They are probably having dealing with that issue since 2022-2023. They have been localizing their processes and getting non-US tools.How will it affect SMIC when all licenses are cancelled?
They are probably having dealing with that issue since 2022-2023. They have been localizing their processes and getting non-US tools.How will it affect SMIC when all licenses are cancelled?
It is more complicated than that. EUV semi tools and EDA capable of GAA transistor design are banned from China altogether.since October, 2022. every single high end machine/EDA have been blocked include repair/maintenance. SMIC is in entity list since 2019 for EUV and remaining machine have been blocked since 2022..
Huawei has been completely cut off from USA/EU tech since 2019.
the only option US has, to bomb SMIC/Huawei factories.
Although Trump was presented as not deep stater, he has some similar policies...Then it's Trade War 2, and tariffs and sanctions are on the table for everything with respect to the US.
Biren, which Washington placed on a trade blacklist last year, has conducted a “deep” collaboration in LLM development and reasoning with Infinigence AI, boosting the training capacity of its graphics processing units (GPUs) by nearly 100 per cent, the chipmaker said in a statement on Tuesday.
Infinigence offers on-demand compute based on chips from brands including Nvidia, AMD, Huawei Technologies, Cambricon, Iluvatar Corex, and Moore Threads via its cloud platform Infini AI, which it unveiled in April.
The platform integrates 10 different chips, and has been used by leading Chinese AI start-ups Zhipu AI and MiniMax to develop models and applications. Infinigence added Biren’s GPU cluster to Infini AI on Tuesday, along with the associated software development tools, Biren said.
Infinigence’s offerings still include compute resources using banned Nvidia GPUs – such as the RTX 4090, A800 and A100 – along with other customisable solutions. The hourly rate for renting an RTX 4090 is 2.09 yuan per hour, while rates for the A800 and A100 are 8.72 yuan and 4.81 yuan per hour, respectively, according to its website.
I’m worried about the rest of China. There’s a serious chance the US under Trump goes full throttle and just sanctions everything which would kill half of china’s tech exports like Lenovo and Xiaomi.
Another option that the US could employ is cutting them from banking and dollar sanctions. They considered it in 2020 but decided against it. Financial sanctions could cripple HUAWEI globally more than they already are too.
Lenovo is an US/China company, while Xiaomi does not export in US.
Moreover Tesla makes big money in China, and big production too....and Elon Musk is a very good friend now. Elon will never push for strong anti-china policy for obvious reasons.
This would only mean faster de-dollarization, it would be extremely short-sighted even for Trump...
Trump is a businessman, is not moved by ideology but by $$
His idea is to place big tariffs on China exports, that is actually a tax on US consumers, but hidden and sold as national security driven. His idea is to milk China exports, not to dry them out: no more China exports, no more $$
And regarding tech war, I can't help but remember that the only sensible ban was placed by Trump: the EUV machine, that, in 2018, it was actually a 10 years gap ban. All the other stupid bans where put under Biden just because Biden administration is not business oriented but ideologically driven.
Attack on Huawei was honestly a big mistake though: it didn't succeed and actually forced HW to develop into new high-tech fields, like the Hydra mythological creature that for every head chopped off, it would regrow two new heads.
Sales up 34% YoY. Nothing short of amazing.SMIC reported Q3 earnings and it's pretty good. Up a lot vs Q2 and YoY