Look, my point is simple.
There is a reasonable basis to be skeptical to the idea that they may choose folding tails, and if they do not go for folding tails, then this basis would likely be the cause.
There is also a reasonable basis to entertain the idea that they may choose folding tails, and if they do go for folding tails, then this basis would likely be the cause.
And all of this discussion is at a stage where we don't know if H-20 will adopt folding tails or not, but also keeping in mind that at this stage the null hypothesis is slightly in favour of the idea of H-20 not having folding tails (simply due to the lack of consistent rumours mentioning folding tails over recent years).
I agree there is reason to be skeptical that a few non-official sources are claiming re folding/moving tails. Who's arguing that?
If they don't go for moving tails, it's possible this is one or sole reason.
If they
do go with moving tails, it's quite possible that it was the best design given unknown tasks and capabilities the aircraft is required to achieve.
I wouldn't speculate on which is the null hypothesis because credibility and bias is going both ways. Those hints often do get a fair bit right. Particularly when it's about something relatively "unique". As in they don't make up outrageous stuff and provide depth of detail unless they know something or it's an intentionally placed red herring.
My whole point is that moving tails =/= inferior design and incapable FC. It
could be the case but that's not evidence for it! That's an important piece of logic I feel needed to be pointed out as this thread is beginning to talk about folding tails as if it were either an overall compromise or indicative of inability to handle a flying wing bomber FC which I suspect is not the case considering how flying wing FC design has been done by China for about a decade if not longer and the differences in aircraft (although major) represent smaller engineering problems in balance and mechanical stability. Even then, huge differences to what's already been done can be resolved just with FC.