Asymptote
Banned Idiot
It has all to do with costs and results. PLAAF is moving from huge numbers of lots of different aircraft to some less but a lot better quality. But we also know that it will expand its power. I think there will be room cause JF17 is a good plane all inhouse and extremely cheap. It an do pretty much everything in defending homeland. It is almost comparable with J10 but 1/3 of the costs. Surely it has less room to evolve or less ordnance/range but do you need that if you have enough with IFR, good sensors/links, 4 BVR and 2 WVR? If they need something though then you can go towards J10,J11,FC20 and J20. The numbers China still needs to produce it will become handy. It was not handy cause there is no chinese engine and the fact that their priority is first medium and high tech. We can discuss it over and over again but to my knowledge the JF17 has a role and China can use that in the future (+2 years).
Couldn't agree more!
JF-17/FC-1 is a good platform, good for its price and value. With good radar/sensors package and EW, it is as good as any fighter. So if number is a priority, JF-17/FC-1 is a excellent fighter because China/Pakistan can produce more.
And you raise an excellent point, China's priority right now is high tech, it wants to "tech up" as quickly as possible, that means, to shift the resource allocation from "producing more" to "developing higher tech". Its not because China can't afford to produce 2000 JF-17/FC-1 fleet like USA with F-16 back in 80s, but 2000 JF-17/FC-1 would cost $30 billion dollars, more than half of the PLA annual budget. If F-22 cost $65 billion to develop, and the current estimate of J-20 program cost is 1/5 of F-22's cost, then J-20 cost $13 billion, then $30 billion dollar can more than fund 2 such projects.
Once China has a good foundation - being able to design, and manufacture its own high performance engine completely, then it will be able to shift its focus on back to "producing more", and bringing down the cost.
Going higher tech gives one options, you can always go lower tech and produce more any time you choose; where as if you focus on purely numbers at the cost of going higher tech, then you will stagnant technologically. I think China has learn that lesson for far too long, so now shifting its focusing on quality and technology instead of pure number. Its already reducing the size of its fighter fleet, and also personnel.
While there is still large number of J-7 (700+) and J-8 (400+) in PLAAF's fleet, but these aging fighters are going to get phase out soon. Perhaps, in the future they could fill these with JF-17?
For Pakistan, I don't think there is anything to worry about, Pakistan is going to get J-10/FC-20 sooner or later, and possibly J-20 later on.
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