Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

antiterror13

Brigadier
now no body will believe it, but later in the evening yesterday I was thinking to post there could be more than 50k American deaths tomorrow in the morning (it was around 49k at that time), but I didn't post because my guess had been around 49800, wrong:
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Last updated: April 24, 2020, 05:44 GMT

so I add what I was thinking earlier this week which was there would be 100k+ (more than one-hundred thousand) Americans killed by COVID-19 in 2020 according to me
Death in the USA due to flu was 61,000 in 2017-18
 

Quickie

Colonel
If the paper is indeed correct, then China should have 332K confirmed cases instead of 83K cases.

But since those extra 249K cases are milder form of infection that never developed into more serious health problem and become part of the 83K, then there is little or no fatality from them.

Does that mean that China's Covid-19 fatality rate should now be 1.4% instead of 5.6% ? Do note that 5.6% includes those "probable deaths" added last week.
It's a best guess IMO. Most countries other than SK didn't do that much testing and contact tracing due to overwhelmed systems. If you look at the news from NY where 3 M got it apparently, then NY also got a pretty low death rate.


It's the same for most of the countries around the world. For every case that got detected, there are a few other cases that go undiagnosed.

Take the case of the U.S. 50,243 deaths (for today) point to 2.5 million already got infected with the virus (with a death rate of around 2 percent.) That is about 3 times the official number of confirmed cases.

Hubei province is a special case for the reason that it got hit by an unknown virus out of the blue, it simply didn't have the tools and facilities to do the tests at the beginning of the outbreak.

To be fair the institution should do the same research on the U.S., U.K., Italy, etc and not just concentrate on China.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
At what level do people pull the president off the stage and just declare him mentally unfit? Is there such a threshold or could he just get nude on stage, dance the macarena while reciting lines from Dumb and Dumber and everyone would just have to accept that that's the POTUS?

And yes, Donald Trump's scientific recommendations that you are about to read below are indeed easily stupider than anything anyone managed to come up with for Dumb and Dumber, so brace yourself.
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“I’m The President, And You’re Fake News”: Donald Trump Lashes Out As He Calls For Testing Injections Of UV Rays, Disinfectants To Kill Coronavirus

Supposing we hit the body with a tremendous ultra violet or just very powerful light,” he said, looking toward Bryan and Dr. Deborah Birx, a member of the White House coronavirus task force. “And I think you said that hasn’t been checked but you are going to test it.”

He added, “And then I said supposing you brought the light inside the body, which you could do either through the skin or in some other way. I think you said that you are going to test that, too. And then I saw the disinfectant, where knocks it out in one minute, and is there a way we could do something like that by injection inside or almost a cleaning. As you see it gets in the lungs, it does a tremendous number on the lungs, so it would be interesting to check that.”

Bryan later said that using disinfectant to clean the lungs is not possible. “Maybe it works, maybe it doesn’t work,” Trump then said.

Trump responded, “Hey Phil. I’m the president, and you’re fake news. And know what I will say to you? I will say it to you very nicely because I know you well. I know the guy, I see what he writes. He is a total faker.

He then said that it was merely an idea to test. “Are you ready? It is just a suggestion, from a brilliant lab by a very, very smart, perhaps brilliant man,” Trump said. “[Bryan] is talking about sun. He’s talking about heat, and you see the numbers. I’m just here to present talent. I am here to present ideas, because we want ideas to get rid of this thing. So if heat is good, if sunlight is good, that is a great thing as far as I am concerned.
 

Intrepid

Major
“Supposing we hit the body with a tremendous ultra violet or just very powerful light,” he said, looking toward Bryan and Dr. Deborah Birx, a member of the White House coronavirus task force. “And I think you said that hasn’t been checked but you are going to test it.”

He added, “And then I said supposing you brought the light inside the body, which you could do either through the skin or in some other way. I think you said that you are going to test that, too. And then I saw the disinfectant, where knocks it out in one minute, and is there a way we could do something like that by injection inside or almost a cleaning. As you see it gets in the lungs, it does a tremendous number on the lungs, so it would be interesting to check that.”

Bryan later said that using disinfectant to clean the lungs is not possible. “Maybe it works, maybe it doesn’t work,” Trump then said.

Trump responded, “Hey Phil. I’m the president, and you’re fake news. And know what I will say to you? I will say it to you very nicely because I know you well. I know the guy, I see what he writes. He is a total faker.

He then said that it was merely an idea to test. “Are you ready? It is just a suggestion, from a brilliant lab by a very, very smart, perhaps brilliant man,” Trump said. “[Bryan] is talking about sun. He’s talking about heat, and you see the numbers. I’m just here to present talent. I am here to present ideas, because we want ideas to get rid of this thing. So if heat is good, if sunlight is good, that is a great thing as far as I am concerned.”
It's satire, isn't it?
 
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