Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)

Virtup

Junior Member
Registered Member
Guys, it doesn't matter who did it. The muslim world is fully convinced Israel did it and is reaching boiling point. massive protests (some in the hundreds of thousands) are erupting everywhere, and are rapidly growing. They're insulting their governments and accusing them of being cucks, shills and a disgrace to muslim legacy. Schools and government institutions have mostly stopped, everyone is on the streets. One more incident and we'll probably start witnessing governments getting toppled should they continue to do nothing (except gulf countries).
 

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member

The picture shows:
  • glass in the windows within 100m from the crater
  • leaves on the trees within 20-30m
  • light vehicles almost unaffected by the blast almost at the point of detonation
  • undamaged EV panels
  • minimal disruption of roof tiles
  • etc
There is also no crater caused by impact-fuzed detonation. A bomb travelling at 600km/h has sufficient kinetic energy to bury itself in the ground before the fuze works.

This wasn't a HE detonation of a general purpose aerial bomb of mass 500lb and above. HE detonation is so fast that it creates a uniform spherical overpressure front with equal distribution of energy on its surface that disperses over range. This was a much smaller blast of a low-grade improvised general explosive.

None of the cars around has its body damaged by pressure blast but all caught fire to flammable elements like tires so there was sufficient heat. This is what a propellant does when it burns up uncontrollably.

The difference between HE and propellant is in time of combustion. HE needs to combust "explosively" i.e. almost instantly otherwise the energy of the pressure front will dissipate before a shockwave is formed. Propellant needs to combust fast enough to create kinetic energy but not fast enough that it can't be directed by either a barrel or an exhaust.

This picture looks exactly what a low-tech missile used by Hamas or Islamic Jihad would do if it failed shortly after launch, fell to the ground where warhead is detonated and the rest of the propellant burns up. And that is IDFs official explanation. This picture matches what should be expected in such case.

There is also no way such explosion could have killed or even wounded 500 people. The people in hospistals are inside the hospital.

Even direct hit from a HE bomb would have to be very lucky to cause so many casualties. Hospitals - even in places such as Gaza - are designed to higher standards than regular residential buildings. Among those standards one of the most important one is fire protection which requires specific fire resistance to structural elements. That resistance comes with physical properties sufficient for blast resistance as well. Hospitals are highest threat category for occupants so they are always sturdy buildings with good protections compared to all other buildings in any jurisdiction. Residential buildings, including multi-storey apartment buildings are on the lowest rung, second only to single family dwellings which often don't meet any safety requirements at all and are subject to separate or simpler rules.

You can't judge the quality of a hospital based on the quality of general construction in the area. The details are invisible to the eye - they're in quality of materials, size of reinforcement of concrete structures etc. The same geometrical structural element made with lower class concrete and minimal reinforcement will break when hit by a blast from a 500lb bomb and withstand a 2000lb with just slight upgrade to concrete and steel density. Explosion craters can differ in size simply because of the density of the substrate under low or high category road. etc.

One of the reasons why Hamas regularly uses hospitals and schools and other public mass occupancy buildings is because of their quality both in terms of structural strength as functional space arrangement, multiple evacuation routes etc. Buildings which are designed to handle large masses of vulnerable people in a crisis - like all healthcare or education facilities - are really good for hiding militants in combat.

All in all it was a last-minute low-effort lie directed at useful idiots to cause uproar before Biden's visit. They're not even particularly interested in how it performs. They depended on you being so stupid as to argue its validity even after it completely loses all plausibility. This way you end up being the problem, and not the people who started the lie.

Useful idiocy is a story as old as time. The story of the psychopath always winning against the narcissist because the narcissist never thinks he isn't the smartest, bestest, most virtuousest, and all-around greatest person in the world. So how could someone use him as if he was just a regular idiot? That's impossible! You're the idiot!

A wise man will make a mistake once, but a fool will never make a mistake.

Also this:
View attachment 120215

This doesn't look like reddit. At. All.

Have fun kids.
Just like with some incidents which Americans gleefully bragged about orchestrating, what matters here is not the incident itself, but what people believe about it.

And now the shoe is on the other foot. As long as the story spreads, American credibility will take a large hit.

So I can't say what the other posters mean when they "like" something, but this is my reason at least.
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
I think forum member ought to hold themselves to higher standards for reliable information rather than amplify any random twitter post that conform with their inherent biases. If they hold themselves superior to the much disparaged MSM then they should show it, whether the truth matters in current events or not we should not wilfully spread misinformation.
 

