Miscellaneous News

plawolf

Lieutenant General
What's the protest about anyway? Nevermind, apparently the rising anger and the protest is about the rising cost of energy.



It's unfortunate that the YouTube linke from AFP doesn't work but looking through the actions of the government against Kazakhstani people one can be forgiven for even assuming that they're Chinese and the aggressive action are being made by the PAP. It's not even inconceivable for any malicious actor to try and splice the videos from this country and make it look like it's happening or being done in China like many other alleged and cooked up anti-China drivel/propaganda.

Well, one thing is for sure, one could not possibly mistake the police action in Kazakhstan for American, since the APC would be driving the other way, over as many rioters as possible if it was American police.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
What's the protest about anyway? Nevermind, apparently the rising anger and the protest is about the rising cost of energy.



It's unfortunate that the YouTube linke from AFP doesn't work but looking through the actions of the government against Kazakhstani people one can be forgiven for even assuming that they're Chinese and the aggressive action are being made by the PAP. It's not even inconceivable for any malicious actor to try and splice the videos from this country and make it look like it's happening or being done in China like many other alleged and cooked up anti-China drivel/propaganda.
What the f..k is wrong with that country. First, they deposed the previous guy back in 2019 to have this new President Tokarev as their new guy. The expectation for the people to have their economic well-being improved must be sky high expecting that it'll be pie in the sky within the span of less than a decade.

Good luck Kazakhstan.
 

Xizor

Captain
Registered Member
What the f..k is wrong with that country. First, they deposed the previous guy back in 2019 to have this new President Tokarev as their new guy. The expectation for the people to have their economic well-being improved must be sky high expecting that it'll be pie in the sky within the span of less than a decade.

Good luck Kazakhstan.
Remember that China has oil pipeline with Kazakhstan. That and many rare earth elements.
I really hope this isn't a Ukraine situation where another previous USSR republic is turned into a pro NATO state. Making inroads into Central Asia comes at a time when China is building network vital to its future growth.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Remember that China has oil pipeline with Kazakhstan. That and many rare earth elements.
I really hope this isn't a Ukraine situation where another previous USSR republic is turned into a pro NATO state. Making inroads into Central Asia comes at a time when China is building network vital to its future growth.
Kazakhstan is far too deep inside Russia’s sphere of influence to become a NATO base.

The only remotely viable land access is through Georgia, who I’m sure have not forgotten the lessons Putin taught them so soon.

If NATO was stupid enough to try to set up a military base there, it would be the perfect place for Russia and China to totally curbstomp them.

This looks more like domestic troubles, with any western actions designed purely to cause as much chaos and damage as possible to set fires that Russia, and maybe the SCO will need to put out. It will not have much grander geo strategic designs beyond such petty vandalism. Because anything more would be a gross overreach and be effectively begging for Russia and China to push back hard and punish them badly.
 

Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs

Taiwan should destroy chip infrastructure if China invades: paper​


NEW YORK -- In the most-downloaded paper published by the U.S. Army War College in 2021, two American scholars propose a Taiwan deterrence strategy to render the island so "unwantable" that it would make no logical sense for China to seize it by force.

One key recommendation is for the U.S. and Taiwan to threaten to destroy facilities of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. -- the world's most important chipmaker and China's most important supplier -- if Beijing invades.
Samsung, based in U.S. ally South Korea, would be the only alternative for cutting-edge designs. If TSMC went offline, "China's high-tech industries would be immobilized at precisely the same time the nation was embroiled in a massive war effort," the authors note. "Even when the formal war ended, the economic costs would persist for years,"
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suggests, adding that such a scenario could hurt the legitimacy of the Chinese Communist Party.

The challenge, the authors argue, is to make such a threat credible. "An automatic mechanism might be designed, which would be triggered once an invasion was confirmed," they write.

"Despite a huge Chinese effort for a 'Made in China' chip industry, only 6% of semiconductors used in China were produced domestically in 2020," the paper notes.

"Broken Nest: Deterring China from Invading Taiwan" was written by Jared McKinney, chair of the Department of Strategy and Security Studies at the eSchool of Graduate Professional Military Education, Air University, and Peter Harris, associate professor of political science at Colorado State University. The views do not necessarily represent those of Air University or the U.S. Air Force, McKinney said.

