Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

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Temstar

Brigadier
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Wouldn’t they be able to resupply the island from the east?
plan ships on the east would be exposed to the threat of us submarine force
Any particular reason why dock facility on the east side (the few that exist) would not be subject to PLARF fire to take them out of the equation?

How would you unload all those supply ships then? By hand?
 

reservior dogs

Junior Member
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I'm pretty sure the bill came out long before the Chinese exercises so the bill is not about "saving face" it's about policy. Since international law doesn't support interference in Chinese internal affairs, the US passes local laws to legitimise it's otherwise illegitimate actions. The US always does that for example that's what they did with Meng Wangzhou, by international standards they basically abducted her yet they would defend what they did to her by passing local laws and saying "hey we are just following the law, why are those Chinese against following the law".


Defend Taiwan? You are talking as if I was saying the US will declare war on China. and any way in case of a war they won't station ships in Taiwan, I specifically said the US has no intention of waging war on China. Officially the US already has a small number of soldiers in Taiwan, unofficially the number is probably higher. To de-fang China doesn't mean the US will launch a preemptive strike on the mainland from Taiwan, it just means to have a certain military advantage over China to make it less bold in it's foreign policy.
Taiwan is just a pawn, the US will never go to war with China over Taiwan no matter what, well unless if the US is ruled by an absolute hawkish right winger in which case yeah may be they would defend Taiwan who knows.

In regards to "public outcry", the only outcry in the US is the outcry that is hostile to China, most Americans actually want to go to war with China.

"When asked about a range of potential scenarios, just over half of Americans (52%) favor using US troops to defend if China were to invade the island."
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I thought we were discussing what impact this bill will have. IMO, it has very little substance.
 

SunlitZelkova

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I don't recommend expecting too much from JCP.
There are many reasons. Let me list them briefly:
1、At present, the Japanese are convinced that they are on the "right side". Francis Fukuyama's attitude of regarding the western system as a religion has a lot to do with his Japanese ancestry.Even when we read those entertainment novels, we can often see that Japanese writers sometimes flaunt their country's "democracy".When communism is severely slandered, it is difficult to change people's minds under the omnipresent propaganda.Unfortunately, they always feel that they live in an ideal Utopia and feel that there is nothing to change.
2、The political enthusiasm of the people is not as high as expected, and the apathy of the Japanese is beyond imagination. In the last century, there were too many factional contradictions within the JCP, and the radical youth groups were easily driven by self moving emotions, which made the opportunity to gain influence wasted by a series of mistakes
3、The United States has very tight control. Some people satirize that the current situation in Japan is nothing more than the shogunate regime ruled by the United States.Since the United States has military base in the capital of Japan, it can allow the United States to take over the leadership of Japan by force at the first time.
4、JCP and the CPC already have great political differences,the two sides may not have the intention to cooperate.In order to cater to the voters, this party, which has been seriously marginalized in Japan, has become consistent with the LDP in many aspects.Now, the JCP is also criticizing China's "expansionism".

The JCP is just controlled opposition and has been completely gutted out by the intelligence services, pretty much like CPUSA.

And as such, they have antichina positions

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True. I must admit I am being optimistic (hoping) that the JCP will "grow a set" once the supermarkets are empty, cash is being used as toilet paper, crops are failing en mass, thousands lay dead in the streets, and so on- all the while China remains somewhat stable. But the signs do indeed point against such an outcome.

Political complacency is really only an issue because Japan is rather "cushy" at the moment. If you look at the Russian Empire, the communists didn't have a chance in the 1800s because the internal situation was relatively stable. But then World War I gutted the Russian economy, and in combination with mishandling on the part of the Tsardom and then the provisional government, the Bolsheviks took power with the support of much of the people. The RSDLP, too, faced much infiltration and weakness, but when the conditions of the country became unbearable the Bolsheviks split and took action.
 

name

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See those four letters on the right?

I need to zoom in...

47f6e25c98e34090888804023a69e36a.jpeg


Yes. I see it now.
 
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