ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

Today at 1:45 PM
...

QxgYa.jpg

if you decided to look, then from left to right in the map:
  1. (number is in red above) Government may get encircled in Mahardah;
  2. (number is in blue above) Government lost Maarzaf and Majdal yesterday, and I don't know (the ugly question mark in blue most to the left) how close the current line is to Asilah;
  3. (number is in blue above) Government lost Khattab and Arzeh yesterday, and I don't know the current lines around those places (two ugly question marks in blue);
  4. (number is in red above) Government is under attack in Qomhana, the part of the 'arc' (it's the inner perimeter of the defense of Hama town ... you may look at the map I quote above in this post; I put the 'arc' schematically as the red dots, and I know they don't go where they should which would be to 'Hama Airbase' more to the south);
  5. (number is in blue above) Government lost Kawkab today, but reportedly is counterattacking in that area; south to Maardas, which Goverment lost yesterday in the evening, I put yet another ugly question mark in blue, as I don't know how close anti-Government forces got to the two mountains (Mount Zayn is not marked in the above map, while Mount Kafraa is)
let's wait and see
w7n9gyy7ysysz0ezg.jpg
and here's the most recent map (
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) by pro-Government Twitter account
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which differs in, using the numbers I posted above:
#2 (not showing Maarzaf lost by Government)
#3 (not showing Arzeh lost by Government)
#5 (not showing Kawkab lost by Government)

these differences are minor considering pro-Government outlets this afternoon for this area announced successes of "Tiger Force" (it's perhaps the most nimble Government unit, four (??) thousand men; in Soviet terminology I would call it Independent Brigade :)

time will tell the rest
 
Despite pressure around Damascus (which seems to be now contained) and around Hama (which is now being stopped and reversed), The big news of the day must be the SAA taking the town on Deir Hafer in East Aleppo, which they took without needing to storm, after they launched a lighting flanking move south and West that successfully encircled the town.
It seems that ISIS legged it before the trap was fully set.

The capture of Deir Hafer is big news!
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By
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info?
 
Care to be a bit more specific?
ArJ9.jpg

in the situation when totally pro-Government Twitter account:
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Hassan Ridha Retweeted SouthFront

Not true, SAA has not captured Deir Hafer yet
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SampanViking
do you have a video and/or pictures of some major urban or terrain features of
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after Yesterday at 7:22 PM
Despite pressure around Damascus (which seems to be now contained) and around Hama (which is now being stopped and reversed), The big news of the day must be the SAA taking the town on Deir Hafer in East Aleppo, which they took without needing to storm, after they launched a lighting flanking move south and West that successfully encircled the town.
It seems that ISIS legged it before the trap was fully set.

The capture of Deir Hafer is big news!
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?

I noticed because yesterday Comrades
  1. "Cassad"
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    and
  2. By
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"let the Syrian Army liberate" also
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in north-to-Hama area (which is the only area I follow closely) while this info 'required a willing suspension of disbelief' and in fact Government is under a heavy attack as I write


EDIT
LOL it reminded me about the remaining unsolved issue here for me and delft :)

Nov 27, 2016
... as in
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By
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-
24/11/2016

(emoticon of wink)
Nov 27, 2016
I expect those Egyptian planes to arrive, if they arrive at all, in about two months time.
Nov 27, 2016
LOL I guess you know what I'm going to do, which is to quote your post in about three months

...
... so delft did the Egyptians arrive yet?
 
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...
in north-to-Hama area ... Government is under a heavy attack as I write


...
there are numerous reports of fights inside
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which is the part of Hama defenses Wednesday at 9:26 PM
so I prepared those two closeups (in both of them that place, spelled either "Qomhane" or "Qimhana", is in middle-top; I don't know the status of Arzeh; Mount Zayn is like Government fortified mountain):

uTlnc.jpg


Q120n.jpg

and with this, my lunch break is over
 
about forty hours ago
Thursday at 1:45 PM

...

