To be honest, I have been confused from the beginning about the true motives of the Indians. It makes no sense that they would risk open war with China over a road. I am familiar with their official narrative about the chicken neck. However, China has been upgrading their strategic assets along the Sino-Indian border for a long time. The Indians have lost their strategic advantage along the border a long long time. Even if they could stopp the construction, it won't change a single thing one bit on the grand scheme of things. That's a lot of risk for a very limited and small tactical advantage.
I am not convinced that simply stopping the construction is their ultimate goal.
When asked, Indian officials simply said that they aimed to occupy the camp until winter comes. That also makes no sense. Is this some kind of amateur protest? They simply want to "occupy a Chinese plateau" for the heck of it?
So why?
I believe Indian try to give China the middle finger and dare them to act. India for a long time has huge ambition to lead Asia but has no hard power of economic or military to back it up. Look it from their perspective
Chinese economy is surging, all kind of initiatives are launched to bind the central asia, south east asia to her with investment, infra structure built up, trade agreement etc.
Even in South Asia that is by god right according to Indian is their domain. Sri Lanka with the Hambatota port , Even Nepal due to short sightness of Indian policy now give China the opening opportunity to woe her , Bangladesh bought all kind of military hardware from China . Not to mention Pakistan.
So what else can India compete against China ?. For some time the idea of faking higher growth boosted their ego But with the demonetizing and confused and complicated GST
Their economy is back to Hindu growth.
So it back to square one of raw politic stood up to big bad China will win India it place in the sunshine of western adulation and self respect. And rally her people with this little adventure
I rather have successful and confident India than brooding and victimized Indian but nobody can help it but India himself She should focus her attention to make live better for her peoples instead of adventure to stick it to China
Which exactly what Nehru another megalomaniac did in 1962 with disastrous result
Here is wise word from ambassador Bhadrakumar
A war in the Himalayas would expose India’s soft power
By
AUGUST 10, 2017 2:22 PM (UTC+8)
The Xinhua news agency and China Daily newspaper, two authoritative platforms of Chinese policies, held out warnings this week over the military standoff with India near the Sikkim border.
starkly wrote that the “window for a peaceful solution is closing. The countdown to a clash between the two forces has begun….”
said China’s “restraint has limits and with every day that passes the tether shortens.”
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Should these warning be taken seriously? India stubbornly ignored similar warnings 55 years ago in a border war it resoundingly lost and the rest is history.
A war between India and China is improbable since neither side wants it. But below that threshold is a vast space where miscalculations can occur. Indians and Chinese are patriotic people, driven by nationalistic leaderships, and “territorial sovereignty” is a highly emotive issue. What’s alarming is that both governments have successfully rallied domestic opinion.
In China, perhaps, this wasn’t particularly difficult. But in India where a hundred flowers normally bloom, opinion is polarizing at an exceptional rate. It seems all Indians are rising in anger over Facebook posts supporting China’s position. But how could there be a contrarian opinion?
This holds dangers because hubris is a self-devouring monster. The plain truth is that India’s post-Cold War foreign policy calculus will be severely put to test for the first time if a conflict with China ensues. No country has backed India in its seven-week standoff with China. Indians all along fancied that they were leagues ahead of Chinese in “soft power” – yoga, Gandhi, snake charmers, etc. Apparently, that is not so.
It is particularly galling that the United States has not taken any posture favoring India. India’s post-Cold War strategic discourse is heavily laden with the blithe assumption that the US regards India as a “counterweight” to China.
, a high-flying opinion maker in the English-speaking Delhi circuit, said last week:
“All things that follow now will have a lot to do with what happens in the South China Sea. The US has sent out enough signals. If there is war, it will be a US-China war, with India on the US side, in the South China Sea and in the Himalayas. This trio (India, China and the US) is a very combustible mixture right now.… Ultimately, you have to understand that India cannot stand up to China without American help and support. America cannot stand up to China without Indian help. That is the symmetry in this relationship.”
The sheer naiveté in the above passage sums up India’s misfortune. The Indians refuse to see the geopolitical realities. It doesn’t occur to them that US President Donald Trump will fight wars only if America’s interests are directly threatened. Why should he order the Pentagon to send the marines to the Himalayas or to dispatch a carrier battle group to hunt down Chinese submarines in the Indian Ocean?
The one thing emerging out of the meeting in Manila last Friday between US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi is that the two top diplomats did not waste time on the South China Sea or the Indian Ocean.
Tillerson told the media that North Korea was the main topic in his discussions and whatever extra “bit of reflection on the relationship” with China that took place was devoted to the four high-level dialogues between the two countries last April at the summit at Mar-a-Lago, Florida. That meeting, he said, is “really advancing our two countries’ understandings of the nature of this relationship … and how we should strive to strengthen this relationship so that it benefits the world in terms of maintaining a secure world absent of conflict.”
Interestingly, the White House released a
on Saturday thanking China for its cooperation in securing the passage of a resolution in the United Nations Security Council on increased sanctions against North Korea. Trump is expected to make a state visit to China in November and Wang disclosed that preparations have begun.
Indian analysts simply do not get the point that the US-China relationship is in an altogether different league. Simply put, the single most crucial template of India’s strategy against China turns out to be delusional – that the US will confront China on India’s behalf.
Equally, Indian strategists never expected that post-Soviet Russia would bounce back on to the world stage. Through the past quarter-century, successive Indian governments have pursued a policy of benign neglect of relations with Russia, which are today in a state of atrophy. On the other hand, Russia-China relations are today at their highest point in decades.
Sadly, India’s “soft power” took a lethal blow during the past three-year period of the Hindu-nationalist government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi. This is so not only in liberal Western opinion but also in the Muslim world. The violence against Muslims, the erosion in India’s secularist foundations, the mass upheaval in Kashmir have all received attention internationally. It is also useful to remember that the Organization of Islamic Cooperation represents 54 member countries of the United Nations.
Suffice to say, all these factors will come into play if a war ensues between India and China. India is not a match for China militarily, and in soft power too China may already have an advantage. By cocooning themselves in a fantasyland, Indians are too full of themselves in their refusal to be judged by international opinion – leave alone Chinese and its smaller South Asian neighbors’ opinions.