ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

SampanViking

The Capitalist
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Thank you for your well-thought and well-expressed (as always) response.

I have been following the battle for Latakia, intently. Have you consulted any terrain maps of the current operational area ? It's quite challenging!

And, yes, the battles for the supply routes from the Turkish border, and the battle for Idlib (Province), will, in fact, be the true battle for the Syrian Republic.


Thanks, but I would just like to repeat one thing.
Putin is an intelligence man and the application of good intelligence is difficult to interpret from maps and combat footage.
We know that the rebels are deeply divided into myriad groups and that these will be riven by mistrust and jealousy in the best "Peoples Popular Front of Judea" style.
I have no doubt that Putin will be playing those rivalries and jealousies etc for all they are worth. So who is and who is not a Terrorist? who is being offered a ceasefire and who is not? Who mkay have secretly agreed a Ceasefire and who has not, plus who is being bombed and who is not?
I think such questions and observations are starting to tear the opposition networks apart and may even be setting sponsors at each others throats.

I also note that today's statement from the Syrian Foreign Minister apart the Ceasefire and Peace Talks came from Beijing, so here is the arena where the weight of China has been employed.
Others should note it!
 

delft

Brigadier
The website of my favourite radio station has an item that the families and wounded of Daesh in the quarters Yarmouk and al-Hajar al-Aswad in Southern Damascus, are to be evacuated to Raqqa, suggesting that the fighters themselves will follow.
Does this mean that then all terrorists will have left Damascus.
 

janjak desalin

Junior Member
ISIS Suffers Embarrassing Defeat in Southern Damascus As 4,000 Terrorists Flee Hajar Al-Aswad And Al-Qadam
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Written by
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on December 24, 2015

It has been nearly 3 years since the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) has last entered the large Damascene city of Hajjar Al-Aswad and the Al-Qadam District; however, the pro-government forces are eager to make up for lost time, as the Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS) finally bids farewell to this part of southern Damascus.

For several months, ISIS has been entrenched in the city of Hajjar Al-Aswad (Black Stone) and the large Damascene district of Al-Qadam, leaving many bystanders in fear of the aforementioned terrorist group’s intentions to advance north towards the Syrian capital of Damascus.

Luckily, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA), the National Defense Forces (NDF), and the Palestinian resistance all kept the terrorist group in check in southern Damascus, while the Islamist rebels of Jaysh Al-Islam (Army of Islam) and Jabhat Al-Nusra (Syrian Al-Qaeda group) either colluded with or lost ground to the ISIS forces.

On Thursday morning, ISIS agreed to abandon their posts at the Al-Qadam District and the city of Hajar Al-Aswad, as long as they were provided transportation to the Al-Raqqa Governorate from the Syrian capital.

According to a military source inside of the Damascus City, 4,000 ISIS fighters are being transferred to the Al-Raqqa Governorate after negotiations between rival Palestinian groups proved successful.

This is a major victory for the Syrian Government as they are now in control of a large chunk of southern Damascus, which was once the most volatile area inside the Syrian capital.
Understanding the perspective of this reporter, we must acknowledge that the designation, ISIL, in fact, may refer to any of the groups that are fighting against the Assad Regime.
 

janjak desalin

Junior Member
It seems that Mr. Fatel's designation is accurate in this instance.

IS Fighters' Families To Leave Southern Damascus in U.N. Deal: Group
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Thu Dec 24, 2015 1:18pm EST
Hundreds of families of Islamic State militants and some injured fighters are expected to leave rebel-held areas of southern Damascus under a U.N.-brokered deal, a monitoring group said on Thursday.

Safe passage would be given from the Palestinian refugee camp of Yarmouk on the outskirts of Syrian capital and neighbouring Hajar al Aswad, said Rami Abdulraham, head of the British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

The families and some fighters will be taken to Raqqa in northern Syria, the stronghold of the militant Sunni Islamist group, and other IS-controlled areas over several months, eventually ending the group's presence near Damascus.

Islamic State has had a significant foothold in Hajar al Aswad, just a few kilometres from President Bashar al Assad's seat of power.

Syria's minister for national reconciliation, Ali Haidar, told Reuters that efforts were under way to get militants out of the Yarmouk camp but gave no details.

A U.N. spokesman told reporters in New York: "The U.N. is an observer to the agreement concerning Yarmouk, but not part of it, which we understand should come into effect in the coming few days."

Several local ceasefires and safe-passage agreements have been concluded elsewhere in Syria recently. One, brokered with support from Iran and Turkey, halted fighting in the town of Zabadani on the Lebanese border, and in two villages in northwestern Syria.

A deal was also reached in the last rebel-held district of the Syrian city of Homs that allowed rebels and their families to leave the besieged area. The U.N. said the agreement could help pave the way for a nationwide truce.

(Reporting by Suleiman Al-Khalidi and Kinda Makieh in Damascus; Editing by
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and Paul Simao)
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
I also note that today's statement from the Syrian Foreign Minister apart the Ceasefire and Peace Talks came from Beijing, so here is the arena where the weight of China has been employed.
Others should note it!

That explains why China did not materially support the Syrian government until this day. (I know, there was a Syrian millitary delegation in Beijing months ago asking for delivery of equipment that was in a deal signed before the war began). I think this political-support-only approach serves one purpose, to make China the only great power to be acceptable (to some less extent by some fighting parties) to mediate a peace deal.

