By 2030 the PLAN should have a considerable contingent of naval fighters.
J-20 5th Generation Fighter VII
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why is that?
as i said in an earlier post, we expect PLAAF will have 1000+ J20, 700+ modern flankers and ～300 modern J10, which surpasses current inventory of USAF, which contains some 1900 tactical compact aircrafts (including A10)
and there will be some J31 produced starting from 2025 according to Blitzo's opinion
My reason for leaving the USAF out of this discussion, is because having "parity with USAF by 2030" is a bit of an arbitrary measure and is not as useful as simply aiming to define the PLA's own needs based on the combination of likely adversary forces (which is more varied and diverse than merely the whole of the USAF) in context of their own industrial and procurement capability.
ok, i agree with that logic
thinking about combination of likely adversary forces tha PLA could face, here is what i have:
1, USN will bring their full weight - fully aware the time and logistic issue to do that as mentioned by one of our beloved member who recently deregistered, but they are not insurmountable if USN really try. So lets say they are bringing 500 fighters to the party.
2, USAF could face some basing issue but if they manage to get the Phillipines in the line, that problem will be almost solved - not saying they will but cannot rule that out. That is 1500 tactical fighters (excluding A10, and 200 for minimum national air defence)
3, 1 or 2 more countries in Quad. the possibility in my opinion looks like:
Japan 80%
India 30%
SK 30%
that is some 500 fighters, worst case could be 800
i will neglect AU or UK, even if they join the party, their contribution is minimum.
so the combination of adversary could be around 2500 fighters, in which i think maybe 1500+ is gen5
I am expecting PLA naval aviation to have maybe 150 carrier based fighters by 2030, which means PLAAF need to have 2000+ modern aircrafts in its inventory for this equation to look balanced
Well, to my eyes it looks like there is jitter in the roll attitude, so doesn't seem like camera artifact to me.
From 1:56 to 2:07 "J-20 did a 360 degree roll without moving forward". This has been done more than once. Apparently the author rotated the scene 360 degrees with video editing software.
This means the author of the video used tons of video processing to create effects that does not exist. Too many "artistic" creativities. So I don't think anything can be inferred from it because we don't know what piece of it can be trusted as real.
About the jitter. It is artifact of the video special effect editing. At 1:54 to 1:56 you can see that not only the whole body is jittering but the canopy visibly shifted position on the fuselage which is physically impossible.
To me a general rule is that don't take any video with background music seriously.
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J31's still fills a role in China's air force. China's modern fleet excluding planes like the J7/J8/JH7 is still relatively small compared to the US. A cheaper/smaller jet that China can mass produce is still crucial along with eventually replacing the J10 fleet.
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