plawolf
Lieutenant General
The first and most important rule to any sort of data analysis is the 'golden rule' of 'trash in trash out'.
The point is that if your source data is wrong or incomplete, whatever analysis you do with that data is also going to be wrong or incomplete.
With that in mind, let's critically assess what the 'inputs' for Koop's RCS study could have been.
All he had to go with were medium resolution images at best (think back to when the he study was done). That leaves a fairly big margin for measurement error of the model he tested.
Speaking of the model, did he built a scale model? Possible, but highly unlikely. Far or likely he just built a computer model.
Next comes questions about methodology.
If he just used a software model to test against a computer model, what was the software he used to calculated RCS? How was the results validated? I highly doubt he built a scale or 1:1 model of the J20 and tested it in an Anechoic chamber or RCS range.
There is a reason even profession defence companies with years or decades of experience in designed and building stealth aircraft still do 1:1 and even live RCS testing in Anechoic chambers and on RCS ranges.
Even if he built a 1:1 model and tested it in Anechoic chambers and on RCS ranges, all he would still have is how the basic outline of the plane might register on radar. Unless he has detailed blueprints, there is no way he could account for the use of various types of composite and RAMs.
At best those RCS models are a very rough guesstimate of the possible RCS characteristics of the J20. To treat them as if they were exact figures is either disingenuous and/or critically flawed logical reasoning.
The point is that if your source data is wrong or incomplete, whatever analysis you do with that data is also going to be wrong or incomplete.
With that in mind, let's critically assess what the 'inputs' for Koop's RCS study could have been.
All he had to go with were medium resolution images at best (think back to when the he study was done). That leaves a fairly big margin for measurement error of the model he tested.
Speaking of the model, did he built a scale model? Possible, but highly unlikely. Far or likely he just built a computer model.
Next comes questions about methodology.
If he just used a software model to test against a computer model, what was the software he used to calculated RCS? How was the results validated? I highly doubt he built a scale or 1:1 model of the J20 and tested it in an Anechoic chamber or RCS range.
There is a reason even profession defence companies with years or decades of experience in designed and building stealth aircraft still do 1:1 and even live RCS testing in Anechoic chambers and on RCS ranges.
Even if he built a 1:1 model and tested it in Anechoic chambers and on RCS ranges, all he would still have is how the basic outline of the plane might register on radar. Unless he has detailed blueprints, there is no way he could account for the use of various types of composite and RAMs.
At best those RCS models are a very rough guesstimate of the possible RCS characteristics of the J20. To treat them as if they were exact figures is either disingenuous and/or critically flawed logical reasoning.