QxgYa.jpg

if you decided to look, then from left to right in the map:
  1. (number is in red above) Government may get encircled in Mahardah;
  2. (number is in blue above) Government lost Maarzaf and Majdal yesterday, and I don't know (the ugly question mark in blue most to the left) how close the current line is to Asilah;
  3. (number is in blue above) Government lost Khattab and Arzeh yesterday, and I don't know the current lines around those places (two ugly question marks in blue);
  4. (number is in red above) Government is under attack in Qomhana, the part of the 'arc' (it's the inner perimeter of the defense of Hama town ... you may look at the map I quote above in this post; I put the 'arc' schematically as the red dots, and I know they don't go where they should which would be to 'Hama Airbase' more to the south);
  5. (number is in blue above) Government lost Kawkab today, but reportedly is counterattacking in that area; south to Maardas, which Goverment lost yesterday in the evening, I put yet another ugly question mark in blue, as I don't know how close anti-Government forces got to the two mountains (Mount Zayn is not marked in the above map, while Mount Kafraa is)
let's wait and see
and, as of now, the schematic blue line more or less stays; just a few points:
  • concerning the area marked by 2 in blue above, saw a vid from Maarzaf yesterday, and this place is probably the western-most part of the anti-Government protrusion toward Hama;
  • "3 blue": saw a vid from Khattab yesterday;
  • "4 red": Government repelled attacks on Qomhana EDIT this is probably the most important point
  • "5 blue": Kawkab either was until recently, or still is, the eastern-most part (yesterday in the evening I read, in some group on reddit, Government so far had mounted six attacks to regain it)
  • in totally pro-Government Twitter account found the pictures of Government reinforcements on their way to the area, of this type:
    C7tmogHXUAIn9KK.jpg

  • the most recent "peto lucem" map (it's
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    ):
    C7tIg6EXkAEMblu.jpg:large
 
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BBC Radio 4 is talking this morning about heavy civilian casualties in Mosul as a result of US and coalition air attacks. Attack on air raid shelter?
I noticed a probably related vid yesterday from Western Mosul, but I didn't watch because (I know I said it before) I can look at combat videos, but not on suffering of civilians, and it was kinda obvious the scenes would be very disturbing (generally, if they're faked, it's like a horror movie, with loud moaning, a doll ("mutilated body of a child") etc. and heck if it's not faked I'm really not interested)

so I don't know what's specifically been shown in that vid, anyway I think at this point of the campaign it's "gloves off" I mean if they think there's for example an ISIL command post inside some building, they'll flatten the building period
 

delft

Brigadier
From the BBC website:
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UN fears 200 died in coalition airstrike on Mosul
  • 24 March 2017

The United Nations has raised grave concerns about reports of high civilian casualties in the Iraqi city of Mosul.

A senior UN official in Iraq said she was stunned by accounts of "terrible loss of life", after claims that at least 200 people had been killed in an air strike by the US-led coalition.

US warplanes are supporting the Iraqi Army's mission to retake Mosul from the Islamic State (IS).

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say an investigation is under way.

It is not known exactly when the deaths are alleged to have happened.

However, reporters in western Mosul's Jadideh neighbourhood said they saw 50 bodies being pulled out of buildings on Friday, after they were razed in air attacks earlier in March.

Iraqi forces have been waging a months-long offensive to recapture Mosul, the last IS stronghold in Iraq, which has been occupied since 2014.

The New York Times quoted US military officials saying the coalition was investigating reports of civilian deaths from a strike between 17-23 March.

Colonel Joseph Scrocca, a spokesman for the US-led command in Baghdad, said that "the coalition has opened a formal civilian casualty credibility assessment on this allegation" from Mosul.

"This process takes time, though, especially when the date of the alleged strike is in question," he said.

The UN estimates that 400,000 Iraqi civilians are trapped in the Old City of Mosul as government forces battle to re-capture it.

More than 180,000 civilians have fled the west of the city in the past month, amid fears that an additional 320,000 may follow in the coming weeks.

Residents who have managed to flee say the militants are using civilians as human shields, hiding in houses and forcing young men to fight.

US officials believe there are about 2,000 IS fighters left in Mosul.
 
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