Winter and Spring are awful time for war with Ukraine in terms of logistics.
Yeah, exactly, that is why I do not think there will be a war in the Ukraine at this time. It could happen later, but not when winter is coming to Mother Russia.
If winter is coming and Putin wants the Red Army to roll, then there is the perfect excuse to not roll the tanks, because of the Russian winter. If Putin threatens war and does not do it because of winter, then he can always do it later.
If Putin threatens war in the summer, and does not do it, then Russia loses some credibility.
In the end, I think it is a ploy, by all outside powers, such as Russia, United States, small Eastern European countries, trying to influence the most powerful European state outside of Russia, that is Germany.
Will Germany finally defend its own interests, or will they get manipulated by the United States and the Eastern Europeans.
Seeing the gas price go through the roof, that definitely is not in Germany's interest.
Putin is pushing both pressure points, economics and military. However, he can only push it until the summer.
We keep playing. See what happens next.