The only thing that matters is mission objectives. Interception rate is NEVER a criteria for mission success. In fact intercepting low cost drones with expensive missiles is double failure of Israelis today. Its not sustainable in any logistical sense. Israelis were completely confused today.
Iran's Objectives:
First we need to determine, was Iran looking to escalate it way too much Or was Iran trying to give a response that do not warrants a counter-response. I think we can agree that Iran didn't wanted to escalate. Iran wanted to attack Israel, but not a full scale war, it wanted to hit a military target but nothing out of proportionate. Out of 100s projectiles it fired, Iran never intended all those to impact and cause wide scale destruction. Iran sent these 100s intentionally as decoys to confuse Israeli AD to make way for select few BMs. This is as simple as anything. Israeli AD with most expensive missiles foolishly engaged all those cheap drones. In a way its another success of Iran to deplete Israeli stocks of expensive missiles with its cheap drones.
Israel's objectives:
Israel's first objective was to keep the status-quo and make Iran back off. They did full psychological warfare for weeks saying that Israel will instantly respond to Iran with full scale and what not. Israel wanted that deterrence to maintain. This first objective failed.
Israel's second objective was under worst case scenario, if Iran did attacks and violates Israel's airspace then to repel each and everything. It had weeks of preparation, it has US / UK allies with it fully committed. The last thing they wanted was to let their military base hit by Iranian missiles. This objective also failed for Israel.
What happened:
Now Iran's challenge was to pass through that thick layer of AD, which has GPS Jamming, EW and every sort of missiles. and guess what Iran succeed. Iran sent 100s of slow moving projectiles as decoys that were intended to confuse Israeli AD, while at least +15 fast moving BMs did hit the military base. Objective complete. Mission success. Its not about firing 100s or 1000s or intercepting 1000s, its about the mission criteria.
Iran's timing of missiles was nothing short of perfect, it's missiles precision was nothing short of perfect. We need to understand, we are talking about ranges in excess of 1000 Kms. Iran sent the waves with exact timings, the drones sent hours before the CMs & BMs but all made entry into Israel at exact same moment. Also it shows that Iran was well aware of Israeli AD, that's the only reason they sent so many drones as decoys. Iran sent multi-layered attack against Israel's multi-layered defense.
Lastly. people who are dumb enough to make a foolish point of 'interception rate' needs to ask themselves that what really were they expecting?? Were they expecting that Iran fired those 300+ projectiles all to hit Israel and cause mass level destruction across Israel? I mean if yes, then you need to understand basics of modern warfare. It was never the goal of Iran at first place. Iran wanted most of these low cost drones to be intercepted with expensive Israeli AD, so missiles with intended targets can pass through. These low cost drones were meant to be intercepted and confuse Israeli AD along with US / UK / Jordanians. It was Iran against all and it successfully achieved its goals. Israel is humiliated and it can't do much now. This is the reality of today.
I think below video summarizes the total success of brilliant Iranian strike, how most expensive Israeli missiles are engaging cheap decoys and while the missiles with real target pass through all the defensive layers. A 10/10 perfect attack.
Note:
This is a small demo that Iran has presented. It has proved that Israel is well in range of its missiles, it has proved that Israel can be paralyzed & crushed if attacked with full force, it has proved it's missiles are accurate despite all those GPS / EW jamming. Last century's world order is crumbing & crushing with every year passing.
