later, then a economy that is outright dead or going to die painfully due to US interference. If the EU cannot fix their problems without inflation exploding out of control, well they would wish they would shrink by that percentage. Also to note is that the USA still cannot fix their current predicament and should a civil war start kicking off, well they can kiss good bye to even negative growth. This is a crisis that can open the way for the US and west by extension in particular to suffer that fate although I admit that Russia will definitely suffer set backs but really I cannot see how Europe can become completive in comparison to Asia when the costs of goods and the cost of making them are going to sky rock because a lot of the grains, oil and gas and resources do come from Russia, the cutting off of these resources will spell out a lot of inflation and pain for Europe, one that cannot be reversed even in a decade. Sanctions will merely encourage Russia to find alternative markets but for Europe, they may have a bit of difficulty doing the same given how Russia is the only nation that can provide the resources at a lower cost then almost every other provider in the region.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Europe is self sufficient in term of food. The problem is inputs like fertilizer or energy. There are no easy solutions to this.
In theory you can use nuclear to provide both but in several European countries like Germany and Italy there is an irrational political opposition to its use. Even if there was a crash program to replace oil products it would take a decade and a half to do it.
The US will try to get Iranian oil but Iran cannot possibly replace all the many inputs Europe will lose from trade with Russia.
 
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