Ladakh Flash Point

Status
Not open for further replies.

reservior dogs

Junior Member
Registered Member
India's ruling elites have made it clear that they'll turn on China if they think they have a chance of success or if the US gives them any sort of assistance.
China's course now should be clear: the complete and utter destruction and Syrianisation or balkanisation of the indian subcontinent.
Calm down, all in due time. Until the U.S. and the West in general can no longer intervene in the break away countries that was India, it is not in China's interest to break up India. Otherwise there will be turmoil in their neighborhood that will divide their resources and attention from their ascend. In two decades, the U.S. will slip into number two. At that point, they will contemplate fracturing India into multiple countries. Until then, a single India draws the least amount of energy. Even with the Quad, India is not yet a protectorate like Japan, so no U.S. military base in India as yet. It is the best outcome for China now.
 

Nobonita Barua

Senior Member
Registered Member
Calm down, all in due time. Until the U.S. and the West in general can no longer intervene in the break away countries that was India, it is not in China's interest to break up India. Otherwise there will be turmoil in their neighborhood that will divide their resources and attention from their ascend. In two decades, the U.S. will slip into number two. At that point, they will contemplate fracturing India into multiple countries. Until then, a single India draws the least amount of energy. Even with the Quad, India is not yet a protectorate like Japan, so no U.S. military base in India as yet. It is the best outcome for China now.
As much as i hate to say it becusae nothing would give me more happiness than that s--t h--e falling apart, i agree with you.
 

OppositeDay

Senior Member
Registered Member
PSA: Borders, claim lines and lines of control are so much easier to see in the free Google Earth Pro program than on the web version of Google Earth!

Sorry if everyone knows this.
 

hashtagpls

Senior Member
Registered Member
Calm down, all in due time. Until the U.S. and the West in general can no longer intervene in the break away countries that was India, it is not in China's interest to break up India. Otherwise there will be turmoil in their neighborhood that will divide their resources and attention from their ascend. In two decades, the U.S. will slip into number two. At that point, they will contemplate fracturing India into multiple countries. Until then, a single India draws the least amount of energy. Even with the Quad, India is not yet a protectorate like Japan, so no U.S. military base in India as yet. It is the best outcome for China now.
Good points; the model i'm looking at is the US' neocolonial/Economic hitman strategy towards latin and central american countries, using the drug trade as a major source of weakening any would be southern rivals; the advantage China has is that the Himalayas acts as a natural barrier against indian incursions. Arming and training groups in the indian northeast to create something like the Shan state in Myanmar with its own air force as border forces would be exactly what i have in mind.
 

Xizor

Captain
Registered Member
Good points; the model i'm looking at is the US' neocolonial/Economic hitman strategy towards latin and central american countries, using the drug trade as a major source of weakening any would be southern rivals; the advantage China has is that the Himalayas acts as a natural barrier against indian incursions. Arming and training groups in the indian northeast to create something like the Shan state in Myanmar with its own air force as border forces would be exactly what i have in mind.
Investing in Myanmar as a proxy is just wasted resources.
Myanmar (the junta specifically) is similar to Thailand--focused on self preservation and profiting, with a strong foothold on the masses. Myanmar sees India - China friction as a good thing to gain what they want. Just like Thailand sees US-China friction.
 

hashtagpls

Senior Member
Registered Member
Investing in Myanmar as a proxy is just wasted resources.
Myanmar (the junta specifically) is similar to Thailand--focused on self preservation and profiting, with a strong foothold on the masses. Myanmar sees India - China friction as a good thing to gain what they want. Just like Thailand sees US-China friction.
to clarify, i didn't mention strengthening or investing in Myanmar, i specifically mentioned the Shan state as a han exclave supported and armed by the Chinese military. As a bit of background, the Shan state are descendants of the ROC army who fled into the jungles after the end of the civil war; at some point they were abandoned by the CIA and found backers in the Chinese intelligence apparatus which are used as a form of control against the Junta in Myanmar.

Now this model can be used for the northeast in India, just provide what the US did with the Kurds in Iraq after the first Gulf War and before the second Gulf war: create a no fly zone in the north east (presumably this would have to happen after India's next miscalculation in Doklam or Kashmir) and instigate a revolt by the Assamese and Manipuris.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top