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Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Temstar said:
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Yeah that's about right from the rumours I've heard, between 2025 and 2027
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Same. I had also read that the military programs by the US to specifically counter China would have come out of the R&D pipeline by 2025-2026. So China might not want to give the US time to produce in numbers its new weapon systems

Couple that, with Xi introducing the 2027 milestone for the PLA to build a "fully modernised military"

Then again, link it with Xi repeatedly saying that old problems should not be left for the new generation and with Xi being 74 years old by 2027, I think everyone knows that the Taiwan problem will be one way or the other solved in 2025-27 (IMO 2026-2027)
 
hashtagpls

hashtagpls

Senior Member
Registered Member
LesAdieux said:
Yang will meet Jake Sullivan this time, too much bad blood between Yang and Blinken. don't expect any breakthrough, but they may setup some guardrails about Taiwan. each round of the cease fire talk in the Korean War was preceded by heavy fighting, we're seeing similarities on Taiwan now.
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Rhetorically speaking, how much of a fucking idiot does Blinken have to be to speak that way to the Chinese, of all ppl? Apparently Kurt Campbell told him to act like an imperious little shithead at Anchorage, which goes to show you the sort of brains trust we have in the anglo american camp.
 
Temstar

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
Overbom said:
Same. I had also read that the military programs by the US to specifically counter China would have come out of the R&D pipeline by 2025-2026. So China might not want to give the US time to produce in numbers its new weapon systems

Couple that, with Xi introducing the 2027 milestone for the PLA to build a "fully modernised military"

Then again, link it with Xi repeatedly saying that old problems should not be left for the new generation and with Xi being 74 years old by 2027, I think everyone knows that the Taiwan problem will be one way or the other solved in 2025-27 (IMO 2026-2027)
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What I've heard is there are several new PLA weapon systems that will come online around 2025 which will make the job easier. While there are sever new weapon systems that will come online around 2028 in the US which will make the job harder, so from 2025 to 2027 is a local maximum for success.
 
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LesAdieux

Junior Member
hashtagpls said:
Rhetorically speaking, how much of a fucking idiot does Blinken have to be to speak that way to the Chinese, of all ppl? Apparently Kurt Campbell told him to act like an imperious little shithead at Anchorage, which goes to show you the sort of brains trust we have in the anglo american camp.
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Blinken has been influenced by Pompeo, he works tirelessly on everything against China, he is simply the wrong messenger. also the Afghan blunder has made him a lame duck.
 
S

sinophilia

Junior Member
Registered Member
9dashline said:
China is the loser in this deal... this is like me getting the credit limit raised on my credit card so I can spend more without ever having any intention to pay it back in the first place...
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That's silly, if the US refuses to pay interest on Chinese sovereign debt holdings that is called a 'sovereign default'. Please look up the term and what that would mean for the US going forward.

The US wouldn't even stop paying that money in a Taiwan invasion scenario. That isn't the way this works lol this isn't Steven Seagal style Hollywood movies.

The bond complex is a liquid market anyway, how do you think these payments work? They are liquid instruments which can be opened and closed in the active market.

China could dump its entire holdings of US debt in the market in literally one millisecond if it wanted to tomorrow morning.
 
T

Tyler

Captain
Registered Member
sinophilia said:
That's silly, if the US refuses to pay interest on Chinese sovereign debt holdings that is called a 'sovereign default'. Please look up the term and what that would mean for the US going forward.

The US wouldn't even stop paying that money in a Taiwan invasion scenario. That isn't the way this works lol this isn't Steven Seagal style Hollywood movies.

The bond complex is a liquid market anyway, how do you think these payments work? They are liquid instruments which can be opened and closed in the active market.

China could dump its entire holdings of US debt in the market in literally one millisecond if it wanted to tomorrow morning.
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Japan and Taiwan will try to buy up all the US debt, thereby causing themselves to go bankrupt as well.
 
bajingan

bajingan

Senior Member
Overbom said:
Same. I had also read that the military programs by the US to specifically counter China would have come out of the R&D pipeline by 2025-2026. So China might not want to give the US time to produce in numbers its new weapon systems

Couple that, with Xi introducing the 2027 milestone for the PLA to build a "fully modernised military"

Then again, link it with Xi repeatedly saying that old problems should not be left for the new generation and with Xi being 74 years old by 2027, I think everyone knows that the Taiwan problem will be one way or the other solved in 2025-27 (IMO 2026-2027)
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Hopefully by that timeframe PLA nuclear modernization will be completed, cause i think achieving nuclear parity is vital before eventual taiwan reunification, to avoid nuclear blackmail
 
F

FangYuan

Junior Member
Registered Member
bajingan said:
Hopefully by that timeframe PLA nuclear modernization will be completed, cause i think achieving nuclear parity is vital before eventual taiwan reunification, to avoid nuclear blackmail
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Road mobile nuclear: DF-41, DF-31
Missile launch facility : DF-41, DF-5
Submarine-launched ballistic missile: JL-2, JL-3
Air-launched ballistic missile: CH-AS-X-13

China's only weakness is its air-launched nuclear ballistic missiles, but currently China and Russia have a good relationship. China needs a reliable ballistic truck, so China can buy Tu-95M and TU-22M from Russia with TOT.
 
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