5unrise

Junior Member
Registered Member
Biden backing Israel's narrative that Palestinians are responsible for killing Palestinians in his meeting with Netanyahu, and amid the huge wave of anti-Israel and anti-US protests throughout the Muslim world. I'm sure this will not sit well with Muslims worldwide, causing what I can only imagine to be lasting damage to US soft power in the Islamic world. The only Islamic group supporting their stance is the World Uyghur Congress it seems....

On the fact chase behind the blast, it does not help the Israeli case that they have been liberally bombing civilians in Gaza, schools and hospitals included. When someone freely admits killing civilians without hesitation, few are going to believe them when they say 'hey but I didn't do it this time'. I'm also not convinced by the analysis of that particular photo that it eliminates the possibility of Israel hitting the hospital. Many questions remain unanswered, and I'm sure especially to the public in the Middle East.

1697626263018.png
1697626438301.png
 

generalmeng

New Member
Registered Member
Biden backing Israel's narrative that Palestinians are responsible for killing Palestinians in his meeting with Netanyahu, and amid the huge wave of anti-Israel and anti-US protests throughout the Muslim world. I'm sure this will not sit well with Muslims worldwide, causing what I can only imagine to be lasting damage to US soft power in the Islamic world. The only Islamic group supporting their stance is the World Uyghur Congress it seems....

On the fact chase behind the blast, it does not help the Israeli case that they have been liberally bombing civilians in Gaza, schools and hospitals included. When someone freely admits killing civilians without hesitation, few are going to believe them when they say 'hey but I didn't do it this time'. I'm also not convinced by the analysis of that particular photo that it eliminates the possibility of Israel hitting the hospital. Many questions remain unanswered, and I'm sure especially to the public in the Middle East.

View attachment 120219
View attachment 120220
Like the US narrative "Russia bomb the pipe lines" Age like fine wine.

The sad reality, the Arab world will do little, other than protest.

Let's look at the reality, Israel will use nukes if they feel cornered. The Arab world does not want any escalation of the war, they have little to gain in this war. Sad Palestinians will be the punching bag, and they will slowly get killed off by the Israelis, a little bit at a time. This war happened like 6 to 10 times over the last 60 years. Each time, Palestinians lose a bit of their land and population.
 

5unrise

Junior Member
Registered Member
Like the US narrative "Russia bomb the pipe lines" Age like fine wine.

The sad reality, the Arab world will do little, other than protest.

Let's look at the reality, Israel will use nukes if they feel cornered. The Arab world does not want an escalation of the war, they have little to gain in this war. Sad Palestinians will be the punching bag, and they will slowly get kill off by the Israeli, little bit at a time.
My point is that the fact the US is dogmatically and ideologically locked into backing Israel, despite how little sense it makes geopolitically, will be a permanent detriment to its influence in the Islamic world. This isn't new per se, but will become an increasing constraint as time goes on, particularly as a resurgent Russia and China begin to compete more intensely for influence in the Middle East.

How Arab states will respond to Israel is less important. In fact, it is better for the Eurasian powers if Israel stays as a permanent fixture in the Middle East, with the US as its permanent backer for all to see.
 

birdlikefood

Junior Member
Registered Member

The picture shows:
  • glass in the windows within 100m from the crater
  • leaves on the trees within 20-30m
  • light vehicles almost unaffected by the blast almost at the point of detonation
  • undamaged EV panels
  • minimal disruption of roof tiles
  • etc
There is also no crater caused by impact-fuzed detonation. A bomb travelling at 600km/h has sufficient kinetic energy to bury itself in the ground before the fuze works.

This wasn't a HE detonation of a general purpose aerial bomb of mass 500lb and above. HE detonation is so fast that it creates a uniform spherical overpressure front with equal distribution of energy on its surface that disperses over range. This was a much smaller blast of a low-grade improvised general explosive.

None of the cars around has its body damaged by pressure blast but all caught fire to flammable elements like tires so there was sufficient heat. This is what a propellant does when it burns up uncontrollably.

The difference between HE and propellant is in time of combustion. HE needs to combust "explosively" i.e. almost instantly otherwise the energy of the pressure front will dissipate before a shockwave is formed. Propellant needs to combust fast enough to create kinetic energy but not fast enough that it can't be directed by either a barrel or an exhaust.

