Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)
- Thread starter localizer
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It seems like symptomatic cases are decreasing while asymptomatic cases are increasing. Perhaps more proof that the vaccine worked?
Vaccines work, early detection, intervention, and treatment, and Shanghai's abnormal asymptomatic cases. For Shanghai, it is more a political thing. It wants to prove that its precision approach works well and doesn't need to lock down. However, it does look like Shanghai is losing the battle. Shenzhen 7 days lock down approach seems work better.
I think it's too early to call it losing for trying a different approach.
Let's see if Shanghai can contain the spread without pushing its hospitals over the limit. The local health authority must be closely watching the number of hospitalized cases. It will be a good lesson for other tier 1 and tier 2 cities.
There is another politcal reason. During a press briefing on March 26, a member of the city's pandemic special task force explained why Shanghai is taking this approach.
"Shanghai cannot lock down for a week or 3 or 5 days. Keeping Shanghai open is critical for the nation's economic development. Lockdown would even have global impact."
Quickie
Colonel
"...Let's see if Shanghai can contain the spread without pushing its hospitals over the limit. The local health authority must be closely watching the number of hospitalized cases. ... "
That sounds ominously like following the lead of the Western countries.
I agree with Kyli at the moment a certain amount of lockdown is still advisable like the case with Shenzhen.
Imo, China should only loosen restrictions further when at least 90% of the population is fully vaccinated and boosted.
I'm giving up trying to get some of my older relatives in Beijing to get vaccinated. Some thinks their blood pressure is too high for vaccination. Another wants to wait until summer because apparently vaccines are too much Yin energy for spring.
I'm now convinced that people who are still unvaccinated will not voluntarily take their jabs unless 1) they're forced to or 2) people in their WeChat groups start to die from Covid-19.
I'm now convinced that people who are still unvaccinated will not voluntarily take their jabs unless 1) they're forced to or 2) people in their WeChat groups start to die from Covid-19.
I can agree with that, in the past China has stuck with one strategy, without testing to see if there's another alternative that is less costly and more beneficial. Having multiple provinces each trying out different strategies gives them a wealth of testing data and references to further hone their response to adapt to a post-lockdown world.
I'd like to emphasize "post-lockdown" word, because I don't think we'll see this disease going away any time soon, and it may comeback with a more immune escape and severe variant. So its better not only for China, but other countries as well to shift from prevention of transmission, to slowing transmission and responsive treatment.
Besides, if one of the provinces failed, they could always do what they did with Wuhan. I'm not sure why some people believe that when cases reaches a certain point a lockdown wouldn't be possible, sure it may be more costly, but China has the resources and the political will to carry such a task.
