Chinese semiconductor industry

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voyager1

Captain
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I already said how this wouldnt be allowed and that it would be a waste of time.

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Boris Johnson said on Wednesday that the UK government would probe the takeover of the UK’s largest silicon wafer manufacturer by a Chinese-backed company on national security grounds.
The free lunch of Chinese companies easily getting advanced tech from the West is over. Time for real R&D
 

dfrtyhgj

Junior Member
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I already said how this wouldnt be allowed and that it would be a waste of time.

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The free lunch of Chinese companies easily getting advanced tech from the West is over. Time for real R&D
This basically means China's foreign reserves are worthless, so it encourages them to switch to the Yuan for all trades.
 

voyager1

Captain
Registered Member
This basically means China's foreign reserves are worthless, so it encourages them to switch to the Yuan for all trades.
We all knew that since 2010, however China is addicted to dollars and cant get enough of them. Even with all these sanctions and the US attacking it, China loves the green buck


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Chinese banks’ stockpile of foreign-currency deposits has surpassed $1 trillion for the first time, creating an opportunity for Beijing to allow greater freedom for capital to flow out of the country.
^^lol these clowns

Even with their BRI they are still hopeless.

I hope I wont hear China whining when(not if) US confiscates Chinese dollar holdings and sanction them from using any of their dollars.

"Who could have known that our biggest enemy would sanction us from using its currency?......"

They fully deserve it
IMG_20210624_230743.jpg
 

ansy1968

Brigadier
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This "novelist" claiming that denying China user data to the US CIA/NED is an "attack" on US tech is moronic. :D
@krautmeister bro good day, need your opinion, regarding SMIC 7nm risk production since last April, "No news means good news" and the risk production is doing well? the silence is deafening. My hypothesis like everything about China is that the announcement will follow when the preparation or a contingency plan is in place.. Maybe next year when the domestic equivalent is in operation.
 

Weaasel

Senior Member
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Don't be too hard on the government. Saying that they neglected foundational technologies 20 years ago is like expecting India today to start tech independence journey.
It was still a poor, no critical engineering mass and had different priorities.

Hindsight is always 20/20 but no one could have foreseen an America blocking foreign companies working with Chinese ones because they use parts that have 10 % American content.


China went for the low hanging fruits and they reaped big. Flooding the world with cheap electronics has enabled Chinese firms to accumulate capital and experience and the recent American actions have all Asian firms on supply chain alert.

The best thing to have happened to the Chinese SEM sector is the recent bans because it's a case of thrive or die. The external motivation was needed to turbo kick the laggards.

I'm sure by 2030, we'll all thank Trump and Pompeo
No one could have forseen it? I put it to you that people were warning about the slight likelihood of the United States putting its fears over China's development, and alleged national security concerns with regards to China, way ahead of economic rationality. The United States placing a high tech embargo, as it is doing now, on China is absolutely not surprising.
 

krautmeister

Junior Member
Registered Member
@krautmeister bro good day, need your opinion, regarding SMIC 7nm risk production since last April, "No news means good news" and the risk production is doing well? the silence is deafening. My hypothesis like everything about China is that the announcement will follow when the preparation or a contingency plan is in place.. Maybe next year when the domestic equivalent is in operation.
Your guess is as good as mine. What we do know is that SMIC N+2 started trials sometime after N+1 taped out end of 2020. So, at some point this year, N+2, aka, their equivalent 7nm process, is going to be ready for risk production as their N+1 ramps some level of mass production. Latest word is that their N+1 process still has low yields and is the reason why it's still in trial production. My guess is that SMIC is currently integrating all fully mature domestic components from the domestic supply chain, as well as removing any American origin components.

All other 7nm work is secret. The procession from 14nm to 7nm is FINFET immersion DUV dual patterning to quad patterning. This is technically way easier than jumping from 28nm planar to 12-20nm FINFET because FINFET is the first "3D" transistor design where multi-patterning is used along with many more masks and exposures. This kind of expertise is "relatively" rare, especially in China. So, once a 14nm FINFET process node is achieved, meaning going over the expertise hump, jumping from 14nm to 7nm should be "relatively" easy. Take the example of HLMC. HLMC has been promising their 14nm FINFET node since mid-2019 and it's now over 2 years late and still in "quality acceptance" as they call it, aka. trial production.

SMIC already has their own 14nm FINFET process node yielding in the 90-95% range. Imo, 7nm DUV can be commercially viable with a fully China domestic supply chain even vs 7nm EUV produced outside China. The bigger question is how long will it take? I have a hard time believing the recent reports suggesting trial production of a fully domestic 7nm process by end of 2022. The first thing to confirm is whether all the rumors are real. That means we need to see delivery of an actual immersion lithography machine. Once we have this, then it's smooth sailing all the way to 7nm.

The main issue with DUV 7nm is that it is the process node where the cost-efficiency economics of DUV crosses over with EUV. The ASML Twinscan NXT DUV machines process 300mm wafers at something between 275-295 wafers per hour while the ASML NXE EUV models process at 100-125 wafers per hour. When you do the calculations on the economics of a quad-patterned DUV 7nm chip vs an EUV 7nm chip that uses fewer masks, exposures, chemicals, the EUV process cycle comes out cheaper even after the much higher initial capital cost of the EUV lithography machine. This isn't even considering the superior power / performance characteristics of EUV chips at the same equivalent DUV process node. If a fab can retain an EUV machine in production long enough to fully depreciate the capital cost, then the economics really start favoring EUV chips.
 
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