Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

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Biscuits

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ChongqingHotPot92 said:
Any chances the J-16Ds could be blinded as they tried to get closer to Pelosi's aircraft? It is one thing to view the transponder on the open Internet. It is another thing to relay the timely information on the open web to PLA forces operating on the frontline, which are likely only connected to the PLA's internal networks to minimize hacking by adversaries on the open net. Or...if the 055s and J-16D have separate onboard PCs that are connected to the open web to track Pelosi's plane?
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What do you not understand by the fact that there were no J16Ds flying at Pelosi's plane???

US sounding more and more like jai hinds now claiming they blinded planes that weren't even there. Pure pipe dream, the claim is almost too dumb to merit a response.
 
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Canton_pop

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ChongqingHotPot92 said:
Any chances the J-16Ds could be blinded as they tried to get closer to Pelosi's aircraft? It is one thing to view the transponder on the open Internet. It is another thing to relay the timely information on the open web to PLA forces operating on the frontline, which are likely only connected to the PLA's internal networks to minimize hacking by adversaries on the open net. Or...if the 055s and J-16D have separate onboard PCs that are connected to the open web to track Pelosi's plane?
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US created a trap of Golden window for China to retake Taiwan by force :

1. Pelosi's visit ( served as catalyst)
2. Biden's recurring Covid infection (pull factor- perceived as US weakened position)
3. Grounded of all F35 (pull factor -perceived as US weakened position)
4. Confirmation of Taiwan joining Chip 4 ( a push factor)
5. Reagan battle group sailing away from Taiwan ( pull factor- perceived as US shy away from confrontation)

China is too smart to take the bait as Xi knows Biden on its wits' end to turn most nations to support its course. With so many foreign relationship gaffe by Biden and teams, US has no choice but to do the unthinkable -to push China to start a war with Taiwan by creating the Golden window for China to take the bait and once China took the bait, US is able to force the countries US had hard time convincing to switch sides - India, Saudi, UAE, Brazil, Singapore and most SEA, African , Latin and Middle east countries. It will starts with sanctioning this will derails China to be economic no. 1 power by end of this decade. Even with start of WW3, the war mongers in Washington are confidents that they will be able to reset the world order to US favors one more time
 
horse

horse

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9dashline said:
Biden could have put a stop to this but didnt, and so at first I just assumed the reason must have been US was going full scale war immediately no matter what.... turns out there was no 5D Chess?!?
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Pelosi's visit was the US version of gray-warfare.

China's letting her through, then tightening the screws around Taiwan, changing the status quo forever, with virtually no international fallout (because Pelosi's visit was seen as more provocative), that was the Chinese version of gray-warfare.

That is why the Americans abruptly shut up.

Losing credibility, they shut up, because they want no one to notice.
 
Temstar

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My god they're still discussing about the possibility of ABM defense against DF missiles over there in ROC.

You might have heard that recent days a regular TV talking heard called Yu Beichen is being ridiculed by everyone on both side of the strait for saying on air "one of our interceptor have 70% chance of intercepting a ballistic missile, therefore three interceptor will have 210% change of successful interception". Well today he came out and said you guys don't understand, I said those things as cognitive warfare against the PRC. Or if we put it in internet terms "joke's on your I was only pretending to be retarded".

I should remind everyone that Yu Beichen is retired ROCA major general.
 
ZeEa5KPul

ZeEa5KPul

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Temstar said:
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My god they're still discussing about the possibility of ABM defense against DF missiles over there in ROC.

You might have heard that recent days a regular TV talking heard called Yu Beichen is being ridiculed by everyone on both side of the strait for saying on air "one of our interceptor have 70% chance of intercepting a ballistic missile, therefore three interceptor will have 210% change of successful interception". Well today he came out and said you guys don't understand, I said those things as cognitive warfare against the PRC. Or if we put it in internet terms "joke's on your I was only pretending to be retarded".

