Is this really true or fake news, but still India is unreliable as hell and quite frankly a gigantic liability to who ever they deal with but still it does sound too good to be true in all honesty.
Literally the only good reason for having India in BRICS is the Russian delusion that it’s better having them inside the tent pissing out than outside pissing in. But the reality is that India is pissing and shitting all over the place inside the tent that it’s honestly hard to see them being able to make any bigger of a mess from the outside.
The big Indian arms buy from America might just be the last straw for the Russians, who were probably holding out hope to be able to score one last big order from them to help shore up their own domestic arms industry.
To be honest, it could be a massively beneficial thing for Russia to loose the last of its hopes for more lucrative foreign arms sales so that they finally swallow their pride and make wholesale purchases of Chinese arms to properly revamp their whole military.
That could be a massive boost to Russia’s MIC in the long run if they secure ToT as well, which they should be able to negotiate. As that massive tech upgrade would be similar to how all the Russian arms purchases China made in the 90s and 00s massively sped up China’s own military modernisation.
If the grand geopolitical trends continue and maybe even accelerate, China will need the Russians to be able to fully hold their own against NATO in Europe as a full partner, rather than being a liability needing the PLA to come and bail them out.
While the Russian ground forces are battle hardened in Ukraine, their air force and navy in particular needs major improvements across board, especially in 5th gens, AWACS and UCAVs for the air force, and modern air defence destroyers for the navy.
I think that is the only credible scenario where a ceasefire would make sense for Russia in Ukraine, where both sides pause the war and massively arm up for round 3.