Hong-Kong Protests

ChongqingHotPot92

Junior Member
Registered Member
It's absolute deliberate.

Exile has been a commonly used tactic to remove threats to stability since the Qin dynasty. It gets rid of the problem permanently with few aftereffects (whereas continued imprisonment would let the wound fester and be a constant source of baggage for the government). Unlike India, China is confident enough that Five Eyes-backed dissents won't be able to cause issues in China once the dissents are physically out of China, so exile is a good solution.

Besides, although exile isn't really a "takes away your freedom" type of punishment the way prison is, "never being able to go home" is still a significant deterrence to others.
The only down side with this approach is that the exiles would likely become powerful lobbyists in China’s liberal democratic adversaries, making detente and rapprochements difficult.
 

antiterror13

Brigadier
The question is how committed to the "cause" are they?
For now they are still committed ideologues, you could say extremists
The same survey had 99% not planning to return to HK

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There are some other questions left unanswered
1. How many have already gone back? If this number is significant, than it would explain the 99% number.
2. Are any realistic assumptions made? If you saw any of the initial parliamentary reports, they basically assumed they would be getting a whole bunch of doctors, nurses, engineers ("highly educated and high quality individuals") and they would immediately be contributing into these fields and not be packing biscuits at a factory. Of course that was never realistic, does the group behind the survey harbour equally unrealistic expectations?
3. Not a question that can be answered in this survey, but a something to consider. How much bitterness can the BNO's eat? If they moved as a family, can both parents sustain this kind of lifestyle impairment? Or will the unhappiness cascade into a divorce? Are the kids happy? If not, are you willing to sacrifice your kids' happiness for your political statement? (going to be very unhappy golden years if that's the case)

I think they should just stay in the UK as they said before that they'd prefer to be a beggar but "free" than a prince in HK

There is really no point to go back to HK and not happy and complaint all the time ...... and potentially creating a trouble

But the big question is whether the British want them to live there. Also whether HK people and govt want them to go back to HK
 

Zhong"Geodaddy"Li

New Member
Registered Member
The only down side with this approach is that the exiles would likely become powerful lobbyists in China’s liberal democratic adversaries, making detente and rapprochements difficult.
That’s the beauty of it, no matter how high they climb up eventually the allure of rapprochement will be too high and they’ll get tossed away by their masters again. It’s even funnier a second time!
 

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
It was a deliberate choice by the HKSAR government (probably under the direction of the central government) to give the leaders an opportunity to leave. The effective date of the NSL was announced well in advance and the airport was wide open.

Once the leaders ran away to the US/UK, the movement totally collapsed, as intended. It also exposed the yellow shirts for what they are -- western backed traitors.
More so that the government cannot disobey the rule of law. The capital punishments which many if not most people would like to see befall these criminals are reserved for treason, but treason under Chinese law requires very specific conditions to be triggered. Despite how illogical it seems, taking foreign bribes and advocating for their interests isn't specific enough to put them under for treason. This crime is only enough for a few years in jail and/or fines.

Ultimately the country can't function by mob justice. If capital punishment were widely used on HK cockroaches, it would also mean lowering the tolerance across the whole nation.

Realistically, China isn't going to tighten up its laws greatly, it's just not the type of country or people that prefer to use such solutions. The current NSL is the best we can get, a moderate security policy, on par with some EU countries. We are not US and aren't gonna throw people into torture camps over political disagreement.
 

daifo

Major
Registered Member
The only speculation I have is that maybe the NSL arrest for her was not valid since its been 3 years without formal charges/court date. Maybe someone was overzealous , maybe lack of evidence, not sufficient reasons, evidence by bad informant, etc... Letting a high profile person a chance to run off would save the embarrassment of having to drop the charges.
 

ChongqingHotPot92

Junior Member
Registered Member
It was a deliberate choice by the HKSAR government (probably under the direction of the central government) to give the leaders an opportunity to leave. The effective date of the NSL was announced well in advance and the airport was wide open.

Once the leaders ran away to the US/UK, the movement totally collapsed, as intended. It also exposed the yellow shirts for what they are -- western backed traitors.
One thing worth mentioning is a mini double standard regarding how the West treats China and Russia. If those rioters (like Joshua Wong and the two Leungs) were in Russia, Putin would certainly have had them shot, and Washington would say nothing. However, should Xi to shot them and dump their bodies into the Victoria Bay, expect loads of sanctions from Washington and London.
 

Moonscape

Junior Member
Registered Member
One thing worth mentioning is a mini double standard regarding how the West treats China and Russia. If those rioters (like Joshua Wong and the two Leungs) were in Russia, Putin would certainly have had them shot, and Washington would say nothing. However, should Xi to shot them and dump their bodies into the Victoria Bay, expect loads of sanctions from Washington and London.
White privilege.
 

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
One thing worth mentioning is a mini double standard regarding how the West treats China and Russia. If those rioters (like Joshua Wong and the two Leungs) were in Russia, Putin would certainly have had them shot, and Washington would say nothing. However, should Xi to shot them and dump their bodies into the Victoria Bay, expect loads of sanctions from Washington and London.
Nah I don't think so. They would complain momentarily but not dare to take lasting actions.

US is just gambling on being able to use China's laws against China itself, which works to some extent because unlike Russia, we have and greatly value a fair legal system.
 

Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
One thing worth mentioning is a mini double standard regarding how the West treats China and Russia. If those rioters (like Joshua Wong and the two Leungs) were in Russia, Putin would certainly have had them shot, and Washington would say nothing. However, should Xi to shot them and dump their bodies into the Victoria Bay, expect loads of sanctions from Washington and London.
US did sanction Russia when some political dissent gets poisoned. This was very famous in the news.

Treasury Targets Individuals Involved in the Poisoning of Aleksey Navalny
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Anyways, I hope they don't let Joshua Wong escape so easily too. Also, it's quite lonely and boring to escape to Canada by yourself, I guarantee Agnes Chow will soon want to return to HK.
 
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