Chinese semiconductor thread II

ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
It's hard to imagine that EUV will come out within this decade while SMEE has been struggling with DUVi for years without much result. I read in 2020 that their 28nm DUVi machine was going into mass production next year. Rinse and repeat for the last 3 years without any real result. If making DUV machine is so hard, I can't imagine how long China has to wait before mass production of EUV comes online.
SMEE had produced at least 8 to 12 prototype machine in 2021 and was tested intensely and verify for the whole of 2022 as major component makers like U-Precision expand by building new factory. At the same time new breakthrough were achieved with new iteration able to match ASML NXT 2000i (the original SSA800 is bench mark against NXT 1980i) a major improvement in performance. 2023 was the year that major component providers had finished their expansion plan and we see reports posted by our esteem members that 2 improved SAA 800 was produced late last year. From that report we may surmise that SMEE can assemble 2 units per month and may increase it to 3-4 units by midyear heralding the mass production of the Machine.
 

mrandolph

New Member
Registered Member
What is the consensus here on the yield of Huawei/SMIC 7nm? I have seen tech insights saying it is a high whereas other commentators say something else.
 

sunnymaxi

Captain
Registered Member
It's hard to imagine that EUV will come out within this decade while SMEE has been struggling with DUVi for years without much result. I read in 2020 that their 28nm DUVi machine was going into mass production next year. Rinse and repeat for the last 3 years without any real result. If making DUV machine is so hard, I can't imagine how long China has to wait before mass production of EUV comes online.
you again..

let me clear your doubts and false information.

SMEE or any other insider source never said, we will start mass production in 2020.

SMEE officially registered entire machine Patent back in 2021.. then verification and ''solve technical glitches'' took this much time. we are talking Lithography machine. SMEE become the third entity in the world after ASML/Japan to successfully conquered DUVi.. all core components are domestically produced include lens and light source.

components mass production is itself a mammoth task. it takes time..

2021-2023 time period in which SMEE solved all technical bottlenecks. successfully completed initial verification and produced some units of Lithography. last year they produced 5-10 units. in which two improved units of SSA800i delivered too.

SMEE's 28nm DUV patent officially revelead.png

one of the supplier of SMEE, U-Precision won 300 Million RMB order. if we take per unit price then 20 sets will deliver to SMEE this year.


f9dcd100baa1cd11d9c29317ff12c8fcc3ce2d95.jpg

in 2024, SMEE will producer 20 units of Lithography machines. production is gradually increasing..
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
and please clear your doubts again. almost every new member on semiconductor thread is plain wrong about EUV development.

SMEE has nothing to do with EUV
SMEE has nothing to do with EUV
SMEE has nothing to do with EUV
SMEE has nothing to do with EUV
SMEE has nothing to do with EUV

SMEE's only responsibility is DUVi. project 02. that's it.

EUV project carrying by other Chinese institutes. they are much more capable than SMEE and financially super strong. and EUV progress is much faster than DUV coz of different reasons.
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

SMIC reported results
  • 2023年第四季的销售收入为1,678.3百万美元,2023年第三季为1,620.6百万美元,2022年第四季为1,621.3百万美元。
  • 2023年第四季毛利为275.0百万美元,2023年第三季为321.6百万美元,2022年第四季为518.7百万美元。
  • 2023年第四季毛利率为16.4%,2023年第三季为19.8%,2022年第四季为32.0%。
  • 2023年未经审计的全年销售收入为6,321.6百万美元,2022年全年销售收入7,273.3百万美元。
revenue finally up vs 2022 in Q4, but margins down to 16.4%
二零二四年第一季指引
本公司预期指引为:
  • 季度收入环比持平至增长2%。
  • 毛利率介于9%至11%的范围内。
Expecting flat to 2% jump in revenue in Q1
just 9-11% margins

avg utilization of 75%
806k wpm of 8-inch capacity by end of 2023

Expecting capex in 2024 to be same as 2023

So SMIC continues to spend a lot for its size, about $7.5B last year so expecting $15B in two years
 
Last edited:

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
What is the consensus here on the yield of Huawei/SMIC 7nm? I have seen tech insights saying it is a high whereas other commentators say something else.

Are you saying you think that the yields of "7nm" processes are equal across all "7nm products" regardless of whether it's a SoC like Kirin, or a GPU like Ascend?
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
consider the following

Huawei sold 11.46m phones in Q4 in China + 2.8m tablets
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Let's just round up and say around 15m phone/tablets in Q4 globally

some of which will be using Qualcomm chips

And this number keeps rising into Q1 since Huawei is top phone seller now

I wouldn't be surprised if they require 1million Kirin chips per week or 4.5million kirin chips per month
Going up to maybe 6-7million per month by the time Mate 70 comes out

so yeah, both capacity and yield need to come up a lot and it seems like they are confident about that. Which says a lot for SMIC's advanced node production
 

tonyget

Senior Member
Registered Member
consider the following

Huawei sold 11.46m phones in Q4 in China + 2.8m tablets
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Let's just round up and say around 15m phone/tablets in Q4 globally

some of which will be using Qualcomm chips

And this number keeps rising into Q1 since Huawei is top phone seller now

I wouldn't be surprised if they require 1million Kirin chips per week or 4.5million kirin chips per month
Going up to maybe 6-7million per month by the time Mate 70 comes out

so yeah, both capacity and yield need to come up a lot and it seems like they are confident about that. Which says a lot for SMIC's advanced node production

I'd like to know how many Ascend GPU has Huawei sold last year
 
Top