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vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
I know, thats why I said withdraw Indian troops, this is a textbook definition of invasion, and so far China has been extremely considerate to India's action, but this situation won't last long if it continues.

When I said sign border agreement I mean at the other 2 places in Kashmir and Arunachal Pradesh/South Tibet.

India have more to lose in a cold war with China, and India can also cause China some discomfort as well if it wants to. So its best that both side are in good peace with each other.

What's the point of signing an agreement with someone if you know he will ignore it and do whatever he wants? India initiated the current hostilities and it's up to India to back off
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
You just repeated what I just wrote.

My post was all about border agreements. India's agressive and stupid action destroyed its own credibility on respecting signed agreements. There is no point for China to sign anything with India from now on
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
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The Indian government comes up with ambitious plans while ignoring its own limited capabilities.


Using the available data and quoting many experts, Kaul paints a grim picture: the Indian economy simply does not create enough jobs, investment is low, credit isn’t flowing and the education system releases way too many students into work life whose ability to read, write and do basic maths are at best shaky.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
In many ways India is not really a nation as much as a confederation of independent States, each province speak their own langue and their own laws. Most Indian from difference state that not bordering each other cannot communicate with their mother tongs, they need to speak English with each other. This along with other social economic problems is what making India so difficult to centralize to make polices, and I think most Indian knows this and they cheer Modi as a strongman figure.

However I say this, India do have a lot of positive, it do have a chance to became a major regional power from its geography, it is located in a excellent geographic position, it is surround by ocean on all 3 sides that means its great for commence, almost all of India can grow crops so that means it can be food secure.

It is also located next to Middle East, Southeast Asia and closer to Africa than Asia, that means India's is very close to energy sources in the Middle East, it's also in a better location to do business with South East Asia and Middle East as well as Africa.

So its in theory India is possible to dominate East Africa to South East Asia, but its unlike they will achieve it though.

Yes, India is more of a confederation than a single state. For example, look at the difficulties that the European Union is having because it has so many languages/laws/customs.

From a religious point of view, one in six Indians is Muslim which also causes huge social divisions against the Hindu majority.

Personally, I think India's geography is a handicap.

There are studies which show that the people in sub-tropical climates (such as Brazil/India) are not as good at planning ahead and delaying gratification as those in Temperate climates (such as Europe/China/US).

It is theorised that people in Temperate climates have to plan for a food-scarce Winter and therefore delay and therefore more likely to see how short-term sacrifice results long-term gain.

That has a huge impact on how Indian people think and act. It would also explain a lot of the differences in attitude towards long-term investment in infrastructure/education and timekeeping for example.

Cultures can change, but it does take time and a concerted effort in education to do this.

And in the modern era, it is the people that create a prosperous and educated society.

In South East Asia, China is actually a closer from the point of view of geography, language and the Chinese diaspora that are economically very influential.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
I generally agree. But I still think things could change for India. China was considered a basket case back in the sixties as well.

I think with more wealth, India could potentially invest more in r&d and grow. But if they don't, the gap will just get bigger and bigger as USA and China leads, which other G7 nations focus on niche technologies.

Large population is only a positive asset if they are well educated. I'm only saying Indians are no dumber than anyone else. They just need better national education to pull ahead of a lot of countries.

No.

In the 1960s, the world was both amazed and scared at the energy that China was expending to create a new utopia, which seemed to be breaking all sorts of production/growth records whilst recreating a new society from scratch

It has been noted that if Hong Kong had elections at that time, the Communist Party would have won in a landslide.

It was only afterwards that everyone (including Mao) actually realised what a terrible mistake that constant internal revolution caused.

And if you read some books from the 1980s, they regarded China as a quasi-superpower.

---

I agree that good education is the way forward for India. But how will that work given that:

1. 40% of Indian children are malnourished, which permanently retards brain development
2. Indians don't have the same cultural commitment to education as in Europe/China/USA.
3. The upper-caste elites don't really care about the vast majority of the population, as evidenced by the lopsided spending priorities of the government on university education for the elite instead of universal literacy for everyone.
 
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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Here is the background on the status of disputed area Doklam. It clearly show that it was Tibetan own area to begin with. The border will be marked and delineated if it not for Indian meddling
Tsering Shakya is the Canadian Research Chair in Religion and Contemporary Society at the University of British Columbia, and author of The Dragon in the Land of Snows: A History of Modern Tibet Since 1947

Bhutan can solve its border problem with China – if India lets it

The only surviving Tibetan Buddhist kingdom is caught between a rock and a hard place, seemingly willing to negotiate its longstanding territorial claims with Beijing but feeling the heat from an overbearing New Delhi

By Tsering Shakya
22 Jul 2017

The tiny Himalayan state of Bhutan, portrayed as the happiest place in the world, is now caught in the middle between two Asian giants as Chinese and Indian soldiers stand eyeball-to-eyeball on a narrow, barren patch high up on the mountainous borders where Bhutan and China meet.

Rhetoric has been flying thick and fast on both sides, with Beijing reminding India about the “lesson” of 1962 and New Delhi retorting that it is not the same India that lost poorly to China in that short border war 55 years ago. The current situation is portrayed by India’s hyper-nationalistic media in terms of encirclement by China and Beijing’s designs on India. However, for the small Himalayan states and border regions, it’s not China that makes them nervous, it’s India.
China, India border dispute bubbles over once more, but no one is quite sure why

The Indian press, calling it a border dispute between India and China, colourfully describes the disputed narrow valley leading into India’s northeast as the “chicken neck”. The valley is supposedly the “dagger” pointing at India, alluding to China’s strategic intentions. In reality, the issue does not have much to do with the border, and definitely not the China-India border. The area under contention, between Bhutan and Tibet, has never been cartographically demarcated.

