Miscellaneous News

Xizor

Captain
Registered Member
The US exports hundreds of billions of dollars to RCEP members and even has all time high exports to China. A 1-2% drop in trade (from a CGE model, nonetheless), is barely “fading into irrelevance”
Irrelevance here isn't just economic. It's the fact that US (along with Japan) used to be the main trading partner for ASEAN region for sometime and therefore had a sway in the region for decades. Now, inter ASEAN trade along with China trade has made US less impactful. US can't turn the region against one another and the close trade with China ( along with significant infrastructure development projects China introduces) makes US power less relevant.

If one counts the dollars, then US indeed hasn't lost relevance. But it can't call the shots or play the geopolitics game with much ease as before. A strong Anti War, Anti confrontation, pro stability, pro economy tendency has evolved. I suspect the economic crashes of 1990s of ASEAN had a big role to play here. There are some components, some of which is linked to US. US "forcing" Japan to sign the Plaza Accords and subsequent economic bubble burst and the impact it had on ASEAN countries which depended on Japanese Investments/Credit and of course the IMF swooping down to "help" are some big factors.

Most would know what kind of help does IMF really give. The help from IMF comes with conditions that are often impractical and unsuited for developing countries ( like advocating less government involvement, less state backed enterprises, more capitalism ( without the capital) etc). Members from ASEAN countries here ?

Any case, USA is not relevant as it once had been. Each ASEAN country have their reasons but RCEP will build more economic dependencies and create more reasons to keep some distance with US. China wants ASEAN to be stable so that it can focus elsewhere.
 

Xizor

Captain
Registered Member
now those EU elites interest simply not coincide with China for variety of reason.
Erdogan knows that Turkic republics in Shanghai organization are getting richer than his country and his country importance is going down. so hitch a ride to Ukraine and Xinjiang thinking EU elites will bail him out. but now its pay back time. not investment time.


Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Of all the things that happen in the world, the Turkish economy and Erdogan economics is the most confusing to me. I simply don't understand the end goal here and I have given up any attempts to. It's a wait and watch.
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
Of all the things that happen in the world, the Turkish economy and Erdogan economics is the most confusing to me. I simply don't understand the end goal here and I have given up any attempts to. It's a wait and watch.
it is confusing for new people who haven't read the real history of current Turkey.
Erdogan worked on old formula of managing former Ottoman empire territories on behalf of Germany. but it is not same Germany what he thought. Turkey military and airlines are completely Western depended but it is Germanic economic system that is destroying Turkey internally. he also fears a new state created in place of Ukraine where muslim oligarchs are much richer than him as that state will attract Arab and Russian investment.
All this crises make him act like headless chicken in all directions. it is just entertaining to observe it.
 

Arnies

Junior Member
Registered Member
the energy security of China.

I can confirm that this is untrue and it has stopped after removing the Ghani Regime from power. Besides the current Afghan government in Kabul has nothing to do with TTP they have denounced them multiple times. They call themselves the Emirate now. They have different objects which is regional interests including CPEC and trade with China being big part of it such as lithium and metals
 
Last edited:

Xizor

Captain
Registered Member
I can confirm that this is untrue and it has stopped after removing the Ghani Ghani from power. Besides the current Afghan government in Kabul has nothing to do with TTP they have denounced them multiple times. They call themselves the Emirate now. They have different objects which is regional interests including CPEC and trade with China being big part of it such as lithium and metals
I do realize both are different 'Talibans' but if Pakistan Taliban fighters can be convinced otherwise then why not ? Creating a narrative that cooperating with China can bring them closer to their goals could help in the near term. I see a lack of control and powerlessness in the Pakistani authorities here.

Can the Pakistan Taliban be tamed ? It has to be for CPEC, China's economy, Pakistan economy and safety for all people. But I'm not convinced that things are going in the right direction.
 

Arnies

Junior Member
Registered Member

Russia ‘very likely’ to invade Ukraine without ‘enormous sanctions’ – Schiff​

  • House intelligence chair: invasion might draw Nato closer
  • Sun 2 Jan 2022 18.27 GMT
3646.jpg

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 

Arnies

Junior Member
Registered Member
Can the TTP be tamed ?

Yes they can be tamed and there is an under going process and they have shown willingness of rejoining the society again it is undergoing behind the scenes.. This current admin has initiated an attempt to talks and re-integrate them into society
 
Last edited:

Xizor

Captain
Registered Member

Russia ‘very likely’ to invade Ukraine without ‘enormous sanctions’ – Schiff​

  • House intelligence chair: invasion might draw Nato closer
  • Sun 2 Jan 2022 18.27 GMT
3646.jpg

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
The idea is to deter Ukraine's admission into NATO. They can prevent all these "unfortunate" incidents by stopping and barring Ukraine from NATO. Russia isn't being aggressive, US is paranoid regarding any Russia EU friendship. If one looks for old news, it'd be clear that US started planning for this as Crimea chose Russia.
 

Arnies

Junior Member
Registered Member
The idea is to deter Ukraine's admission into NATO. They can prevent all these "unfortunate" incidents by stopping and barring Ukraine from NATO. Russia isn't being aggressive, US is paranoid regarding any Russia EU friendship. If one looks for old news, it'd be clear that US started planning for this as Crimea chose Russia.

Both sides are now expressing concern that the Geneva talks will not lead anywhere just like the 2 previous phone summits because the demands are just two great from each other. NATO won't vacate Baltic states, Poland and Romania including Ukraine they just can't and won't do that it is a non-negotiable stance for them and then you have Russia who wants these elements out of there because they deem it as threat because NATO neighbours them and has their whole main headquarters in East Europe and the reason they chose there is to shield Europe against what they deem Russian aggression
 
Top