ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

ehm after I had finished the above map, I noticed "de Syracuse" put up a new edition:
Syria interactive conflict map (2 Sept 2016)
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

2-Sept-2016-Syria-Interactive-1024x664.jpg

(should be "clickable"; if it doesn't work, you can try access it from the above link, or
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

LOL I think I've been reasonably close
 
Does anyone have any explanations for why the Syrian government have not focused efforts on retaking the myriad small rebel held areas near Damascus and the bigger area near Homs?
 
Today at 10:01 AM
... in the central-north part ... the current situation is something like this (action is expected around Sayur Lake; don't know about the area east to Al-Rai):
x8tbU.jpg
moment ago found in Twitter
  1. the picture which purports to shows Rebels' arrival at Sayur Lake (I removed the bottom part of the picture because it contained the text which I didn't understand: what if it contained flame-bait LOL):
    gzpJV.jpg
    and
  2. the picture which purports to show the arrival of Turkish tanks into Al-Rai this afternoon ("second front"?):
    CrbhEtHWYAALxnV.jpg
 

FORBIN

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
M-60T Sabra very modernized variant with reactive armor and 120 mm gun.

Other destroyed recently normaly is a M-60A1 or 3, ofc even M-60T can be destroyed but more difficult.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Does anyone have any explanations for why the Syrian government have not focused efforts on retaking the myriad small rebel held areas near Damascus and the bigger area near Homs?
Priority. Concentrate on the critical points to the Turkish boarder where most Rebels are. Contain the small pockets where the rebels can not do much other than survival. SAA is limited in manpower, this strategy is the only choice. If Syria does the opposite, there is a big chance the north will be lost to the Turkish backed rebels, essentially partitioning Syria, making Syrian government a regional faction than a national government, less legitimacy to stay in power, giving the anti-Assad factions more excuses to invade and topple. This also explains why SAA stays out of the fight between IS and Kurds to the north east. I would do the same thing because neither Kurds nor IS can ever gain legitimacy no matter how big area they control, none of them can gain a collective support from all major players. But the so-called "moderate" rebels are totally another beast, they are proxies, they will gain "legitimacy" if they hold a big chunk of land and population.

SAA is in a race with time, it must cut off or contain of finish (unlikely) the rebels to the north before Turkey can establish a strong foot hold in the north-east.
 
Priority. Concentrate on the critical points to the Turkish boarder where most Rebels are. Contain the small pockets where the rebels can not do much other than survival. SAA is limited in manpower, this strategy is the only choice. If Syria does the opposite, there is a big chance the north will be lost to the Turkish backed rebels, essentially partitioning Syria, making Syrian government a regional faction than a national government, less legitimacy to stay in power, giving the anti-Assad factions more excuses to invade and topple. This also explains why SAA stays out of the fight between IS and Kurds to the north east. I would do the same thing because neither Kurds nor IS can ever gain legitimacy no matter how big area they control, none of them can gain a collective support from all major players. But the so-called "moderate" rebels are totally another beast, they are proxies, they will gain "legitimacy" if they hold a big chunk of land and population.

SAA is in a race with time, it must cut off or contain of finish (unlikely) the rebels to the north before Turkey can establish a strong foot hold in the north-east.

The risk to that strategy is demonstrated by current events though. The government attempt to lay siege to rebel held areas of Aleppo failed, probably because the Aleppo area is right next to the largest rebel held area of Idlib on one side and IS held area on the other. Once Turkey and their rebel proxies take over IS held areas to the northeast the government held areas of Aleppo will be sandwiched. Meanwhile there are still significant pockets of rebel held areas near Homs and Damascus which can create problems in the Syrian government's "rear" areas. I would have cleared out those "rear" pockets instead of trying to take over the rest of Aleppo. I would also say that the attempt to take over the rest of Aleppo was probably a trigger for Turkey launching their direct intervention on the ground.
 
Thursday at 3:54 PM
...
CrPy1kIUIAABuxm.jpg:large


from new blog
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

...
  1. Government took over Technical College recently, which enables it to bring reinforcements through "nobody's land" south to Hamadinyah District; an attack further down through the Artillery Base (https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...o-oped-no-politics.t6913/page-400#post-408151) is to start in one or two days ...
... and I think there were several attempts, and it's now confirmed "Armament College" was recaptured by the Government:
913733_900.jpg
(reportedly "Artillery College" under attack as I write)
 
Top