China has responded strongly to the report. On Dec. 23, the website of the Chinese State Council's Taiwan Affairs Office posted an article noting that "the mainland's pursuit of cross-strait reunification is definitely not for TSMC."
The controversial approach stems from an acknowledgement that traditional deterrence strategies -- such as forward-deploying American warships in Taiwan's vicinity -- may not be enough to discourage Beijing from taking action in the Taiwan Strait.

The People's Liberation Army's goal for a successful invasion was 14 hours, a Chinese analyst with connections in the PLA Navy told the authors. The U.S. and Japan, meanwhile, would need 24 hours to respond, according to a PLA projection cited in the paper.

"If this scenario is close to being accurate, China's government might well be inclined to attempt a fait accompli as soon as it is confident in its relative capabilities," McKinney and Harris write.
While ensuring that key chip-producing facilities do not fall into Beijing's hands, the U.S. and allies could also form contingency plans to quickly evacuate highly skilled Taiwanese working in this sector and give them refuge, the paper proposes.

The authors acknowledge that this "scorched-earth" strategy will be unappealing to the Taiwanese. But the costs "will be far less devastating to the people of Taiwan than the U.S. threat of great power war, which would see massive and prolonged fighting in, above, and beside Taiwan," they continue.

McKinney told Nikkei Asia that the plan brings the economic instruments of power into the deterrence argument and that it offers "an alternative to fighting a great power war at a location 5,000 miles west of Hawaii, a prohibitively difficult proposition."

Harris said: "If the U.S. and Taiwan wish to deter China from invading, then they should look for means of doing so that do not rely on the threat of U.S. military reprisals. Relying exclusively on military threats is becoming less credible and thus more dangerous."

Meanwhile, the paper proposes making efforts to convince Beijing of the "considerable advantages" to maintaining the status quo.

"Washington must restate in unambiguous terms the status of Taiwan is undetermined, that the United States has no plans to support independent statehood for Taiwan, and it will not seek to shift the status quo using gray-zone tactics that violate the spirit of Sino-American rapprochement," the authors write.

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Non paywall

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Good, this means US Army War College "Scholars" suggests 'Taiwan commit Suicide via scorched earth policy because US isn't going to defend Taiwan. Theoretically, if TSMC is super valuable, it would be worthy of unquestionable US defense right? However, US is abandon a sunk cost and hope for scorched earth to taint CCP reputation more with some "economic damage". These idiots don't understand that NATIONAL REUNIFICATION overrides any economic damage from TSMC or token sanctions from West/US.

US "Scholars" from US Army War College have entered the: "well, Taiwan is lost, but how can we derive a "Win against See See Pee" from it? Ooo... 'economic damage!' " These idiots don't even know the long Civil War and how much we Chinese can endure.
 
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Skywatcher

Captain

Taiwan should destroy chip infrastructure if China invades: paper​


NEW YORK -- In the most-downloaded paper published by the U.S. Army War College in 2021, two American scholars propose a Taiwan deterrence strategy to render the island so "unwantable" that it would make no logical sense for China to seize it by force.

One key recommendation is for the U.S. and Taiwan to threaten to destroy facilities of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. -- the world's most important chipmaker and China's most important supplier -- if Beijing invades.
Samsung, based in U.S. ally South Korea, would be the only alternative for cutting-edge designs. If TSMC went offline, "China's high-tech industries would be immobilized at precisely the same time the nation was embroiled in a massive war effort," the authors note. "Even when the formal war ended, the economic costs would persist for years,"
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
suggests, adding that such a scenario could hurt the legitimacy of the Chinese Communist Party.

The challenge, the authors argue, is to make such a threat credible. "An automatic mechanism might be designed, which would be triggered once an invasion was confirmed," they write.

"Despite a huge Chinese effort for a 'Made in China' chip industry, only 6% of semiconductors used in China were produced domestically in 2020," the paper notes.

"Broken Nest: Deterring China from Invading Taiwan" was written by Jared McKinney, chair of the Department of Strategy and Security Studies at the eSchool of Graduate Professional Military Education, Air University, and Peter Harris, associate professor of political science at Colorado State University. The views do not necessarily represent those of Air University or the U.S. Air Force, McKinney said.

