glue coating and developing, Ion implantation, etching, deposition, diffusion, chemical mechanical polishing, cleaning, metrology, testing, advance packaging tools. Why always lithography? Why nobody has ever written a article about China not being able to build etching machines or ion implantation machines? Is always the missing key, lithography. ASML this, ASML that.
Under normal market conditions no one in China would have ever consider ever built their own tools, software and materials when they are easy available in the open market. This are not normal market conditions, this bring challenges but also opportunities for companies and individuals to fill gaps, this is what happen when forces disrupt markets, vacuum forms. China is one of those countries that is a world inside the world, very populous country but overall very science and industrial oriented country, so of course they are going to try not to let themselves kill. That is something that you expect a guy writing in a financial journal to know.
The reality is that under abnormal market conditions and under pressure, innovation could happen and happen faster than anyone expected. And more in very science and industrial oriented country like China. So people shouldn't be surprised when in the near future China come with solutions that nobody predicted because they are not going to let themselves kill.
In the words of the CEO of the company that these financial guys think is untouchable and magical:
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I case you people bring the conflict interest crap and bla bla bla, Mr. Wennink probably knows the Chinese semiconductor industry probably better than some Chinese themselves. ASML was there when the Chinese semiconductor industry was in pampers.They saw companies rise and fall.