Is that a pure Chinese plan? Or is it part of Sino-Russian strategic plan for the Syrian conflict early on? I am inclined to believe the later. This is like a white/red face play (Chinese version of good/bad cop). I will preemptively dismiss the possible notion that Russia is tricked by China in this arrangement to do the heavylift, because the geographical distance and existing millitary presence have determined that only Russia can do the physical work there, only China has the economical clout and positive diplomatic influence to the anti-Assad camp.
 

delft

Brigadier
From RT.com:
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  • 10:51 GMT
    Buses ready to take 2,000 Islamist fighters out of south Damascus – report
    Two thousand Syrian Islamist fighters, including Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL) and Al-Nusra Front militants, were expected to be evacuated soon from besieged, rebel-held areas of southern Damascus, Hezbollah TV said on Friday. The move is part of a deal brokered by the UN. Eighteen buses had arrived in the al Qadm area of Damascus to take them and 1,500 family members away from the Palestinian refugee camp of Yarmouk and adjoining Hajar al Aswad. They will be headed to areas under the control of IS and other rebel groups. It was not clear whether the buses were provided by the UN or by the Syrian Army, Reuters said.
 

delft

Brigadier
I searched in Reuters and found:
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World | Fri Dec 25, 2015 9:03am EST
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Buses to ship out 2,000 besieged Syrian Islamist fighters: Hezbollah TV
BEIRUT | By Suleiman Al-Khalidi


Two thousand Syrian Islamist fighters are expected to be evacuated soon from besieged, rebel-held areas of southern Damascus in a deal brokered by the United Nations, a Hezbollah TV station said on Friday.

The deal marks a success for the government of President Bashar al-Assad, increasing its chances of reasserting control over a strategic area just 4 km (2.5 miles) south of the center of the capital.

It also highlights the increasing efforts of the U.N. and foreign governments to bring about local ceasefires and safe-passage agreements as steps toward the wider goal of ending Syria's civil war, in which more than 250,000 people have been killed in nearly five years of fighting.

The besieged militants include fighters of Islamic State and the Nusra Front, al Qaeda's offshoot in Syria. Hezbollah's Manar TV said 18 buses had arrived to start taking them and 1,500 family members to areas under the control of IS and other rebel groups. It was not clear whether the buses were provided by the U.N. or by the Syrian army.

The rebels' capitulation was forced by a government siege over several years that squeezed the flow of food and humanitarian aid, starving many people to death in what rights group Amnesty International has described as war crimes.

Manar said the fighters would also be handing in their heavy weapons to the Syrian army under what it said was a multi-party deal under U.N. auspices.

Manar is the official mouthpiece of Hezbollah, a Lebanese Shi'ite group which is a major ally of Assad and has sent its forces to fight alongside government troops.

It later said the evacuation "awaited completion of some arrangements".

Separately, the Syrian army said on Friday it had fought its way close to the strategic, rebel-held Aleppo-Damascus highway - its latest gain in a major offensive supported by Iranian-backed Shi'ite militias and Russian air power.

The government and its allies are pressing toward the northwestern province of Idlib, which borders Turkey and is controlled by a coalition of Islamist groupings called Jaish al Fateh. Its capture would deal a major blow to the insurgents, who have been losing ground since Russia launched its aerial bombing campaign in support of the Assad government on Sept. 30.

LOCAL DEALS

In a separate development, a British-based monitoring group said the last of some 200 Nusra Front fighters operating in Deraa province in the south had been given safe passage by the Syrian authorities to leave for rebel-controlled Idlib.

Damascus agreed to the move in return for the release of Iranian officers captured by Nusra while fighting alongside the Syrian army, said Rami Abdulrahman, head of the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

The south Damascus and Deraa deals followed an earlier local truce in Zabadani on the Lebanese border, and an agreement allowing rebels to leave a besieged part of the city of Homs, which the U.N. said could help pave the way for a nationwide truce.

The U.N. Security Council on Dec. 18 unanimously approved a resolution endorsing an international road map for a Syrian peace process, a rare show of consensus among major powers.

Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moualem said on Thursday that Damascus was ready to take part in peace talks in Geneva and hoped that the dialogue would help it form a national unity government. The U.N. plans to convene the Geneva talks toward the end of January.

(Reporting by Suleiman Al-Khalidi; Editing by
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)
Deraa is near the border with Jordan and this move must be a result of the change in attitude of that country and its cooperation with Russia in opposing terrorism. An ever larger part of Syria will be outside the reach of the "rebels".
 
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delft

Brigadier
From the BBC website:
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Syrian rebel leaders 'die in air strike'
The head and several leaders of a major Syrian rebel group, Jaysh al-Islam, have been killed in an air strike in a suburb of Damascus, reports say.

Founder Zahroun Alloush was among those killed when missiles hit during a meeting, rebels and activists said.

The Saudi-backed Islamist group is active mostly around the Syrian capital.

It recently joined an opposition summit in Riyadh which produced a framework for peace talks with the government.
People who see from where the wind blows are helping to clear the Syrian capital of terrorists?
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
From the BBC website:
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People who see from where the wind blows are helping to clear the Syrian capital of terrorists?
we can also see where the string is pulled from Reuters report
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I quote
Before setting up Jaysh al Islam, Alloush had founded Liwa al-Islam, or the Brigade of Islam, with his father Abdallah, a Salafist Syrian cleric based in Saudi Arabia.
 
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