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Senior Member
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Max Blumenthal had managed to interview the Iranian president, Masoud Pezeshkian.
It looks like all the rumours about him and his government are true. This current president is indeed pro-West, and is working hard to achieve a diplomatic solution with America and the West in hopes of achieving sanctions relieve. This man was against the "Hijab police", and against the conservative factions of the Iranian government. This is not necessarily a bad thing, but they do run a risk of being abit too aligned with Western ideology. He got alot of his votes from the Iranian middle class, who desire better relations with the West.

Pezashkian, having a non-politician background, makes him very naive to the designs of Israel and the West. He initially refused to retaliate against Israel for the assassination's of Haniyeh, but the conservative faction and the Ayatollah had other ideas. It seems that without the Ayatollah and Netanyahu's madness, this man might have driven Iran straight into the pro-West camp. Its sad to see that the pro-West faction of Iranian society have won the political war. They are going to be undoing decades of good work, only to fall to the false promises of the West. They might think that the West is gonna give them sanctions relieve and peace, but what they're actually gonna get is the doom of their nation. The Ayatollah and his conservative faction are still there to try to stop the rot for now. But only the Iranians can decide their future.
I mean so far all I can see is a good cop bad cop routine. If Pezashkian has the power to make Iran pro-West, he also has the power to stop fucking with the US in the middle east.

He is a vetted candidate by the Ayatollah... Expecting him to make exceptions for the west is the exact same mistake China did regrading Trump, expecting that this deep state vetted candidate actually can bring an exception to foreign policy.
Answers: Way more anti-Israelis died than Israelis. Israel controls more land today that it did at the beginning of the conflict and before it's over, they will seize more land than they have now. That is the most unbiased way to see who is coming out on top of this conflict and I am definitely NOT saying this because it pleases me.
Anti Israelis are drawn from a huge pool of people, who also get larger the more Muslim countries amplify their propaganda against Israel (not saying Israel isn't guilty of crimes against humanity, but it's an information campaign casting light on their behavior. Way more died in Rwanda, and nobody cared).

Israel barely controls a few more streets from the start of the war, and the north has seen heavy setbacks as cities/towns had to be evacuated. The contrast is quite clear to Russia's more undisputed success in taking cities and eliminating 100 000s of fighters.

Let's be realistic, these freedom fighters are not valued so much. And in their defense, they are at least selling their lives at higher cost than Zelensky's conscripts at least.

Probably people here, including me, would want China to deploy it's overmatch in technology and flatten the new Axis, from Tel aviv to Hawaii. But such ideas are never without risk, especially now that US is still able to cause mutual destruction. In the end, I trust the Xi government and that it has done a much better analysis on how to break down the US threat than is possible using civilian opinions based on open source data.

And sometimes, maybe that strategy involves throwing meatshields from another country/culture. Maybe back then, Americans also gritted their teeth watching Soviets slaughter the afghan mujahideen while superior US tech and weapons could have won on the field, but in the end, Americans had their revenge on all of the USSR.
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
People are an expendable resource from the point of view of nations. Sure, the exchange is better for Israel. But over the last 12 months Iran has improved its position in the region while Israel has caused the next generation of Arabs to hate them and is now even becoming hated in Europe. Saudi Arabia is forced to not normalise with Israel and they're engaging economically with Iran. I'd say Iran is satisfied with the exchange, as long as Hezbollah survives

I dont know the reality but if Saudi is forced to do some thing than the revenge factors comes into play and they are way powerful any body else. what they publish just on this Ukraine war goes way beyond anyone else as if this is a training exercise and now they are directing people to rutube. They only put Europe into economic comma as they had that historic relations but it will not be for others.
Iran will have to demonstrate competence in that North-South corridor. When Russia talks to Iran its basically Sunni talking to Iran.


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supercat

Major
The essence of the matter:
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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
View attachment 136440


Sept 25th Pentagon Press Briefing:

Japan: Evil China just launched a dummy nuclear missile over the Pacific Ocean, how are you going to criticize them.
US: STFU, China is good and launched the ICBM very professionally. We hope they do more ICBM tests and please alert us before hand.

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Just noticed that, there is no agreement between China and US regarding prior notification of ICBM launches yet. The US has proposed but China not yet agreed, likely dragged on for years ever since the US began nagging about nuclear arm control with China.

Also interesting is the wording "some advanced notification". Maybe it was few minutes in advance. :D It's like "I noticed you" but it makes not much difference from not noticing. I don't think China would enter the kind of agreement like between USA and USSR/Russia that oblidge China duty to US since US has never fulfilled and would never fulfill their end of bargain as a fact.

[addition]
The key difference of China from other nuclear powers is that China declared non first strike, that is saying that any future launches from China (without already in a nuclear war) are not targetting at anybody, essentially the declaration is already a notice in advance. A notification years in advance is not different from days or minutes in advance. US demanding an agreement is just playing stupid or amnesia.
 
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tokenanalyst

Brigadier
Registered Member
I know this already beating no pun intended a death horse but this is a brutal transcript conversation between the CEO of Oceangate and engineer of the company. The engineer trying to convince the CEO no to do manual divings before more test are done and the CEO refusing in a really weird manner, the engineer even trying to convince him to do a remote testing downing the submarine with cable as a cheaper alternative. From an engineering perspective this is pure gold on how a person mind can go out reality when trying to do innovative stuff.

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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
I still remembers that some members of this forum bragged about Oceangate using composite material for the sub as a super duper technological advance of the west when news of China's deep sea submersible was reported many years ago. If those fanboys are still around in this forum, the lesson is "time will tell" is not a joke and power is not built on hype.
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
I know this already beating no pun intended a death horse but this is a brutal transcript conversation between the CEO of Oceangate and engineer of the company. The engineer trying to convince the CEO no to do manual divings before more test are done and the CEO refusing in a really weird manner, the engineer even trying to convince him to do a remote testing downing the submarine with cable as a cheaper alternative. From an engineering perspective this is pure gold on how a person mind can go out reality when trying to do innovative stuff.

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forcing someone to say yes or no to the question of "Am I going to die?" is crazy. It is quite simple, some people are willing to take a high risk for a chance of being number one. They bet on the chance of success. While others especially people of science pay more attention on the chance of failure. A success at high risk or failure not happening today or this year doesn't mean doing right.
 

Chevalier

Captain
Registered Member
The US is at the acceptance stage that their shipbuilding capacity is not coming back, let alone compete against China.
So the US has this idea: tap onto the shipbuilding capacity of allies like South Korea. But WSJ is confused about how to do it.

US: Hey South Korea, your shipbuilding is impressive. We would like you to help us to build up our navy to compete with China.

SK: Yes master! Anything for you! How shall we help you to build a navy to keep those pesky Chinese down?

US: Erm... We want to bring your shipbuilding power, back to the US to revive our shipyards.

SK: Err... ok, so how shall we help you? Our efficient shipyards, supply chains and manpower are all in SK. Howabout.... we build your ships for you here in SK?

US: *Thinks silently for awhile*. Howabout you maintain our ships here in Asia Pacific? We still have the best naval ships in the world, it will be an honor for you to maintain these fine war warships from the greatest navy on earth.

SK: Yes master!

US to the world: We now have a masterplan to keep our ships maintained in Asia to keep the pressure on China. We'll outsource maintenance of our warships to the great shipyards of South Korea! USA! USA! USA!
The fact is, Americans have lost the knowledge on how to build ships because all the machinists have since retired or died out
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