This picture looks exactly what a low-tech missile used by Hamas or Islamic Jihad would do if it failed shortly after launch, fell to the ground where warhead is detonated and the rest of the propellant burns up. And that is IDFs official explanation. This picture matches what should be expected in such case.

There is also no way such explosion could have killed or even wounded 500 people. The people in hospistals are inside the hospital.

Even direct hit from a HE bomb would have to be very lucky to cause so many casualties. Hospitals - even in places such as Gaza - are designed to higher standards than regular residential buildings. Among those standards one of the most important one is fire protection which requires specific fire resistance to structural elements. That resistance comes with physical properties sufficient for blast resistance as well. Hospitals are highest threat category for occupants so they are always sturdy buildings with good protections compared to all other buildings in any jurisdiction. Residential buildings, including multi-storey apartment buildings are on the lowest rung, second only to single family dwellings which often don't meet any safety requirements at all and are subject to separate or simpler rules.

You can't judge the quality of a hospital based on the quality of general construction in the area. The details are invisible to the eye - they're in quality of materials, size of reinforcement of concrete structures etc. The same geometrical structural element made with lower class concrete and minimal reinforcement will break when hit by a blast from a 500lb bomb and withstand a 2000lb with just slight upgrade to concrete and steel density. Explosion craters can differ in size simply because of the density of the substrate under low or high category road. etc.

One of the reasons why Hamas regularly uses hospitals and schools and other public mass occupancy buildings is because of their quality both in terms of structural strength as functional space arrangement, multiple evacuation routes etc. Buildings which are designed to handle large masses of vulnerable people in a crisis - like all healthcare or education facilities - are really good for hiding militants in combat.

All in all it was a last-minute low-effort lie directed at useful idiots to cause uproar before Biden's visit. They're not even particularly interested in how it performs. They depended on you being so stupid as to argue its validity even after it completely loses all plausibility. This way you end up being the problem, and not the people who started the lie.

Useful idiocy is a story as old as time. The story of the psychopath always winning against the narcissist because the narcissist never thinks he isn't the smartest, bestest, most virtuousest, and all-around greatest person in the world. So how could someone use him as if he was just a regular idiot? That's impossible! You're the idiot!
Although there is currently no conclusive evidence to determine who the attack came from, it is difficult to draw a conclusion based solely on the degree of damage to the building, or even to determine the center of the explosion.

This is a perspective of the damage to the hospital's facade. Another picture shows the damage to the building's facade after the Chinese Embassy in Yugoslavia was damaged by six JDAM for comparison and reference.

Of course, the point that the process of analyzing who is the murderer in a forum requires putting aside one's position is correct.

1697629155961.jpeg1697629181240.png1697629365535.jpeg
 

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
Like the US narrative "Russia bomb the pipe lines" Age like fine wine.

The sad reality, the Arab world will do little, other than protest.

Let's look at the reality, Israel will use nukes if they feel cornered. The Arab world does not want any escalation of the war, they have little to gain in this war. Sad Palestinians will be the punching bag, and they will slowly get killed off by the Israelis, a little bit at a time. This war happened like 6 to 10 times over the last 60 years. Each time, Palestinians lose a bit of their land and population.
If they have actual functioning nukes (rather than some type of dirty bomb/primitive device), it is with almost all certainty no significant stockpile, at most NK levels. Many believe that NK can be attacked despite nukes. Israel is not gonna use WMDs of any sort, out of fear of retaliation.

Arab world is not that unitary. The rich gulf countries don't want unnecessary conflict, but for the likes of Iran and Hezbollah, they've already bombed Israel, destroyed Israeli tanks and killed IDF troops. That's a war declaration, if Israel chooses to bite, but they don't seem to dare start a front.

The rich Arab countries try to avoid violence, but at some point, the violence they get out of population demanding punishment for Israel will surpass the violence they get from sending volunteers/incursions into Israel.

Arabs are not looking to wipe out Israel to the last man. If they go to war, they do so to shave back territorial gains from past Israeli aggression. The chance of such wars escalating into use of WMDs from either side is low: America is even contemplating similar territorial wars against countries with full nuclear triad, thousands of city buster nukes and highly developed NBC capabilities.

Israel is going to take it sitting down without any risks of NBC spillage.
 
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