Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)

_killuminati_

Senior Member
Registered Member
Any idea here how they would attack, what targets and what Iran's air defenses are?
Natanz nuclear facility is the #1 target. It has already been attacked by Israel in the past, but not well struck; still functional. It is in Isfahan province, dead center of the country, ~1500km from Israel.
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It's a difficult site to target because it's at the base of a 3800m high mountain peak. Standoff weapons won't work and terrain-hugging cruise missiles probably won't either unless they can pull some serious G's.
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The only options are to go around and launch from southeast, ballistic missiles, or have complete air dominance in the area.

Given that Israel lacks BMs
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obj 705A

Junior Member
Registered Member

Zelensky backs Israel​

The Ukrainian president has likened Iran’s tactics to those of Russia, accusing Tehran of threatening the Middle East


Zelensky backs Israel


Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky has condemned Iran’s missile and drone strikes against Israel on Saturday, drawing parallels between Tehran’s actions and Russia’s tactics in Ukraine.

Iran said the barrage was in retaliation for the “Zionist regime’s numerous crimes, including the attack on the consular section of Iran’s Embassy in Damascus.”

A presumed Israeli airstrike destroyed Iran’s consulate in Damascus, Syria on April 1, killing seven officers of Iran’s elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force, including two high-ranking generals.

In a post on X (formerly Twitter) on Sunday, President Zelensky wrote that “Ukraine condemns Iran’s attack on Israel.” The Ukrainian head of state added that his compatriots “know very well the horror of similar attacks by Russia, which uses the same Shahed drones and Russian missiles, the same tactics of mass air strikes.”

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The US seems to be forgeting about Ukraine in favor of Israel. So he has to bring the attention back to Ukraine & beg for more US assistance.
 

TK3600

Major
Registered Member
My take, American guarantee is broken, everyone in my home country the Philippines, Taiwan, SK, Japan and even Australia may have second thought. I'm thinking there will be no more antics in the SCS and in Taiwan as the US will forbade anymore reckless adventure that will further erode their prestige and forced a war they're not prepare for.
Is Marcos a CCP spy working to undermine American credibility through Philipine?
Iran has many more levers:

- more waves of larger MRBM strikes (numbers)
- more advanced MRBMs such as Fattah and Khorramshahr (quality)
- escalate from Lebanon/Syria/Iraq (vectors and proximity)
- use any Israeli response as justification to enrich uranium to 90%

Each attack costs Israel $1 billion + 100-200 ABM interceptors (total inventory is for sure < 1000).

Israel struck a building next to the Iranian embassy in Syrian and Iran precisely struck the runway at Israel's strategic air force base in the Negev (plus at least 4 more targets). Next time Iran will strike the F-35 hangars themselves, the capability is clearly there.
The money is paid by US.
 

Minm

Junior Member
Registered Member
Given that Israel lacks BMs, it is likely that they will deploy F35s to hit deep into Iran with the help of US tankers in the horizon. They would likely target oil infrastructure and missile installations, but I doubt they will target nuclear locations.

However, Iran's air defense is not strong enough to intercept F35s, and the Iranians know this. As a result, they will plan to use their BMs and CMs to strike deep into Israel, something that the US and Israel are now fully aware of.

So, keep your fingers crossed.
How likely is it that F35s can cross Syria and Iraq undetected and then cross the mountains to enter Iran? If only a single one is lost, it's a giant failure. Oil infrastructure at the Persian gulf is even further away and easily repaired. The risk reward ratio for Israel and the US is not very good unless it's a full scale war including US forces

And any threat to attack Iran directly would probably be met with the best deterrent Iran has, which is to increase their stockpile of 60% enriched uranium. And any proper attack by a nuclear power will eventually give Iran the best justification for a nuclear test with the least international reaction
 
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