CAC and 611 institute are not lockmart (for good or for worse depending on your interpretation
), and PLA are not known for having modest projections. Sure, why not keep an open mind, and that goes for all of us.
The main question is what fighter can be deployed in 2018, what technologies are now available and are tested and what fighter requierements are needed.
TVC nozzles have two main advantages that are used to increase Stealth and supercruise thrust effectiveness.
If the Chinese want a fighter with let us say F-35 stealth, then TVC nozzles are not as important, F-22 uses TVC nozzles to reduce RCS and drag, by using thrust vectoring the F-22 aerodynamic controls are less requiered, thus increasing thrust by reducing drag and RCS by deflecting less the aerodynamic controls.
TVC nozzles could also potentially eliminate the ventral fins, thus 3D TVC nozzles would be come handy.
Now the question is do they have TVC nozzles, i personally do not know, however i think if this is true, China`s TVC nozzles might not be ready or not as reliable and same would be supercruise ability why? well China requested Sukhoi Su-35 fighter buy
which potentially could mean as in the case of Su-33, they want a few models either to improve their design or speed up its development.
If they want improve stealth of J-20 and the engine effectiveness TVC nozzles are very important, if they have the engine personally i do not know, but it seems they are not as advanced as to have an operational one, which means a potential delay for a 2018 date.
Is difficult to know the state of the chinese 5th generation engine, but if they are asking for Su-35s it means their design might not be as reliable yet as the 117 and still less reliable than F-129.
As such it is possible the fighter that might enter operational service in 2018, will be still a not fully developed model, why? well Su-35 flew in 2008, and it took them 4 years to start initial operational service, so to fly a J-20 wiith TVC nozzles they will need to start flying it in the next 2 years at least, otherwise is very unlikely the J-20 in 2018 will have TVC nozzles and 1.7 mach supercruise.