Hyperbolic and ridiculous article. Some quotes.
"no country will be able to independently produce a lithography machine at the most advanced global standard for decades. They are the most precise and intricate apparatus that humankind has ever crafted."
But in fact Japan came pretty close to doing exactly this. And were it not for lack of takers they would have done this. China is a much larger economy. It also has SMIC and Hua Hong which are huge companies in the top 10 foundries list.
"These devices consist of three primary segments: the light source, the optical system, and the etching worktable. I’d argue
that creating and using each of these components is as technically challenging as landing on the moon."
Like hell it is. The EUV lithography machine from ASML allegedly took $9 billion USD to develop. The C919 cost more to develop.
"For China to produce lithography machines independently, it would need to achieve self-reliance and innovation across all three critical components. As of now, the only glimmer of hope is visible in creating the light source."
Which is the hardest part of the machine.
"Assuming an additional three years for successful testing and another five years to develop a commercially viable light source, 13 years would have passed. Will the other two essential components of the lithography machine be ready within these 13 years? Currently, I
don’t see a hint of progress on those fronts. Furthermore, we don’t know if in 13 years, the U.S. or the Dutch might release an even more advanced next-generation lithography machine, leaving us to play catch-up once again"
So the article basically claims it would take 13 years to develop the machine. But ASML did it in 17 years. And they didn't have prior art to rely upon.