Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

PiSigma

"the engineer"
I think the better question is, why the hell are schools still open?

Symptoms are irrelevant. We *know* that Covid-19 is infectious days before the first symptoms appear. Schools should not be open, period!
Glorified daycares so the parents can work. That's why the parents should be fired... Now they get plenty of time to take care of their kid.
 

B.I.B.

Captain
Just got my second shot (Moderna). So far, I feel fine. Most of my colleagues who have gotten their second shots develop fever and chill overnight and are able to recover within 24-48 hours. Let's see how I do. Fingers crossed...
That's good to hear.
You might remember the story of the woman who got released from quarantine only to come down with the highly contagious South African covid strain after mixing very closely with her friends and the wider community. It happened again with an Asian person and his child a couple of days later. We are getting close to the three week timespan and there has still been no community outbreak.... touchwood.

Meanwhile, news of the UK strain mutating again has to be worrying

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 
Last edited:

vesicles

Colonel
That's good to hear.
You might remember the story of the woman who got released from quarantine only to come down with the highly contagious South African covid strain after mixing very closely with her friends and the wider community. It happened again with an Asian person and his child a couple of days later. We are getting close to the three week timespan and there has still been no community outbreak.... touchwood.

Meanwhile, news of the UK strain mutating again has to be worrying

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Yes, the mutations are very annoying indeed. This is, however, expected. The nasty part of coronaviruses is that they mutate so fast. We've known this all along since we found out about this little bug last year this time.

As I've mentioned before, we still don't know how much these existing vaccines can improve the symptoms of those who still get infected. We now only focus on total protection. We are asking the vaccines to do the impossible. Vaccines do two things: total protection and improving symptoms of those still getting infected. As in the case of flu vaccines, we have always been told that, with the vaccines, our symptoms will be much milder and we can recover sooner. The same should also be true with COVID vaccines. The improving part with Pfizer and Moderna vaccines is still less clear. So far, other vaccines, such as the Chinese vaccines, show very effective improving ability. Thus, even these vaccines show less efficacy against newer strains, such as the South African strain, I am still hopeful that the vaccines can still be very effective in helping turn the infection into something milder.

Even after the second shot, it will take about 14 days for our immune system to fully kick in. I will spend the next two weeks like I've never gotten any shot at all. After that? I won't change anything, since my wife hasn't gotten her shots yet. Although preliminary data suggest that people with the vaccines won't transmit the virus, we haven't seen the complete data. I don't want to risk getting my wife infected. So I will maintain my current protocols, washing my hands, wearing masks, disinfecting everything coming into my house, etc. We will relax after she gets her two shots. Since she is considered as general public, I have no clue when it will be her turn... I asked my hospital if they want to consider inoculating family members. They politely said no way...
 

vesicles

Colonel
Actually that statistic is even more misleading when you consider the context.

Taking the last two week infected total of 86,617, halving it to get one week, and dividing by Israel’s popularise of 9m gives a weekly infection rate of 0.24%, so the vaccine is only about 83% effective at reducing the population wide infection rate, which is basically the ballpark it’s proving to be out in the wild.

But even that figure is probably massively inflated due to the fact that not all 9 million of Israel’s inhabitants would have been exposed to the virus.

To suggest that the vaccine is 83% effective at preventing Covid based on the above calculations would be like calculating car crash safety survival rates based on total number of cars in the country instead of the total number of car crashes.
I don't think it's yet time to use the whole population for any kind of comparison since only about 1/3 of the population has been vaccinated (not sure if it's one-shot, two-shot, or both). You also need both shots to achieve any meaningful protection. So the population that actually is protected (>14 days post second shot) is still a small percentage of the whole population. This means that it is unlikely that we will see any meaningful change in infection rate. This, I think, is why we are seeing this fluctuation of infection rates in Israel.
 
Top