Miscellaneous News

9dashline

Captain
Registered Member
Chinese EV sector is entirely a result of a national industrial policy, which gives China a chance to leap ahead of the global automobile industry. It was unthinkable even 10 years ago that China auto industry would catch up with Germany or Japan. Now Chinese EV industry is definitely ahead of Germany and Japan. That, I think, is the prime factor that the US is re-thinking about industrial policy.
Chip independence and EUV and related supply chain etc definetly should be treated by China as even more important than the American Manhattan Project and Apollo Project combined
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Chip independence and EUV and related supply chain etc definetly should be treated by China as even more important than the American Manhattan Project and Apollo Project combined
I think that semiconductor equipment independence is the real question. Without the equipment you have no fab. With the equipment (all of it, not just lithography) you can have some fabs but always keep the ability to expand in your back pocket. That's why Japan, even with their Cold War era lithography tools, can still compete in semiconductor: they at least have the complete toolkit even if it's not a good toolkit.
 

Topazchen

Junior Member
Registered Member
im not too optimisitic about future of humanity, odds are the energy crunch will do us all in by 2050 or most certainly by 2100...

but I know that if any civilization can climb out of the energy trap, its China for sure... which means if US defeats China in Thucydides Trap, then there is absolute zero chance for humanity

in the longest of scales intelligent life in the universe will be robotic/ai/machine and nonbiological... but thats assuming humanity makes it for the next couple hundred years and long enough to give rise to full AGI that goes singularity to omega point etc
Chinese defeat is not an option because it carries with it the hopes and aspirations of much of the global south. I can't imagine a 5,000 year old civilization state of 1.5 billion people submitting to a 250 year old settler colony of 300 million people.

The current world order must be upended either through peaceful means (which we all prefer) or through violence if it must come to that .The alternative is eternal Western economic and political subjugation of not just China but much of the world.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
“We must understand that we are a tiny tiny nation caught in between two superpowers,” Marcos said in a mixture of Filipino and Tagalog in a recent press interview where he ruled out tighter security cooperation with Washington to check China’s ambitions

During the lengthy interview, observers noticed he barely mentioned the Philippine-US Mutual Defense Treaty, which obliges Washington to come to the Philippines’ assistance in the event of any armed conflict in the South China Sea.

In the DZRH radio interview, Marcos echoed the same position, arguing that leveraging defense ties with the US is a “recipe for disaster, which would ensure that China will not listen to us anymore.”


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weig2000

Captain
In the DZRH radio interview, Marcos echoed the same position, arguing that leveraging defense ties with the US is a “recipe for disaster, which would ensure that China will not listen to us anymore.”

This is a piece of wisdom and sage advice that hopefully all Washington's vassals/allies will learn. The US has created this security web that has increasingly become a trap for those it took under its wing. Granted, after the WWII, the security treaties and guarantees that the US extended had played some stabilizing roles, at the cost of loss of some independence and sovereignty to those vassals/allies. But nowadays, these relationships are being leveraged by the US for its own selfish purposes and as a mechanism to keep them in line without giving regards to the real national interest of these countries.
 

tokenanalyst

Brigadier
Registered Member
I think that semiconductor equipment independence is the real question. Without the equipment you have no fab. With the equipment (all of it, not just lithography) you can have some fabs but always keep the ability to expand in your back pocket. That's why Japan, even with their Cold War era lithography tools, can still compete in semiconductor: they at least have the complete toolkit even if it's not a good toolkit.
I absolutely agree. Is no about isolation but about creating a secure ecosystem of suppliers, also sends a message to some governments to no play politics with the supply chain or they will be consequences. Because lets be clear if it weren't for the existence of companies like AMEC, Naura, SMEE and others, the US would have blocked the sale of any advanced SME and software to China years ago.
 
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