I should remind everyone that Yu Beichen is retired ROCA major general.
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As a mathematical public service, I'm going to give the formula for calculating these probabilities. If each interceptor has a chance of success p and each interception is independent of the others, then for n interceptors the probability that at least one succeeds is

1 - (1 - p)^n

So, in the above example of three interceptors each with a 70% chance of success, the total chance is 97.3%. While mathematically correct, this is nonsense because no wanwanese interceptor has a 70% chance and there's no way in Hell they'll be able to get three shots off before being blown to smithereens.
 
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zhangjim

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Temstar said:
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My god they're still discussing about the possibility of ABM defense against DF missiles over there in ROC.

You might have heard that recent days a regular TV talking heard called Yu Beichen is being ridiculed by everyone on both side of the strait for saying on air "one of our interceptor have 70% chance of intercepting a ballistic missile, therefore three interceptor will have 210% change of successful interception". Well today he came out and said you guys don't understand, I said those things as cognitive warfare against the PRC. Or if we put it in internet terms "joke's on your I was only pretending to be retarded".

I should remind everyone that Yu Beichen is retired ROCA major general.
Click to expand...
The DPP has promoted a large number of generals to control the army, so you can see how these generals are not worthy of their names
 
A

ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
horse said:
Pelosi's visit was the US version of gray-warfare.

China's letting her through, then tightening the screws around Taiwan, changing the status quo forever, with virtually no international fallout (because Pelosi's visit was seen as more provocative), that was the Chinese version of gray-warfare.

That is why the Americans abruptly shut up.

Losing credibility, they shut up, because they want no one to notice.
Click to expand...
bro perfect!!! and may I add, a perfect alibi to decouple especially divesting its investment in the US and T-Bonds in a way that will not shock the market.
 
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ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
Canton_pop said:
US created a trap of Golden window for China to retake Taiwan by force :

1. Pelosi's visit ( served as catalyst)
2. Biden's recurring Covid infection (pull factor- perceived as US weakened position)
3. Grounded of all F35 (pull factor -perceived as US weakened position)
4. Confirmation of Taiwan joining Chip 4 ( a push factor)
5. Reagan battle group sailing away from Taiwan ( pull factor- perceived as US shy away from confrontation)

China is too smart to take the bait as Xi knows Biden on its wits' end to turn most nations to support its course. With so many foreign relationship gaffe by Biden and teams, US has no choice but to do the unthinkable -to push China to start a war with Taiwan by creating the Golden window for China to take the bait and once China took the bait, US is able to force the countries US had hard time convincing to switch sides - India, Saudi, UAE, Brazil, Singapore and most SEA, African , Latin and Middle east countries. It will starts with sanctioning this will derails China to be economic no. 1 power by end of this decade. Even with start of WW3, the war mongers in Washington are confidents that they will be able to reset the world order to US favors one more time
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Bro there are other way to inflict pain, the most effective are the one they least expected.
 
Bellum_Romanum

Bellum_Romanum

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Temstar said:
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My god they're still discussing about the possibility of ABM defense against DF missiles over there in ROC.

You might have heard that recent days a regular TV talking heard called Yu Beichen is being ridiculed by everyone on both side of the strait for saying on air "one of our interceptor have 70% chance of intercepting a ballistic missile, therefore three interceptor will have 210% change of successful interception". Well today he came out and said you guys don't understand, I said those things as cognitive warfare against the PRC. Or if we put it in internet terms "joke's on your I was only pretending to be retarded".

I should remind everyone that Yu Beichen is retired ROCA major general.
Click to expand...
Temstar said:
70% chance of intercepting a ballistic missile, therefore three interceptor will have 210% change of successful interception
Click to expand...
WTH?? So the dude came up with that hillarious calculation by essentially adding/multiplying 70×3/70+70+70 = 210 while the arithmetic us correct, I do not think this is how any defense expert a missile interceptor capability..What the f has this dude been smoking? I thought Chinese in general are good in math, what happened to that Chinese dude in Taiwan? Has he been inhaling too much freedom?
 
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