That's it then, everything is hopeless for China's semiconductor sector.
US DARPA is hijacking 5G ORAN agenda to steer both the hardware and software direction towards US-led open source eco system while excluding all chinese players from joining.
Then here we have chinese capacity to develop chips being deal a blow after being isolated from any US related chain. Worst that the ban also include military application usage.
Something I'm not understanding is if China can move so quickly on the COVID thing once it identified the true nature of the threat, including building hospitals in just a few days, and making the high level judgement call of shutting down entire 60 million population center and quarantine whole nation for two months at the huge cost of economy to stop the virus in its tracks etc why is it that even now, after its clear the US intent to kill Huawei and to slaughter Chinese tech rise ascension (MIC 2025) etc that China hasn't made the massive reactions that any reasonable mind would have expected it to?
Something isn't adding up.....
One person on this thread stated they had some friends working in Huawei and that the notion was Huawei expected this recently move and they are 'calm' and not in panic etc... Yet even this thread itself was started by Tidalwave more than a year ago, in fact he started it month/weeks before the initial US putting Huawei on entity list back in May 15 2019...
Tidalwave had made his position and analysis known from the beginning and his position had always been very consistent. This is public forum, which is indexed by the likes of Google, Baidu, and probably read by analysts in the CIA, and those of the Chinese intelligence side. Whilst what Tidalwave predicted mostly have all come to pass, nothing he revealed was top secret or classified information and his analysis could have been predicted by anyone in the semiconductor industry, so while he was proven to have been right in his predictions, it wasn't like no one else in the industry could have foreseen this coming either...
So this leads me to think maybe China (the government itself) is intentionally standing down (or at the very least not getting actively involved in interventions etc) to play the patient "long game" gambit? What I mean is a lot of the pushback from the US/West is due to the perceived rapid rise and ambition of China. Maybe in some high level political way China wants to make certain concessions to slow down its own tech overtake of the West in order not to trigger an even greater backslash but cannot do it officially or out in the open and the only way is for the West to apply more pressure on China whilst at a national level China doesn't retaliate at all and in fact hardly makes an effort of fighting back on these tech caps by ushering in its own Apollo program of Chip making....
No other explanation makes sense... its almost as if Xi made a backroom deal with Trump on this and then publicly they are playing it out as theater.. This would be the only way for China to compromise without publicly losing face and risking growing resentment back in the motherland for being weak or giving in to the West/US.
During the Obama years they phrased this "managed decline of America", and yet this could be a form of China's recalibration of reduced acceleration... Maybe during secret negotiations this is what was agreed upon. That China give up or slow down its tech ambitions in exchange US agrees to kick the can down the road of some other areas or US threats direct invasion of China if Xi said no etc.
Perhaps the Chinese government views giving the US this leverage (which CHina still being dependant on US chips for the time being) might starve off an even steeper decline in relationships that would otherwise bring about full on decoupling... someone here saidthis fight is not about Huawei but about China itself... in the grand scheme of things maybe China is taking the big picture view and seeing more than just Huawei/5G and the wider aspects of geopolitics that if China removes the last remaining hooks that the West still has over China then it gives them even less incentive to maintain what ties are left and could bring about a war that CHina military might not be ready yet.