Discussing Biden's Potential China Policy

KYli said:

Asking China to stand with the US on Ukraine crisis but putting in place a complete new containment strategy against China at the same time. Mental gymnastic at its finest.

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“Washington has basically completed forming consensus on what people think about China across political parties, think tanks, within the government and the public,” Fan told a seminar organised by the American Institute at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, an official think tank.
“The only group that is still not entirely aligned are the business interest groups … but they are now largely a silent group.”

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Ugh, in a capitalist society like US... business interest groups is really really important. Wall Street, Big Corporations, and Billionaires with vested interests in Chinese trade and investment isn't going to support a Cold War 2.0 if it threatens their investments and profits. China can exploit the significant influence of the business interest groups in a divide-and-conquer technique. Afterall, the only reason why US didn't try a trade war earlier is the significant economic interdependence between the two economise.

“Many have come for visits and study … and many were part of Obama’s team and were involved in the formulation of his China policies.”

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Since the team is mostly ex-Obama cabinet members, we can expect a continuation of 'Pivot to Asia' strategy and economic strategies like the failed-TPP and 'gathering the allies' from Obama era, just with tariffs as a negotiation leverage tool. They won't restart the trade war, esp. with high inflation and slow economic growth due to pandemic.

Phead128 said:

Ugh, in a capitalist society like US... business interest groups is really really important. Wall Street, Big Corporations, and Billionaires with vested interests in Chinese trade and investment isn't going to support a Cold War 2.0 if it threatens their investments and profits. China can exploit the significant influence of the business interest groups in a divide-and-conquer technique. Afterall, the only reason why US didn't try a trade war earlier is the significant economic interdependence between the two economise.

Since the team is mostly ex-Obama cabinet members, we can expect a continuation of 'Pivot to Asia' strategy and economic strategies like the failed-TPP and 'gathering the allies' from Obama era, just with tariffs as a negotiation leverage tool. They won't restart the trade war, esp. with high inflation and slow economic growth due to pandemic.

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What you said above made a lot of sense a decade ago...

Food shortages in Europe:
I can't imagine how bad it'll be when the Russians decide to cut the gas off.

weig2000 said:

What you said above made a lot of sense a decade ago...

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Looks like the US business interest groups has successfully lobbied for tariff reductions after months of pressure campaign on Biden admin. I expect more post-November midterms after democrats get whipped and have more political autonomy.

Rumor has it that Nancy Pelosi will visit Taiwan on the 10th.

Phead128 said:

Looks like the US business interest groups has successfully lobbied for tariff reductions after months of pressure campaign on Biden admin. I expect more post-November midterms after democrats get whipped and have more political autonomy.

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Each one of those should be replaced with an export tariff.

siegecrossbow said:

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Right now is a good time for china to continue tech transfers to Iran. Hopefully, the ME powers can reverse their failed appeasement with israel and achieve greater tech and economic benefits from the Eurasian sphere. The writing is on the wall and Israel should no longer be able to enjoy its parasitic relationship with China. Time to trade a unreliable partner in Israel with a hard alliance with the GCC.

siegecrossbow said:

Rumor has it that Nancy Pelosi will visit Taiwan on the 10th.

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Thoughts on how China should respond?

chlosy said:

Thoughts on how China should respond?

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My 2 cents are to raise export tariff against the US, jack up the inflation to mess with the Dems' mid term.
Military wise just send jets circling the island or sth. No need for anything too crazy however.
Since it's obvious that the old hag is looking to score cheap political points, and a few others pushing this could be looking to provoke China into attacking so they can pile on the financial sanction with the braindead Europeans just like they did Russia.
Now is simply not the best time for China to take back Taiwan.

chlosy said:

Thoughts on how China should respond?

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Maybe not realistic, but it would be satisfying to send fighters to intercept her plane by overflying Taiwan island itself and escorting it to a Chinese airport under threat of shoot down. Two birds, one stone.

But it feels like this may be a trap by the US to try to create a crisis and a pretext to confiscate any and all foreign reserves Chinese banks and companies may have in accounts they can still freeze.

They blew their load prematurely against Russia and now realise China is working around the clock to develop countermeasures against the Financial doomsday weapons they lobbed against Russia. So they may wish to provoke a crisis to create a pretext to use those same weapons against China before Chinese countermeasures make them useless.