China has responded strongly to the report. On Dec. 23, the website of the Chinese State Council's Taiwan Affairs Office posted an article noting that "the mainland's pursuit of cross-strait reunification is definitely not for TSMC."
The controversial approach stems from an acknowledgement that traditional deterrence strategies -- such as forward-deploying American warships in Taiwan's vicinity -- may not be enough to discourage Beijing from taking action in the Taiwan Strait.

The People's Liberation Army's goal for a successful invasion was 14 hours, a Chinese analyst with connections in the PLA Navy told the authors. The U.S. and Japan, meanwhile, would need 24 hours to respond, according to a PLA projection cited in the paper.

"If this scenario is close to being accurate, China's government might well be inclined to attempt a fait accompli as soon as it is confident in its relative capabilities," McKinney and Harris write.
While ensuring that key chip-producing facilities do not fall into Beijing's hands, the U.S. and allies could also form contingency plans to quickly evacuate highly skilled Taiwanese working in this sector and give them refuge, the paper proposes.

The authors acknowledge that this "scorched-earth" strategy will be unappealing to the Taiwanese. But the costs "will be far less devastating to the people of Taiwan than the U.S. threat of great power war, which would see massive and prolonged fighting in, above, and beside Taiwan," they continue.

McKinney told Nikkei Asia that the plan brings the economic instruments of power into the deterrence argument and that it offers "an alternative to fighting a great power war at a location 5,000 miles west of Hawaii, a prohibitively difficult proposition."

Harris said: "If the U.S. and Taiwan wish to deter China from invading, then they should look for means of doing so that do not rely on the threat of U.S. military reprisals. Relying exclusively on military threats is becoming less credible and thus more dangerous."

Meanwhile, the paper proposes making efforts to convince Beijing of the "considerable advantages" to maintaining the status quo.

"Washington must restate in unambiguous terms the status of Taiwan is undetermined, that the United States has no plans to support independent statehood for Taiwan, and it will not seek to shift the status quo using gray-zone tactics that violate the spirit of Sino-American rapprochement," the authors write.

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Non paywall

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Umm, but how relevant will such a threat be after 2025?

Such a threat could end up making the Mainland the predominant fabbing center for advanced (7nm or smaller) nodes, depending on SMEE's progress by then.
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
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The irony is she's a Jew and the same thing she accuses that Asians just suck up to the elitist can be said of her. She just doesn't think the American right are the elitists in power. The Democrats are more likely to follow right-wing Republican foreign policy than the other way around. Look at China. The US's China policy is all about defending white supremacy in the world.

When I first read what was accused of her, I thought she was talking about East Asians. East Asians aren't political and the ones that do take a position usually but-kiss the right-wing while hating their own. How does a right-winger have a problem with that? Look at Hong Kongers and how they blindly defend the US right-wing. But she was talking about Indians. They do tend to be more political but just like East Asians, they suck up to the right as well. She's a hypocrite because some of things she said such as more likely to be woke, could and has been accused of larger minority groups in the US. Because she was talking to an African-American host, she spewed out the same nonsense but towards another group because she was being woke afraid of the criticism. Asians more likely to adopt American woke policies of Democrats are a problem? The irony is that she just won't come out and say it that she's just anti-immigration. The whole woke thing is just the latest way of how they try to turn some old into something new. The Republicans are being woke because they say they hate the CCP instead saying "Chinese" because it will make them look racist and they know that's a problem for the right when getting their message out. I bet any Chinese that don't blindly follow them are considered communists. That's how they worm their way around from being called racist. The right-wing hate political correctness because it prevents what they think is the truth from being said. Here, they're afraid of just speaking the truth because that will detract even sympathizers that don't want to be known as racists. That is the very definition of things they claim not to like.
 
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Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Look at Hong Kongers and how they blindly defend the US right-wing.
HKer in US here. I voted for Obama and Biden. Most HK-Americans vote Democrat. Ignore those crazy US flag waving people in HK, those are IDIOTS and CIA paid-shills or brainwashed on US propaganda.

Ironically, my parents (also HKer in US) voted for Obama and then for Trump. Ostensibly because of Trump's hardline on China. Guess what Dad? China is a SuperPower and Hong Kong is part of China. And US ain't going to do shit about it. Unfortunately, Dad watches too many anti-China Youtuber shows.
 
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