Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

OppositeDay

Senior Member
Registered Member
In the rest of China (outside of Hubei) - it's over.

Inside Hubei, they probably need a few more weeks.
And they'll still have restrictions inside Hubei for a few weeks afterwards

Unfortunately no. About a week ago some idiot from Zhengzhou (where Foxconn's vast factories are) flew to Italy via a third country to watch football and returned to China via the same third country just before the lockdown in Northern Italy. He withheld information about his stay in Italy from the authorities and then took high speed rail and Zhengzhou metro. The city tracked him down after he paid a visit to the pharmacy. He tested positive. The entire city is now in panic.

The idiot is now under criminal investigation.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
Unfortunately no. About a week ago some idiot from Zhengzhou (where Foxconn's vast factories are) flew to Italy via a third country to watch football and returned to China via the same third country just before the lockdown in Northern Italy. He withheld information about his stay in Italy from the authorities and then took high speed rail and Zhengzhou metro. The city tracked him down after he paid a visit to the pharmacy. He tested positive. The entire city is now in panic.

The idiot is now under criminal investigation.

You have to expect some idiots slipping through.

But as South Korea demonstrates, it should still be containable, even without a total lockdown.
We'll have a better idea in 2weeks time.

So China should be able to use the same approach.
 

OppositeDay

Senior Member
Registered Member
Random political dig aside (by the magazine interviewer mind you), the doctor mentioned ECMO machine in treatment of critical patients. This is not the first time it has come up in this thread. Reading other sources, this is an extremely rare and expensive machine, not even available in many hospitals in developed countries.

It seems like certain kinds of medical care and attention can greatly affect outcome even without an effective drug. Wuhan's initial heavy toll seems to stem from initial shortages of gear, overcrowded hospitals, and overworked staff. We can see the repeat situation occurring in Italy (caught unprepared) and Iran (totally short of gear due to sanctions). Meanwhile South Korea and Singapore which have had a large number of cases, but not too many deaths.

As I am in Canada, we are hearing a lot from Dr. Bruce Aylward who was the head of the WHO fact finding mission to China. He was very impressed with the handling of the situation and has stayed out of the politics as far as I have seen.

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I think one problem with the current handling of the situation in many countries is treating as a political issue. A lot of media/countries were pointing to the infection and death of Dr. Li as a weakness of the PRC and "proof" of covering up. By creating this miasma around the situation, they gave many people a false sense of security ("I don't have to worry as long as I avoid China", "Every other country would have let doctors solve the problem"). Honestly, how many garbage articles were written about eating bats/mice/pangolins/whatever in the first few weeks of the outbreak?


Yes, I remember when Dr. Li passed away, the news mentioned he had been put on ECMO in his last hours, and someone on Twitter was like 'What? they are using ECMO?". I felt that's the time when that person finally started to take COVID-19 seriously.

I don't know if any Western media has a China-based science reporter, despite China being the no.2 scientific power. So it's not surprising they all treat COVID-19 as a political or economic matter - that's the only thing their journalists knew how to report.

A couple weeks ago I begun to notice that I had never seen a Western journalist asking questions during the daily briefings of the National Health Commission. All of them were instead asking political questions at the Foreign Ministry briefings. I was like 'seriously? do they know this is potentially an pandemic and their readers at home may actually benefit from knowing about, you know, how the control/treatment efforts are going?'. I hope after all this is said and done some of those journalists would reflect on their misguided reporting priorities during the outbreak. But I guess they will just find a way to blame China for their mistakes.

All China-based journalists must know that they are supposed to serve the interests of their readers, not to serve the interests of Chinese dissidents.
 

vesicles

Colonel
Question:

Are there any studies which can quantify surface transmission of a coronavirus? Eg. Doorknobs, smartphones etc

And also, anything on the amount of UV light exposure required to kill a coronavirus at room temperature?

I believe most of the studies simply show that they can find live virus on those surfaces.

I would imagine a more careful study would involve smearing a known amount of a virus on a surface and measure how many virus can stay alive as a function of time, temperature, humidity, UV intensity, etc. I’m almost certain these studies exist. Since I’m not in the field of virology or microbiology, I haven’t personally read any of these studies.

Another key link would be, even if you find live virus on a surface, is it still enough to cause any harm to human? For any virus to be effective, their numbers are important. I’m sure people have done studies on other viruses before. How much of that can be applied to the COVID-19 is unknown.
 

OppositeDay

Senior Member
Registered Member
Oh well my university just announced the cancellation of all in-person classes. I have been following COVID-19 since mid-January. By mid-February I had realized we would have to switch to distant learning before the end of the current semester. Yet I still haven't made any preparation for online teaching. I guess I'm just very human, like most world leaders.
 

localizer

Colonel
Registered Member


You also get these idiots like this. Goes to egypt for no good reason.

Only the CCP through punishment can deal with the arrogant and ignorant.
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
ABSOLUTE bombshell from Freeze Point (China Youth Daily's renowned investigative journalism arm):

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Remember in earlier posts I mentioned in early to mid January hospitals in Wuhan hadn't been reporting new suspected cases of COVID19 to the Chinese CDC using the national infectious diseases direct reporting platform. Earlier it was suspected that a software problem might have prevented the doctors from reporting, but according to Freeze Point's new report, the Hubei provincial health commission, Wuhan municipal health commission, and city districts' health commissions together conspired to stop doctors from reporting new suspected cases to the Chinese CDC.

Time for the heads to start rolling.
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Unfortunately no. About a week ago some idiot from Zhengzhou (where Foxconn's vast factories are) flew to Italy via a third country to watch football and returned to China via the same third country just before the lockdown in Northern Italy. He withheld information about his stay in Italy from the authorities and then took high speed rail and Zhengzhou metro. The city tracked him down after he paid a visit to the pharmacy. He tested positive. The entire city is now in panic.

The idiot is now under criminal investigation.

They should use the death penalty if anyone dies because of him.
 
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