Information regarding the aftermath of last night's strike is now slowly but surely emerging.
Information regarding the aftermath of last night's strike is now slowly but surely emerging.
Probably near one year worth of US missiles production got used to thwart that attack... we will see how long they can continue.
Natanz nuclear facility is the #1 target. It has already been attacked by Israel in the past, but not well struck; still functional. It is in Isfahan province, dead center of the country, ~1500km from Israel.Any idea here how they would attack, what targets and what Iran's air defenses are?
Given that Israel lacks BMs
Perfect job for 4 F/A-18s!It's a difficult site to target because it's at the base of a 3800m high mountain peak. Standoff weapons won't work and terrain-hugging cruise missiles probably won't either unless they can pull some serious G's.
Nice reference to the movie - Top Gun: Maverick!Perfect job for 4 F/A-18s!
Is Marcos a CCP spy working to undermine American credibility through Philipine?My take, American guarantee is broken, everyone in my home country the Philippines, Taiwan, SK, Japan and even Australia may have second thought. I'm thinking there will be no more antics in the SCS and in Taiwan as the US will forbade anymore reckless adventure that will further erode their prestige and forced a war they're not prepare for.
The money is paid by US.Iran has many more levers:
- more waves of larger MRBM strikes (numbers)
- more advanced MRBMs such as Fattah and Khorramshahr (quality)
- escalate from Lebanon/Syria/Iraq (vectors and proximity)
- use any Israeli response as justification to enrich uranium to 90%
Each attack costs Israel $1 billion + 100-200 ABM interceptors (total inventory is for sure < 1000).
Israel struck a building next to the Iranian embassy in Syrian and Iran precisely struck the runway at Israel's strategic air force base in the Negev (plus at least 4 more targets). Next time Iran will strike the F-35 hangars themselves, the capability is clearly there.
How likely is it that F35s can cross Syria and Iraq undetected and then cross the mountains to enter Iran? If only a single one is lost, it's a giant failure. Oil infrastructure at the Persian gulf is even further away and easily repaired. The risk reward ratio for Israel and the US is not very good unless it's a full scale war including US forcesGiven that Israel lacks BMs, it is likely that they will deploy F35s to hit deep into Iran with the help of US tankers in the horizon. They would likely target oil infrastructure and missile installations, but I doubt they will target nuclear locations.
However, Iran's air defense is not strong enough to intercept F35s, and the Iranians know this. As a result, they will plan to use their BMs and CMs to strike deep into Israel, something that the US and Israel are now fully aware of.
So, keep your fingers crossed.