Before the Chinese annexation of Tibet, the nomads living on the plateau moved freely across these areas. In the 1950s, China negotiated and settled most of its land borders, but never completed discussions with Bhutan, because India insisted on the right to negotiate on behalf of Bhutan, which the Chinese refused to accept. China wanted direct negotiations with Bhutan. Eventually India had to relent.
Border standoff with India be damned, Chinese love for this Bollywood film just keeps growing

Since 1984, Bhutan and China have held 24 rounds of talks, the content of which has been kept secret. Both parties have mouthed the usual diplomatic platitudes, but the protracted nature of the talks indicates major disagreement.

India’s acceptance of direct Bhutan-China negotiations was based on observation of China’s past strategy in territorial negotiation with smaller states such as Pakistan, Nepal and Myanmar that are not seen as a threat to China’s security. For them, China adopted a benevolent position and conceded their demands. But with Bhutan, it has taken a tough stand, and many in Bhutan blame New Delhi for it.

China stands on the crest of the Himalayas and has highly developed infrastructure, giving it the dominant position. Bhutan and China identified seven disputed areas. Most of these are of no great significance to China, and which it is willing to concede to Bhutan. But Bhutan’s claims are historically flimsy, and China has been able to present a huge amount of Tibetan historical land records from the past government of the Dalai Lama to show these territories were under the jurisdiction of Lhasa.

In 1996, after the 10th round of talks, it appeared that Bhutan and China had reached an understanding that China would concede to Bhutan’s claims in the northern sector of the border, while Bhutan would accept China’s claims to the south. When, 15 months later, the two sides met for the 11th round of meetings, there was much expectation that an agreement would be signed. But to China’s surprise, Bhutan revised its claims in the south and asserted a claim to larger territory than before, leading the talks to break down. China suspected the new claims were made at India’s behest and began to harden its stance.
This is India’s China war, Round Two

One area of dispute where China is not willing to make a concession is this narrow valley that the Tibetans call Dromo. During the Dalai Lama’s rule in Tibet, the area was administered from Phari Dzong, clearly within Tibet, and was divided into Upper and Lower Dromo. After the British invasion in 1904, Dromo was elevated to dzong, (county) and successive county administrators were appointed by the Lhasa government.

This narrow valley was one of the important trade routes between India and Tibet and the hamlet of Dromo was the staging post for all goods entering and leaving Tibet. It was such an important route that the area has four different names, varying with the people using it – for British India it was the Chumbi Valley, for Newar merchants from Nepal it was Sher zingma, and for the Chinese, Yatung, now written as Yadong.

This “dagger” pointing at India is the strip that separates the Indian state of Sikkim from Bhutan. The dispute is not about Dromo county, but a part of it called Drok Lam, Tibetan for “Nomads’ Path”, which Indians call Doklam. It’s about 600 sq km, about the size of Toronto. Here, Bhutan’s claim is not without foundation: although until 1913, Drok Lam was under the control of the Tibetan government in Lhasa, an enclave in Drok Lam was granted to Kazi Ugyen Dorje, one of the most important political figures in Bhutan, who served as the intermediary between British India and Tibet.

In 1911, when the 13th Dalai Lama fled the advancing Qing army and sought refuge in Kalimpong, he was hosted by Ugyen Dorje. However, the area granted was an enclave within Drok Lam, not the entire 600 sq km. Bhutan’s over-assertion of its claims, suspects China and many in Bhutan, may be on the prompting of New Delhi, which sees the narrow strip essential for the defence of Sikkim and beyond.

That would be tantamount to India sabotaging an agreement between Bhutan and China. The Indian media’s sabre-rattling on defending Bhutan from Chinese encroachment may be good for arousing nationalistic sentiment but does not find echoes in Bhutan. While the Bhutanese don’t fear invasion from the north, an increasing Indian presence will surely undermine its sovereignty.

Bhutan is the only surviving Tibetan Buddhist kingdom in the 21st century, and its leaders have been astute in preserving its independence, with the transition from absolute monarchy to democracy yielding remarkable success. As its history has shown, Bhutan can fully handle its own affairs – if India would let it. ■
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Tsering Shakya is the Canadian Research Chair in Religion and Contemporary Society at the University of British Columbia, and author of The Dragon in the Land of Snows: A History of Modern Tibet Since 1947

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Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
Guys, limit the discussion here to Indian Military news.

Not justification for the political position of either side in the disputed area.

If you want to lay down the Chinese claim...do it on a Chinese thread. Not here.

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Lethe

Captain
They also need to curb their population growth. Obviously nothing as extreme as China's 1 child policy because that in itself as we now know have serious future consequences but just maybe a lil education in regards to family planning.

India's rate of population growth has already declined markedly in recent decades, from a Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of 5.9 over the 1950-1960 period to 2.44 over the 2010-2015 period. A TFR of 2.1 indicates long-term stable population size, figures below this indicate that the population will decrease over the long-term, figures above that it will increase. It is highly likely that India will achieve a stable TFR of 2.1 by 2030, and WPP 2017 projections estimate that its population will peak around 2060 at under 1700m people. Conclusion: no radical intervention to further accelerate the decline of India's population growth is required.
 
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